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It might seem ridiculous that the deepest and probably best conference in America would only have one team advance past the Sweet 16, but almost all of the Big East squads have shown some kind of weakness that could make for a surprising year of early round upsets.
Last season the Big East sent eight teams to the dance and had only one advance past the Sweet 16, so it might not seem all that far fetched especially when you start looking at the teams individually.
The Big East might get 11 teams into the tournament and if that's the case, Cincinnati, Marquette, and West Virginia would be the last three teams from the conference to secure bids.
All three teams are good there's no doubt about that, but unless they go on deep runs through the Big East Tournament they will likely be receiving seeds that are eight or above which will make for tough opening round matches that all three could conceivably lose.
Moving on to the teams who will definitely make the dance, Villanova and Georgetown immediately standout as those who are ripe for a first or second round upset because of recent developments.
Georgetown is just a different team without Chris Wright (that's not a knock on them, who wouldn't be?) who broke his non-shooting hand last week. Wright is supposed to be back by the time the tournament starts but it's tough to say how effective he will be if and when he does come back.
Villanova is starting to look a lot like the team that was upset in the second round last year and the relative struggles of their backcourt could sink this team if they don't start to pick up their play.
After those five, you're left with six teams all of which are obviously very talented, but cold shooting days could spell doom for Louisville or Notre Dame and if Kemba Walker isn't at the top of his game, UConn is definitely beatable.
Then there's St. John's who could easily make a run through the tournament but I don't think it would raise many eyebrows if this team lost in the Sweet 16.
The same could be said about a Syracuse squad that seems to have found it's stride more recently but I find it hard to believe that they've completely solved all of the issues which contributed to them losing six out of eight games not too long ago.
Pittsburgh is the most likely candidate to make the Elite Eight and they're an extremely tough team, but when you're dealing with a season as unpredictable as this one, who knows what could happen to them in the tournament.
Although I'm not really buying the cliche idea that the relentless physical play of the Big East has worn these teams down over the course of the season, I do think that because the Big East Tournament has so many rounds that it can negatively affect teams who go on deep runs right before the NCAA Tournament is about to start.
It's a testament to how good the Big East is that it's a bold prediction to state that they will only have one team in the Elite Eight, but we saw last season, it's entirely possible that a bunch of the Big East teams don't come to play in the tournament.
It might be unlikely that only one team for the Big East reaches the Elite Eight but it's certainly bold and plausible so let's move on.