March Madness 2011 Bracket: Using the Vegas Sports Odds to Fill out Your Bracket

By (Senior Analyst) on March 17, 2011

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NEW YORK, NY - MARCH 09:  Paris Horne #23 of the St.Johns Red Storm falls to the floor during the game against the Rutgers Scarlet Knights during the second round of the 2011 Big East Men's Basketball Tournament presented by American Eagle Outfitters at M
Chris Trotman/Getty Images

Every year when the seedings are announced, people scatter to gather information that will help them fill out their March Madness brackets.

They collect information on how teams play on neutral courts, how much experience the teams have in the big dance and how coaches perform in the tournament.

There is one tool that people do not look at and that is the Vegas line.

The Vegas line reveals a lot about a team that can change your brackets drastically. Here are a few lines that changed my brackets and that could help your brackets from being destroyed on the first day.

If It Looks Too Good to Be True, It Usually Is

KANSAS CITY, MO - MARCH 10:  Jacob Pullen #0 of the Kansas State Wildcats drives with the ball against the Colorado Buffaloes during their quarterfinal game in the 2011 Phillips 66 Big 12 Men's Basketball Tournament at Sprint Center on March 10, 2011 in K
Jamie Squire/Getty Images

The latest college basketball line on Kansas State vs. Utah State has the Wildcats favored by just two points.

What?

A Kansas State team that ended the year on fire and beat top-tier teams like Kansas and Texas, is just a two-point favorite? That looks too good to be true and it is.

Kansas State is inconsistent and could have put it all on the line just to make the tournament and will exhale and get caught napping against Utah State in the first round. Utah State has experience in the big dance and is basically playing a home game in the first round.

Utah State beats Kansas State in the first round.

Small Lines Are an Indication of Close Games

NEW YORK, NY - JANUARY 30:  D.J. Kennedy #1 of the St. John's Red Storm dribbles the ball past Andre Dawkins #20 of the Duke Blue Devils  at Madison Square Garden on January 30, 2011 in New York City.  (Photo by Nick Laham/Getty Images)
Nick Laham/Getty Images

St. John’s is an unbelievable team this year that is on an amazing run. They upset a handful of teams and they had a body of work that would stand up against anyone, but they are just 1.5 point favorites over Gonzaga.

Something stinks.

Gonzaga has experience being the sweetheart of this dance and they are playing good basketball. The Zags will have a home court advantage playing out west and they will take advantage of a Red Storm team that has been inconsistent in the past.

Gonzaga beats St. John’s in the first round

Stay Away from the Public

DAYTON, OH - MARCH 20: Samardo Samuels #24 of the Louisville Cardinals drives to the hoop against Kenneth Faried #35 of the Morehead State Eagles during the first round of the NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament at the University of Dayton Arena o
Andy Lyons/Getty Images

In sports betting, it is often good practice to fade, or go against the public picks. The most popular pick for the first round on Thursday is the Louisville Cardinals.

The Cardinals are in the Big East and coached by Rick Pitino, which is already a popular team/coach to follow. The general public is not familiar with Morehead State, and therefore Louisville should easily win and cover the spread.

Louisville is currently 9.5 point favorites and they will not only fail to cover but they will lose outright as Morehead State advances to the next round. By the end of the day everyone will know who Kenneth Faried is.

Lower Seeded Team Is the Favorite

INDIANAPOLIS, IN - MARCH 11:  Head coach Tom Izzo of the Michigan State Spartans reacts against the Purdue Boilermakers during the quarterfinals of the 2011 Big Ten Men's Basketball Tournament at Conseco Fieldhouse on March 11, 2011 in Indianapolis, India
Andy Lyons/Getty Images

Conventional wisdom would suggest that a team is seeded based on how good they are. For example the No. 1 seed is better than the No. 16 seeded team, so the No. 1 seed will always be the favorite. This is not always the case.

For example Michigan State are one-point favorites over the UCLA Bruins. This is odd considering that the Spartans are a 10-seed and the Bruins are a 7-seed. Conventional wisdom would suggest that the Bruins should be favorites, but the Vegas oddsmakers know better.

They know that Michigan State is the better team and so they are listed as favorites. Don’t be tricked into thinking that you are getting points with a better seed. Michigan State is playing good basketball and has a history of going deep in this tournament.

The Spartans send the Bruins packing.

Another Tool

BUFFALO, NY - MARCH 21:  Cheerleaders for the Missouri Tigers perform during a timeout against the West Virginia Mountaineers during the second round of the 2010 NCAA men's basketball tournament at HSBC Arena at HSBC Arena on March 21, 2010 in Buffalo, Ne
Rick Stewart/Getty Images

These are just a few examples of why the latest sports betting line should be used as a research tool to filling out your brackets.

The line could possibly alert you of upset possibilities that otherwise would be missed.

Enjoy March Madness and may your bracket avoid being busted!

Matt Regaw is a B/R Featured Columnist and the founder of BookieBlitz.com, your one-stop shop for sports articles, previews and predictions. Feel free to contact Matt at mregaw@gmail.com.

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March Madness Picks Against the Spread for the First Round

5 Reasons Uconn Huskies Get an Early Exit in the Tournament

2011 March Madness Odds To Win the East Region

Using Vegas Odds To Fill Out Your Brackets

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