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John Henson didn't live up to the hype last year. Will this season be different?
Last year's North Carolina season was a debacle, but the arrival of the nation's top recruit, Harrison Barnes, has people predicting big things for UNC this year.
Currently the No. 8 team in the nation, the Tar Heels are looking to erase last year from memory and get back to being one of the top teams in the nation.
This isn't the year that happens.
Barnes is a star, for sure. It wouldn't be a surprise if he was one of the top-five scorers in the ACC. But even if he puts up 25 points a game like Kevin Durant did as a freshman, the Tar Heels don't have enough talent around him to go deep in the NCAA tournament (don't forget that Durant had D.J. Augustin, A.J. Abrams, and Damion James with him, and the Longhorns lost 10 games).
Roy Williams' team lost six players from last season because of graduation (Marcus Ginyard, Deon Thompson), the NBA draft (Ed Davis), transfer (the Wear twins) or dismissal from the team (Will Graves).
It lost three starters, the top-three scorers and right around 70 percent of both their scoring and rebounding. All in all, the Tar Heels return a grand total of 23 points per game.
That's not to say they don't have talent. Barnes, Tyler Zeller, John Henson, Dexter Strickland and Reggie Bullock are all very talented players. They are also young players (Zeller is a junior, but he missed significant chunks of his first two seasons with injuries) with virtually no NCAA tournament experience.
The Tar Heels have very few shooters, a dangerously thin frontcourt, major questions at the point guard position and only 10 total scholarship players.
They won't be in the NIT this year, but they are far from a Top 10 team.