Ranking the Top 20 Freshmen in College Basketball

By (Chief Writer) on February 16, 2013

18,713 reads

14Icon_comment

Previous
1 of 22
Next
Hi-res-158936269_crop_650x440
Jeff Gross/Getty Images

With a list like this, it's always good to start with ground rules.

1.) Any player classified as a freshman is eligible, even those returning from a redshirt year.

2.) The only criteria considered is each freshman's overall play at the college level. NBA projectability is irrelevant.

That out of the way, let's dive in.

Note: All tempo-free statistics courtesy of KenPom.com.

20. Kyle Anderson, G/F (UCLA)

Hi-res-161302464_display_image
Stephen Dunn/Getty Images

Dashboard: 9.2 PPG, 8.7 RPG, 3.7 APG

Standout Stat: 24.1 defensive rebounding percentage (5th in Pac-12)

Chances He Stays (In College): 50 percent

ESPN's Chad Ford calls Anderson "the most difficult prospect in the NCAA to scout." One look at his game reveals why. He's a 6'9" string bean with remarkable rebounding acumen and the kind of court vision usually reserved for true point guards. That said, he isn't much a pure scorer and lacks strength compared to other players his size.

No surprise then that UCLA's most enigmatic player has also been one of its most inconsistent, vacillating from masterful (20, 17 and seven against Fresno State) to ghastly (zero points in 33 minutes against Georgetown) and back again through a puzzling debut campaign.

19. A.J. Hammons, C (Purdue)

Hi-res-160401239_display_image
Michael Hickey/Getty Images

Dashboard: 11.2 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 2.1 BPG

Standout Stat: 11.5 offensive rebounding percentage (8th in Big Ten)

Chances He Stays: 90 percent

Playing in America's toughest conference on a team without much ancillary talent, Hammons has more than held his own for Matt Painter's Purdue Boilermakers. His most notable performance came against Indiana on January 30, when he dropped 30 points in 28 minutes and held opposing center Cody Zeller to 6-of-14 shooting. Typical of the season to date in West Lafayette, Hammons' effort came in a 97-60 blowout loss.

18. Alex Poythress, F (Kentucky)

Hi-res-160789323_display_image
Andy Lyons/Getty Images

Dashboard: 12.0 PPG, 6.3 RPG, 0.5 APG

Standout Stat: 64.4 true shooting percentage (30th nationally)

Chances He Stays: 15 percent

It's easy to grow frustrated with a player of Poythress' talent. Once you watch his slick 6'7" frame move through the lane once, you'll wonder why he can't do it every time. Here's a hint:  

He's 19.

Reel in some of those outsized expectations and you'll soon realize that Poythress is having a nice freshman campaign. He's scoring at a good clip considering his minutes (25.5 per game) and doing it with far fewer touches than fellow Kentucky freshman Archie Goodwin.

17. T.J. Warren, F (North Carolina State)

Hi-res-159350083_display_image
Grant Halverson/Getty Images

Dashboard: 11.4 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 61.5 FG%

Standout Stat: 124.1 offensive efficiency rating (4th in ACC)

Chances He Stays: 95 percent

Warren is the only player on this list not logging starter's minutes, which should give you an idea of just how good he's been when he has played. There aren't many freshmen at 6'8" who can shoot better than 60 percent from the floor in a Power Six conference.

Warren's 19-point performance against North Carolina on January 26 helped NC State break a long losing streak to its cross-state rival.

16. Yogi Ferrell, G (Indiana)

Hi-res-159364399_display_image
Andy Lyons/Getty Images

Dashboard: 7.4 PPG, 4.3 APG, 2.6 RPG

Standout Stat: 26.2 assist rate (7th in Big 10)

Chances He Stays: 98 percent

Ferrell's stats won't jump off the page, but he deserves plaudits for logging major minutes (27.5 per game) at a position with a steep learning curve (PG) in the nation's toughest conference (Big Ten) for a top-rated team (Indiana). In other words, Ferrell has been thrown straight into the fire by head coach Tom Crean. And he's handled his duties admirably.

15. Nik Stauskas, G (Michigan)

Hi-res-160207811_display_image
Joe Robbins/Getty Images

Dashboard: 12.1 PPG, 3.2 RPG, 47.7 3PFG%

Standout Stat: 125.3 offensive efficiency rating (26th nationally)

Chances He Stays: 95 percent

In Michigan's offense, Stauskas' primary role is to shoot threes—and he has, 128 of them, in fact. That's not to say he's incapable of putting the ball on the floor; just that there isn't much need for Stauskas to create in an offense run by POY candidate Trey Burke. Few players in the country—much less freshmen—have been more efficient with their touches than the 6'6" sharpshooter.

14. Rasheed Sulaimon, G (Duke)

Hi-res-160897784_display_image
Jeff Gammons/Getty Images

Dashboard: 11.5 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 2.2 APG

Standout Stat: 13.5 turnover rate (15th in ACC)

Chances He Stays: 70 percent

The offensive statistics, though encouraging, don't do Sulaimon justice. The Houston native has been an ace perimeter defender for Coach K's squad, which helps offset his streaky shooting. Considering the Blue Devils' many options on offense (Mason Plumlee, Seth Curry, Quinn Cook), Sulaimon's value to his team is most prominent on the other end.

13. Semaj Christon, G (Xavier)

Hi-res-157276328_display_image
Michael Hickey/Getty Images

Dashboard: 15.1 PPG, 4.6 APG, 2.6 RPG

Standout Stat: 30.7 possession usage percentage (1st in A-10)

Chances He Stays: 95 percent

Christon's turnover rate is troublesome and his outside shot needs work, but that's to be expected for a freshman functioning as his team's go-to offensive option. Big picture, Christon has handled the transition to the A-10 well, and his ability to get to the free-throw line augurs well for the future. With some refinement, Christon can be a special college player.

12. John Brown, F (High Point)

Dashboard: 16.6 PPG, 6.3 RPG, 1.9 SPG

Standout Stat: 6.5 fouls drawn per 40 minutes (34th nationally)

Chances He Stays: 99 percent

Brown scored 28 against UNC-Greensboro in his first collegiate game (including the above dunk) and hasn't slowed down since. The Big South star has reached double-digits in 22 of his first 23 college games, all while shooting better than 50 percent from the field. Here's hoping Brown—who torched Wake Forest for 27 earlier this year—gets a chance to strut his stuff in March.

Other low-to-mid-major freshmen on the national radar include: R.J. Hunter (Georgia State), Jordan Reed (Binghamton), Shawn Long (Louisiana-Lafayette) and Venky Jois (Eastern Washington).

11. Jordan Adams, G (UCLA)

Hi-res-7026048_display_image
Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

Dashboard: 14.7 PPG, 3.8 RPG, 1.8 APG

Standout Stat: 11.0 turnover rate (2nd in Pac-12)

Chances He Stays: 90 percent

With the return and subsequent ascendance of fellow freshman Shabazz Muhammad, Adams has seen his production dip. But early in the year, no one from UCLA's highly touted 2012 recruiting class was playing better than the Georgia native. After four single-digit scoring performances in Pac-12 play, however, it is fair to wonder how Adams is adjusting to better competition.

10. Gary Harris, G (Michigan State)

Hi-res-6992302_display_image
Mike Carter-USA TODAY Sports

Dashboard: 12.9 PPG, 2.6 RPG, 43.6 3P%

Standout Stat: 57.7 effective field goal percentage (6th in Big Ten)

Chances He Stays: 60 percent

It might come as some surprise that Harris has a better offensive efficiency rating than backcourt mates Branden Dawson and Keith Appling, but the freshman has had a sneaky good year for the Spartans.

Scouts question his shooting consistency, but recent trends suggest otherwise. In each of the last five games, Harris has attempted at least three three-pointers and hit at least 50 percent of those shots. He could be a standalone star for Michigan State if he stays another year.

9. JaKarr Sampson, F (St. John's)

Hi-res-7029618_display_image
Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports

Dashboard: 14.5 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 1.2 BPG

Standout Stat: 5.0 fouls drawn per 40 minutes (14th in Big East)

Chance He Stays: 60 percent

The most encouraging take on Sampson's season is that he seems to be getting better as the conference schedule progresses. His 21-point, six-rebound performance against Syracuse on February 10 underscores why scouts think he could be a lottery pick someday. His seven turnovers indicate why he's probably best served waiting another year.

8. Glenn Robinson III, F (Michigan)

Hi-res-7036210_display_image
Mike Carter-USA TODAY Sports

Dashboard: 10.9 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 56.1 FG%

Standout Stat: 61.0 effective field goal percentage (35th nationally)

Chances He Stays: 30 percent

Robinson III's relatively pedestrian per-game totals are a reflection on Michigan's slow pace and multi-pronged attack. But don't be fooled, GR3 is a potent combination of raw athleticism and statistical efficiency. He also might be the Wolverines' most versatile and valuable defender.

7. Isaiah Austin, C (Baylor)

Hi-res-7024566_display_image
Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

Dashboard: 13.6 PPG, 9.3 RPG, 1.5 BPG

Standout Stat: Fourth among all freshmen in rebounds per game

Chances He Stays: 10 percent

Austin's numbers read "typical seven-footer." His tape, however, reveals something entirely different. With a slick handle and smooth jump shot, Austin looks like a small forward at times in Baylor's offense. By the same token, his lack of strength speaks to a post-up game that needs work.

6. Jahii Carson, G (Arizona State)

Hi-res-159726460_display_image
Christian Petersen/Getty Images

Dashboard: 17.6 PPG, 5.0 APG, 3.1 RPG

Standout Stat: Second among all freshmen in minutes per game (36.3)

Chances He Stays: 75 percent

Carson's numbers are a bit inflated by the minutes he gets and the shots he takes, but the sprightly guard still merits mention as one of the nation's best sub-six-foot scorers. Arizona State is one game out of the Pac-12 lead almost exclusively on the strength of Carson's breakout play.

5. Shabazz Muhammad, G (UCLA)

Hi-res-161299923_display_image
Stephen Dunn/Getty Images

Dashboard: 18.2 PPG, 5.2 RPG, 42.3 3P%

Standout Stat: Leads all freshmen in points per game

Chances He Stays: Less than 1 percent

Muhammad was one of the best volume scorers in college basketball the minute he slipped into Bruin gold. And although that debut was delayed by a bungled NCAA investigation, the second-ranked prospect from a year ago has lived up to his considerable hype. Muhammad is one of few players who can slice to the cup and spot up from beyond with equal aplomb.

4. Nerlens Noel, F (Kentucky)

Hi-res-160789310_display_image
Andy Lyons/Getty Images

Dashboard: 10.5 PPG, 9.5 RPG, 4.4 BPG, 2.1 SPG

Standout Stat: 12.7 block percentage (11th nationally)

Chances He Stays: 5 percent

For the purposes of this list, we're freezing Nerlens Noel's season at the moment before he tore his ACL on Tuesday against Florida. Up until then, the nation's top recruit was also its best defender and one of its most explosive finishers. Critics will make note of his uneven offensive game, but that in itself is a tacit acknowledgement of Noel's distinct ability to impact the game without touching the ball.

And while we're on the topic of injured debutantes, let it be noted that the Oregon Ducks have struggled mightily without freshman point guard Dominic Artis.

3. Marcus Smart, G (Oklahoma State)

Hi-res-7023952_display_image
Brendan Maloney-USA TODAY Sports

Dashboard: 14.4 PPG, 5.8 RPG, 4.5 APG, 3.0 SPG

Standout Stat: 5.4 steal percentage (11th nationally)

Chances He Stays: 5 percent

Marcus Smart plays point guard at 6'4" and 225 pounds. And he can fly. There isn't much more you need to know about the most physically imposing primary ball-handler in the college game. His eight offensive rebounds in a win over Kansas were the stuff of pure athletic dominance.

2. Anthony Bennett, F (UNLV)

Hi-res-159379527_display_image
Jeff Bottari/Getty Images

Dashboard: 17.8 PPG, 8.6 RPG, 1.2 BPG

Standout Stat: 61.0 true shooting percentage (5th in Mountain West)

Chances He Stays: Less than 1 percent

Whether underneath the basket or on the perimeter, the beefy Canadian overwhelms foes with his rare combination of size and quickness. He's cooled a bit since a scorching start, but remains the centerpiece of UNLV's offense.

1. Ben McLemore, G (Kansas)

Hi-res-161500203_display_image
Jamie Squire/Getty Images

Dashboard: 16.8 PPG, 5.5 RPG, 43.5 3P%

Standout Stat: 64.9 TS% (21st nationally)

Chances He Stays: Less than 1 percent

There isn't a more lethal off-ball guard in college basketball than McLemore. His shot is pillowy soft and he can finish above the rim better than just about any shooter you'll find at this level. He won't create much for himself, but that's a secondary criticism when you're as good a scorer as McLemore.

Begin Slideshow
Keep Reading
Flag
Props (0)
This article is

What is the duplicate article?

Why is this article offensive?

Where is this article plagiarized from?

Why is this article poorly edited?

Flag This Article
Default-user-icon-comment
or to post a comment

14 Comments

There are no comments yet. Get the conversation started by leaving the first comment
Big
Loading comments...
just now posted just now
  • Loading...
  • Nobody has liked this comment yet
Cancel

This comment and all replies have been deleted This comment has been deleted Undo delete

Follow B/R on Facebook

Fans of

Icon_subscribe
Icon_youtube
Icon_google
College Basketball

Subscribe Now

We will never share your email address

Thanks for signing up.

We're Scouting Top Writers

Mid-Major Teams You Should Watch in '14 Hint: you can use arrow keys to navigate through this channel.