Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports
After a stunning collapse against Indiana, Michigan is left with a rugged path in the Big Ten Tournament.
The Wolverines split the regular-season series against Penn State, not to mention the Nittany Lions pressed Michigan for 40 minutes in Ann Arbor.
If Michigan wins, the Wolverines face Wisconsin, the team that stunned Michigan in overtime thanks to Ben Brust. Providing that Indiana doesn't stumble in the quarterfinals, the Hoosiers would then be Michigan's next opponent. Michigan was 0-2 against Indiana.
This Penn State team is dangerous and is playing more like a No. 8 seed. The Nittany Lions could have quit on the season and gave lackluster efforts down the stretch.
Instead, Penn State has been fighting. The Nittany Lions have shot over 43 percent in six of their last seven games and Jermaine Marshall is playing better than someone on the Honorable Mention Team (via BTN.com).
Michigan's defense has been struggling in the second half as of late. In three of their last four games (including the loss to Penn State), the Wolverines have given up an average of 43.7 points after halftime.
With how much running Michigan does in transition without a deep bench, the Wolverines could be getting fatigued. That also might explain why Michigan missed three out of four free-throws in the final minute against Indiana. Those were also the only foul-shot attempts the Wolverines had in the second half.
Combining Michigan's hangover from the Indiana game and that the Wolverines are still struggling on the glass, Penn State will shock Michigan a second-straight time.
Winner: Penn State