It's pretty much a pipe dream for any major-conference team to believe an undefeated regular season is even a possibility.
The last team to enter the postseason with a perfect record was Saint Joseph's in 2004. The Hawks were 27-0 before losing to Xavier in their first game of the Atlantic 10 tournament.
That team was great with two NBA guards in the backcourt, but that team would have dropped at least a game or two in a big conference.
But that's the formula:
Major talent + great coaching + weak conference = A slim chance at a perfect regular season.
The Shockers going undefeated in the regular season would actually be less shocking than the St. Joe's run because the Missouri Valley this year is much weaker than the A-10 was that year. In fact, I'd say it would be even less surprising than Wichita State's 2013 Final Four run.
There were three other tourney teams in the A-10 in 2004. At this point in the year, Indiana State is looking like the only other Valley team with even a chance to get in.
Ken Pomeroy has Wichita State as a favorite in the rest of its games. He gives the Shockers a 60-percent chance to win at Indiana State, which is their toughest game left on the schedule.
Even with that easy schedule, Pomeroy's formula only gives Wichita State a 10.5-percent chance to finish the regular season with a perfect record.
Pomeroy's numbers cannot really account for Gregg Marshall's coaching or the mental toughness of Fred VanVleet, Ron Baker and Tekele Cotton, however. VanVleet, Wichita State's point guard, has gone three straight games without a turnover and has four turnovers in the last seven games.
Wichita State just might be the next UNLV. Making it back to another Final Four? That's a tougher challenge than what's left on the schedule.
First Predicted Loss: Elite Eight