College basketball season is around the corner, and that means it's time to break out my preseason rankings using my unique mathematical formula.
The formula has three parts:
A. Previous season finish
The previous season's national champion (UConn) starts off with 65 points.
The runner-up (Butler) starts with 64.
Losing in the Final Four (Kentucky, VCU) gets you 63 points.
Teams losing in the Elite Eight receive 61.
Teams losing in the Sweet 16 receive 57.
Teams losing in the Round of 32 receive 49.
Teams losing in the Round of 64 receive 33.
And teams which missed the tournament, but are expected to improve this year, receive 18.
B. Returning Players
I then took each team and figured out what percentage of points, rebounds and assists they will lose from last year's team, adding back in the points, rebounds and assists they will get from incoming transfers. I added up all of those percentages and multiplied that sum by the previous season's finish.
C. Incoming Freshmen
Finally, I added that product to a "freshmen value," which I determined by adding 20 points for each incoming McDonald's All-American and 10 points for each ESPNU 100 Player.
Formula: (Returning Points % + Returning Rebounds % + Returning Assists %) X Last Year's Finish + Freshmen Value
I have ranked the top 44 teams receiving votes in the Coaches Poll in order of the total points they receive according to this formula.