
College Basketball 2010-11 Predictions: Meet the 25 Biggest Impact Freshmen
Unlike the pro game,ย there are noย rebuilding projects in college basketball.ย You either reload or youย get blown off the face of the Earthโsimple as that.ย Just ask North Carolina.ย
The good news, of course, is that it can be a two-way street.ย One keyย recruit can sometimes single-handedlyย lift the fortunes of aย downtrodden program.ย Just ask Marquette and Dwyane Wade.
This is whyย recruiting is so closely watched and hotly contestedโa sport within a sport.ย Landing that high-impact freshman can mean the difference between the dancers and the wallflowers come spring.
With that in mind, here are the top 25 freshmen poised to make an impact for their squads in 2010-2011.ย
Remember thatย these are not the top 25 most talented freshmenโthat beingย another, rather well-traveled list.ย These are the players who, forย various reasons,ย stand theย bestย chanceย of makingย anย impact onย theirย teams this season.
25. Demarco Cox, Power Forward, Mississippi
1 of 25
6'9",ย 300 pounds
Ole Miss returns five experienced players, but the frontcourt is a little thin.ย Enterย Demarco Cox, aย dump truckย of aย power forward whoย isย apparently prettyย nimbleย on that offensive tackle's frame.ย Mississippi head coach Andyย Kennedy has compared him toย Big Baby Davis.
The Rebs (or whatever they're called now) barely missed the dance last season, but with Cox joining the fold, next March could be a good monthย in Oxford.
24. Terrell Stoglin, Point Guard, Maryland
2 of 25
5'11", 180 pounds
After saying good-bye to Greivis Vasquez and Eric Hayes, the Terps find themselves without aย proven distributor or deep threat.ย ย Terrell Stoglin has the tools to fill both of those holes.
Stoglin is behind seniorsย Adrian Bowie and Cliff Tucker on the depth chart, and is currently battling fellow freshman Pe'Shon Howard for whateverย playing timeย is left over atย the one.ย Nevertheless, Stoglin is a confident, heady player whose complement of skills would seem to lock prettyย nicely intoย Maryland's empty spaces.ย ย
23. Nate Lubick, Power Forward, Georgetown
3 of 25
6'9", 222 pounds
The newest productย to roll outย on the Georgetown big manย assembly line may not fit theย classic Hoyasย mold, but heย is a good player whoย will be in a position to contribute this season.ย
Lubick is probably more hard-nosedย and less polishedย than his immediateย predecessor, Greg Monroe.ย (Monroe was a center and Lubick will at least initially slot in at the four, but you see what I'm saying.)ย He isย a bruiser in the paint whose vision,ย passing andย shootingย range will be assets in the Hoyas'ย Princeton offense.ย His defensive presenceย will solidify the lane and help free things up for Georgetown's dynamic backcourt.
22. Terrence Ross, Shooting Guard, Washington
4 of 25
6'6", 198 pounds
Washington has reached three consecutive Sweet 16s, and they'reย everyone's pickย to win the Pac-10 this season.ย So it's safe to say expectations are high.ย
Although Ross is buried behind elite guard Isaiah Thomas and others, his lethal shooting stroke couldย provide the Huskies withย another weapon off the bench.ย An extra 20 or so pounds of muscle thanks to offseason weightlifting will helpย Ross handle the grind of a full college season.ย His great length will helpย Yoo-Dubย on defense, too.
21. Phil Pressey, Point Guard, Missouri
5 of 25
5'10", 162 pounds
Don't let the fact that he looks like he's 12 years old fool you.ย Pressey plays the full length of the court and can make plays at high speedโa perfect fit for the frenetic Tigers attack.
Don't let the height fool you, either...his dunks over much taller defenders have made Presseyย a YouTube sensation in certain circles.
So far at Mizzou, he's picking upย where he left off,ย tallyingย 16 points and nine dimes in a recent intrasquad scrimmage.ย
20. Ian Miller, Point Guard, Florida State
6 of 25
6'3", 195 pounds
If this were a pro team,ย Millerย would beย theย free agentย signed toย get them over the hump.
Picked to finish fifth in the always-difficult ACC, the 'Noles canย go to war on day oneย with Miller, whoย should have a good time getting the ball inside to Chris Singleton and knocking down open jumpers.ย
Miller's presenceย could also free up senior Derwin Kitchen toย log more time at shooting guard, which could be good for everyone. Last season, Kitchen finished with a career-highย eight points, butย a career-lowย four assists per game.ย ย
Miller is also a ferocious defender who willย help perpetuateย Florida State's strong tradition in that area.
19. Tyler Olander, Power Forward, Connecticut
7 of 25
6'9", 215 pounds
Yeah, he's notย the sexiest recruit on here, but just a few days ago, Huskies coach Jim Calhoun said Olander was UConn's best post player at the moment.ย That's good enough for me.ย Bigs are always important, but particularly so in Storrs, where post play is a point of pride and this year's frontcourt is understocked.
A Storrs native, Olanderย isย raw but reportedlyย improving by the day. He has some offensive moves, including a legit jumper, and is in line forย serious PT this season.
18. Vander Blue, Shooting Guard, Marquette
8 of 25
6' 3", 195 pounds
Vander Blue willย slash you up like Freddy Kruegerโthat's his bread and butter.ย
Butย that's not to say heย isn't well rounded. Blueย can also hit open shots, including threes. He's fast enough to run the break but solid enough to mix it up in the lane.ย
Theย Eagles lost a whopping seven conference games last season by seven points or less.ย A fierce competitor, Blue could help scrappyย Marquette swing a few of those into the win column.
17. Tim Hardaway, Jr., Shooting Guard, Michigan
9 of 256'5", 185 pounds
That's rightโit's Spawn of Killer Crossover!
Here's a greatย example of a recruit who could single-handedly lift a program.ย He's a smooth player with excellent size for a guard, and heย seems to know what he's doing at all times.ย Interestingly, his ball-handling has been the source of questions, but playing basketball isย in his genes.ย The woebegone Wolverines are delighted to have him; he'll be one of their best players right away.
16. Reggie Bullock, Shooting Guard, North Carolina
10 of 25
6'6", 190 pounds
In 2009-2010, the ACCย enjoyed an extendedย huntingย season on the Tar Heels.ย
Now, however, theyย might want toย run for cover.ย Especially if Reggie Bullock can help the Heels resurrect theirย moribund back court.
The relatively unheralded Bullock is a tall guard who can absolutely shoot the lights out.ย The Heels may have been down last year and they may have lost Ed Davis, but this team is reloading in a big way.ย Bullock and Harrison Barnes (more on him later) are going to be a fearsome inside-out tandem.
15. Keith Appling, Shooting Guard, Michigan State
11 of 25
6'1", 180 pounds
A supremely confident player, Appling doesn't shy away from contact or headlines. Looks like he'll get along just fine at Michigan State.
Though a competent defender and rebounder, Appling stands to help the Spartans most with his speed andย scoring.ย ย There is early speculation that Appling was one ofย the best shooters on the team the day he walked into East Lansing.ย Judging by Tom Izzo's verbal bouquets of late, Appling hasn't done anything so far to dispel their sky-high opinion of him.
14. Jereme Richmond, Small Forward, Illinois
12 of 25
6'7", 195 pounds
The first small forward on this listย can play up to three positions on the floor.ย He's apparentlyย a littleย on the petulant side, however,ย and will need toย keep his turnovers down.ย
Still,ย last year's Mr. Basketball for the state of Illinoisย leads a highly praised recruiting class (also including Meyers Leonard and Crandall Head) that fans hope willย meshย withย the team'sย fiveย returning contributors.ย If Richmond, Bruce Weber and companyย can put it all together, watch out.
13. Will Barton, Shooting Guard, Memphis
13 of 25
6'6", 170 pounds
Theย top-ranked shooting guardย of the 2010 class spurned Kentucky and several other high majors to playย for Memphis.ย ย
Barton is, quite simply, aย naturalย scorer. He's the kind of guyย who couldย average 15 points a game without being allowed over the half-court line.ย ย
Barton isย the spark plug the Tigers needed after losing Eliot Williams to the NBA.ย ย His signingย was an absolute coup for the Tigers and coach Josh Pastner, andย was theย centerpiece of a strong entering class that has Memphis ranked No. 19 in the preseason.
12. Perry Jones, Power Forward, Baylor
14 of 25
6'11", 235 pounds
You can't help but think ofย one of the Kevins (Garnett or Durant, take your pick)ย when you look at him. Just a freaky-deeky basketballย weapon.ย
Tall at 6'11", butย his long arms make him seem more likeย 7'2".ย Add in a full complement of weapons including a terrific handle for a big man, and you've got aย cornerstone pieceย for Baylor, whoย is expected to contend this year for the Big 12 title.ย
The only question forย Jones (who should play on the wing in the pros but will be a post player in college)ย is whether heย has theย personality toย take over games at the high-major level.
11. Cory Joseph, Point Guard, Texas
15 of 25
6'3", 180 pounds
Last season, the Longhorns' long fall from first to flounderingย showed just how fragile college basketball can be.
This year, Texas was left off the preseason top 25, a move they promptly parlayed into the oldย underdog motivational tool.ย ย Inspirational applications aside, itย could be an accurate characterization,ย given that Texas lost five players from last year's squad, including three (Avery Bradley, Damion James and Dexter Pittman)ย to theย NBA.ย
And though the team remains thinย on the blocks (my guess is Joseph's friend and fellow 5-starย recruitย Tristan Thompsonย will need more time to find consistency and learn to rebound "above his height"), the buttery smooth,ย high-scoring Joseph fills a glaring need andย givesย Austiniansย a reason for hope right away.
10. C.J. Leslie, Power Forward, North Carolina State
16 of 25
6'8", 205 pounds
One of those guys who was born to play basketball:ย long arms, huge hops, wiry strength.
His game doesn't have a lot of polish, but when you haveย tools the way Leslie has tools, being a little rough around the edgesย won'tย prevent an immediate contribution.ย
Alongside Tracy Smith, Leslie givesย the Wolfpackย one of the ACC's best frontcourts heading into the season.
9. Ray McCallum, Point Guard, Detroit
17 of 25
6'1", 179 pounds
McCallum turned down Florida, Arizona and UCLAย toย stay homeย inย Detroit.ย ย
He's a better man than me.
McCallum is a steady all-aroundย point guard who always makes the right play, and he'll step in and immediately become one of the bestย basketball players in Detroit.ย Pistons, I'mย including you in that assessment.ย
8. Fabricio Melo, Center, Syracuse
18 of 25
7'0", 274 pounds
No, he's not Melo Anthony's sub-equatorial cousin, butย this future lottery pickย could lead a similar renaissance inย Syracuse.
By far the highest-rated center in the 2010 class, this Brazilian product has a big body, big hands and a big-time jump hook.ย He is an absolute freight train coming down the lane.ย Also a solid defender, if not aย natural shot blocker.
I'm hoping Fab catches onย and followsย in the footstepsย of otherย famous Brazilianย athletes whoย go byย only one name.ย I could see that being a hot-selling jersey in certain quarters.
7. Tobias Harris, Power Forward, Tennessee
19 of 25
6'8", 225 pounds
Harris has the smooth, solid game and steady demeanor to immediately be a leader for the Volunteers. Even though he is only a freshman, the Vols will take any dose of stability they can get,ย given the chaos surrounding their program off the court.
Harris can score from and defendย multiple positions, making him an extremely difficult matchup.ย Heย will start at point forward for Tennesseeย from day one.ย
6. Brandon Knight, Point Guard, Kentucky
20 of 25
6'3", 195 pounds
Knight is the latest in a line of great Calipari point guards, who learn the ins and outs of the game underneath Calipari lieutenant and longtime NBA stalwart Rod Strickland.ย
Brandon Knight's game is all about motorโpushing it up and getting his shot off, which he can do against anyone.ย Think a poor man'sย Allen Iversonย with a tick or two more of the point guard's instinct (and I mean that as a compliment).ย ย He's a wizard in transition and is a poised floor leader who will be aย key cogย for John Calipari right off the bat.
5. Josh Selby, Point Guard, Kansas
21 of 25
6'3", 183 pounds
Ifย Josh Selbyย was a house, the realtor would describe him as "turnkey."ย That is,ย Selby is alreadyย a fully formed high-major college point guard.ย ย No repairs, maintenance or fixer-upping required.ย He can score from outside, he can scoreย in the lane, he can drive, he can dish,ย he can defend,ย he can reboundย and he is fearless.ย Set it and forget it.
Assuming his eligibility issues are a formality, Selby could be the guy, along withย twin forwards Markief and Marcus Morris,ย toย help the Jayhawksย wash away last season's early tournament exit.
4. Jared Sullinger, Power Forward, Ohio State
22 of 25
6'8", 262 pounds
A power forward in a power forward's body.ย Even though he's a freshman, the question isn't whether he can bang with the big boys.ย It's whether they can bang with him.
But he's not just thick.ย He has terrific hands and is a proven leader, having been the best player last year on the nation's best high school team.ย His body willย land him in the starting rotation on day one;ย his headย will keep him there.ย He'll be the linchpin of one of the youngestโand most intimidatingโfront courts in the Big Ten.
3. Kyrie Irving, Point Guard, Duke
23 of 25
6'2", 172 pounds
Irving will be able to step into Jon Scheyer's shoes and quite possibly make the defending champion Blueย Devilsย an evenย better team.ย Perhaps that's why they are the odds-on favorites to repeat.
He can control the ball like he has it on a string, and canย hit shots from all over the floor.ย His passes are on a laser beam.ย He's not selfish with the rock, but he's not shy with it, either.ย ย
Coach Kย has, perhaps a bit uncharacteristically, repeatedly and effusively praised the freshman.ย When asked why, he responded with "it's just true."ย
2. Harrison Barnes, Small Forward, North Carolina
24 of 25
6'8", 209 pounds
Harrison is not only one ofย the most talented players, of any class,ย in the country,ย he's also poised to make one ofย the biggest impacts.
The long-winged Iowan will have every chance to be the man in Chapel Hill. North Carolina'sย offensive strategy this year is named something along the lines of Give The Ball To Harrison Barnes.ย His arrival comes not a moment too soon, after the team fell way short of expectationsย in 2009-2010ย (you don't see "North Carolina" and "NIT" in the same sentenceย too often).
Barring something unforeseen, he'll be at the top of every player-of-the-year list all season.ย And he should help the Heels end their brief exile from college basketball's elite.
1. Enes Kanter, Center, Kentucky
25 of 25
6'11",ย 240 pounds
For a basketballย machine as lubricatedย as the one found in Lexington, it'sย interesting to see one guy from Turkey gum up the works so thoroughly.
Wildcats and hardcore hoopheads are well versed on Kanter's story, but for those just turning their attention to college basketball, he will probably be relatively little-known.ย Purportedly the best big man prospect to ever emerge from Europe, Kanter is a polished, smart, efficient, sound, unselfish, powerful basketball player.ย He can hit a three-pointer, but not at the expense of rebounding.ย Perhaps not as physically gifted as Melo, Kanter nevertheless is aย top-flight prospect for college and beyond.
There's just one liiiiittle problem.ย ย A Turkish pro team is claiming they paid him to playโa clear violation of eligibility rules.ย In response, the NCAA -- held upย the world overย as a model of corporateย efficiency -- has launched an investigation.ย Well, not so much "launched," as "slowly squeezed out."ย
The squeezing continues to this veryย day, with noย announced timetable for a decision.ย In the meantime, Kentucky has some greatย young talent inย Knight, Terrence Jones and others, but with the departures ofย DeMarcus Cousins and Patrick Patterson, they find themselves dangerously thin on the blocks.ย (Juco transfer Eloy Vargas and reserve Josh Harrellson are currently their only two players over 6'8".)
In summary, as Kanter's fate goes, so go the Wildcats.ย ย His presenceโor absenceโthis season willย have an indelibleย impact on the fortunes of one of college basketball's signature programs.
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