With the emergence of freshman sensations Michael Beasley and Kevin Love, along with veterans Tyler Hansbrough, Richard Hendrix, Jarvis Varnado, Blake Briffn, Deandre Jordan, Luke Harangody, Hasheem Thabeet, Brook Lopez, and other outstanding big men likely entering the draft, it left me thinking that Roy Hibbert's draft stock has dropped.
Last year's loss to No. 1 pick Greg Oden and this year's unexpected exit certainly haven't helped him. Hibbert declined to enter last year's draft, saying he'd rather be a top 5 pick in 2008 instead of a top 10 pick in 2007.
Well that strategy has definitely backfired.
3 Reasons Why Hibbert has hurt himself in the eyes of NBA Scouts
1. Lack Of Productivity
Roy Hibbert does not produce at the level he should be. Face it there aren't that many 7-2 270+ guys that Georgetown plays everynight so he should be having his way with almost anybody. Roy limits himself every time he steps on the court and it reflects on his numbers, 13.4 PPG and 6.4 RPG in 26.4 minutes per game. Numbers expected from a good freshman not a senior.
2. Foul Trouble
He's always in foul trouble, which is exactly why Hibbert's team lost against Oden's team in the Final Four, exactly why the Hoyas weren't the Big East Champs this season, and exactly why they were eliminated by Davidson. He had five fouls in the Davidson loss, four against Pittsburgh in the Big East Tournament, and four against then No. 1 Memphis. Roy Hibbert has a tendency to choke in big games and to pick up cheap and meaningless fouls.
3. Depth In This Year's Draft Class
This one isn't even is fault. This year's draft class is expected to be the deepest class since the '03 draft that produced players like LeBron James, Dwyane Wade, Carmelo Anthony, Chris Bosh, Josh Howard, and Chris Kaman.
My analysis of Hibbert is that he will be a 2nd round draft pick.