2010 NFL Mock Draft: Post-Senior Bowl Edition
The 2010 Senior Bowl has come and gone, which gives me a great opportunity to update my 2010 NFL Mock Draft after seeing many of the top senior prospects in such a competitive environment all week.
The game didn’t do much to impact the juniors, but some of the seniors who opted out may have been jumped by a player who was willing to put it all on the line.
Here is my post-Senior Bowl Mock Draft. To see how the picks have changed, view my previous Mock Draft.
1. St. Louis Rams: Ndamukong Suh, DT, Nebraska
If there's one player who didn't need the Senior Bowl, it's Suh. For the past two seasons he has been the most impressive defensive tackle in college football, and this year he set the bar for greatness at the position.
You can expect the Rams to try out the QBs and give players like Gerald McCoy, Derrick Morgan, and Joe Haden looks, but right now Suh remains at the top of the list.
2. Detroit Lions: Gerald McCoy, DT, Oklahoma
Assuming the Lions are telling the truth about being happy with their tackles, this pick should come down to defensive line or secondary. Both position groups need help, but bulking up the D-line will help the defense the most.
Many have Suh and McCoy as 1a and 1b, so the Lions should feel ecstatic about getting him as a consolation prize.
3. Tampa Bay Bucs: Eric Berry, S, Tennessee
There is some buzz that the Bucs are looking hard at adding options for Josh Freeman, which could mean drafting Dez Bryant or even C.J. Spiller. Tampa could also get that accomplished by adding Brandon Marshall, taking him back to his Florida high school and college roots.
At this point in the draft Bryant doesn't seem to be higher than super-safety Eric Berry on the Bucs' draft board though, and unless Berry slips up between now and the draft, he will most likely remain the third player on Tampa's board behind the two tackles.
4. Washington Redskins: Russell Okung, OT, Oklahoma State
We still need to see a lot from either top QB prospect before they are locks for Washington, and even if they look great, it may not be enough to supplant Okung at the four-spot.
Not only is Okung the biggest tackle prospect, but he also has the best feet, and will be ready to start from Day One for the Redskins. Mike Shanahan is old enough that he doesn't need to worry about making splash picks; instead he will just make the right one.
5. Kansas City Chiefs: Rolando McClain, LB, Alabama
This is far from the consensus for KC, but the majority of mockers still have Okung on the board at this point. I don't expect KC to reach for the second best tackle here. Its pick will either be Dez Bryant or the top defensive prospect on its board.
Haden would be a big addition. He would help any team in the draft, but he won't do much to help KC's second-to-worst pass defense.
The buzz around McClain hasn't really started yet, which is why many see him sliding to 10 or beyond. He should be the tallest backer in the class and pound for pound the fastest. I expect the combine to be his coming-out party.
6. Seattle Seahawks: Derrick Morgan, DE, Georgia Tech
Last mock I had Pete Carroll's 'Hawks drafting Haden, but I feel his scheme will put more emphasis on an elite defensive end than an elite corner, and with the retirement of Patrick Kerney there is a need.
Morgan was amazing coming off the left side this year. He had no problem getting around the tackle and was especially disruptive on line movements.
The Seahawks have about 10 players they will be seriously considering with their first pick, and it will set the tone for their new era of football.
7. Cleveland Browns: Joe Haden, CB, Florida
If Haden is still on the board at seven, it shouldn't take long for Mike Holmgren to phone this pick in. Defensive backs are always high on his mind when drafting, and a top-tier corner can make things easier for all 10 of his teammates.
If Berry were to slip, he may earn consideration because of his undeniable talent, but even then I'm not sure "Czar Holmgren" would pass on Haden.
8. Oakland Raiders: Bruce Campbell, OT, Maryland
If Al Davis wants to annul one of the worst picks of all time (JaMarcus Russell), he needs to start giving him some protection.
Some would argue Campbell isn't the top tackle on the board at this spot, but he is undoubtedly the most athletic, and that matters to Davis. K.C. Joyner did a draft lab on Campbell, and results showed that he might in fact be the second-best tackle in the draft because of how successful he was in the run game.
Oakland always keeps draft day fun, and with numerous needs, tackle isn't a lock, but it's the best guess—especially if Richard Seymour returns.
9. Buffalo Bills: Anthony Davis, OT, Rutgers
Recently the Bills have been looking at athletic QBs already in the NFL, which suggests Chan Gailey feels the pressure of winning now and may not have the time to bring a rookie QB up behind a young, banged-up offensive line.
To address that line, Davis would be a great fit at tackle, filling the hole Pro Bowler Jason Peters left. He still has some rough edges, but the size and potential are there.
If Buffalo does want to draft a QB, I would give the nod to Jimmy Clausen over Sam Bradford because he is better acclimated to start as a rookie. Ultimately either will struggle behind a line that yielded 46 sacks last year, right behind the Raiders and tied with the Redskins—two other teams I have drafting a tackle.
10. Denver Broncos (from Chicago): Dez Bryant, WR, Oklahoma State
At the Pro Bowl Brandon Marshall said he wants to retire a Bronco, but he may have just been saving face in front of the fans. It is still believed that Marshall will be dropping altitude this offseason, opening up a giant hole at WR for Denver.
Bryant is a fantastic pick at 10. He is the consensus top receiver in the draft, and he may actually have the edge on the other prospects from this point on because he has had more time to train for the combine events.
The Broncos have many more needs than what was believed early in the season. A quarterback, linebacker, or defensive back would also make perfect sense for a team trying to establish itself out West.
11. Jacksonville Jaguars: Brian Price, DT, UCLA
I have officially dropped Tim Tebow out of the first round after the SR Bowl. The long delivery came into play during the game, and he failed to make any special plays.
The Jags are scrapping their 3-4 experiment and are going to move back to an aggressive 4-3 defense. Many have listed defensive end as a need for Jax, but I think they will give its first and second round picks from 2008 another year and fill the gap that Marcus Stroud left when he moved to Buffalo.
Price is a disruptive defensive tackle who wasn't quite as consistent as McCoy and Suh, but he did make the same big splash-type plays. With John Henderson demanding two blockers, Price will be able to show his moves against one man.
Tebow would sell tickets, but he may be around in the second or third round, and making the playoffs will sell tickets too.
12. Miami Dolphins: C.J. Spiller, RB, Clemson
In five years Ronnie Brown has missed 20 of his 80 games, including seven last season. Ricky Williams is liable to jump ship at any time considering he has done it once and turns 33 this summer.
As I said when I first mocked Spiller in this slot, he can be the Wildcat 2.0. We saw the Dolphins staff run some of the cat in the SR Bowl with Dexter McCluster, and Spiller is one of the few players in the draft who is more explosive than the dual-threat Rebel.
There have been a lot of rumors about Miami going after players like Anquan Boldin, Vince Wilfork, and Elvis Dumervil this summer, and they could look to upgrade any of those positions in the draft. Dan Williams, the nose from Tennessee, is a player who will get a hard look here.
13. San Francisco 49ers: Trent Williams, OT, Oklahoma
In this scenario I have the Niners taking Williams with their first pick instead of their second because if the Bills take a tackle the supply will be short, and that position is an obvious need for the Seahawks at 14.
Williams is a plug and play guy at right tackle in 2010, and he can play that position at a high level for SF for the next 10-plus years. He is a stout pass protector, but more importantly, he takes pride in run blocking and does it with a fiery passion.
If the Niners are hot on Taylor Mays, especially after his anticipated combine, he could be the pick here—especially with the Seahawks picking next.
14. Seattle Seahawks (from Denver): Jimmy Clausen, QB, Notre Dame
Would Pete Carroll pick a player who dissed him in college? In regards to Clausen, Carroll has shown respect for him since his high school days, and it's hard to knock a player for deciding to be coached by one of football's very best offensive minds in Charlie Weis.
With the retirement of Kurt Warner, the Seahawks may be able to upgrade their talent enough to win the NFC West and use their gift from the Broncos to protect the future. Matt Hasselbeck will be a free agent in 2011, which will give Clausen time to learn for one year before starting.
The 'Hawks need a tackle, making Bryan Bulaga an option. Former Trojan Taylor Mays could be the pick too, but hearing him talk at the SR Bowl, it sounds like he is ready for a different scheme than Coach Carroll’s.
15. New York Giants: Taylor Mays, S, Southern California
The Giants have been very keen on SR Bowl players since 2005, and after a strong week in Mobile, there is a good chance Mays will overshadow Texas safety Earl Thomas from this point on in the draft process.
If the Giants do switch to the cover 2 as suspected, Mays and Kenny Phillips would be a dynamic tandem trolling the backfield. Even in the Giants' current scheme, Mays would be much improved over Michael Johnson or Aaron Rouse.
New York could look at its D-line or reach on a player to play middle backer, but Mays is a perfect fit if he's still on the board.
16. San Francisco 49ers (from Carolina): Brandon Graham, DE/OLB, Michigan
After an amazing week at the SR Bowl, I have Graham skyrocketing into the top 20. Niners coach Mike Singletary was watching practice intensely, and Graham made it impossible for any coach to overlook his talents.
The fit is perfect: SF finally gets that outside rusher who they've been searching for since switching to the 3-4. Graham doesn't just get after the passer; he is even more effective against the run because of his quick feet and lateral quickness.
Years down the road Graham could be considered the best end of the 2010 class.
San Francisco could go back-to-back line picks and take Mike Iupati or grab safety Earl Thomas, but their defense needs a playmaker in the front seven to go with tackling machine Patrick Willis.
17. Tennessee Titans: Carlos Dunlap, DE, Florida
Although he made the Pro Bowl this year, Kyle Vanden Bosch doubts he will be a Titan next year, and he might not be the only player from the position group to leave the team.
With a huge need at defensive end, the Titans need a player who can not only get after the QB, but impact first and second down as well. Carlos Dunlap will give the Titans three downs of production better than any other end prospect on the board.
If Vanden Bosch is retained, the Titans could go with pass rush specialist Jason Pierre-Paul, who doesn't have Dunlap's DUI on his record but may carry more bust potential. If the Titans want to play it safe in the post-Pacman era, Everson Griffen makes a solid selection.
Ultimately, before the DUI many considered Dunlap and Morgan at the same level, and the size/speed combo is tough to pass on when you see what he's done in the SEC.
18. Pittsburgh Steelers: Bryan Bulaga, OT, Iowa
There are a lot of what ifs for the Steelers this offseason, the biggest being what if they don't upgrade their offensive line? Not only did Pittsburgh do a poor job of protecting Ben Roethlisberger, but they also need to be more productive in blocking the run.
Other what ifs surround Ryan Clark and Casey Hampton's free agent statuses, but those can be fixed with a little dough or a franchise tag.
Earl Thomas or Dan Williams would fill holes if those players leave, but really Pittsburgh needs to grab one of the top five tackle prospects if they can.
Mike Iupati would be another lineman to consider, but guards aren't as pivotal in pass protection.
19. Atlanta Falcons: Navorro Bowman, LB, Penn State
Bowman has been getting some mixed reviews entering the NFL. Mel Kiper and the folks at ESPN love him, while CBS and Mike Mayock are not yet sold.
When I watched Bowman, I saw the real deal at outside linebacker. He flies sideline to sideline, and his speed makes him a pest covering tight ends and backs in the passing game.
Bowman is a tackling machine who can get to the quarterback when used in blitzing situations. He may be limited to the will backer position in the NFL, but he can play it exceptionally well.
20. Houston Texans: Dan Williams, DT, Tennessee
After a great week at the SR Bowl, Williams has really earned his first round grade, and he may not even be on the board when Houston picks.
Playing nose, Williams showed he could overpower centers and guards with his explosive get-off and effective bull rush. He was the only player guard Mike Iupati couldn't outmuscle, and he was disruptive in the passing game against lesser offensive linemen.
The Texans are building one of the better defenses in football, and Williams looks like the final piece their front seven needs.
Earl Thomas will get a look at safety, but stopping the run at the line of scrimmage and freeing up Mario Williams are two things Houston must focus on.
21. Cincinnati Bengals: Mike Iupati, OG, Idaho
Even after having a great season, the Bengals still have plenty of positions they can improve upon, especially the offensive line. The Bengals were ninth in rushing yards, but a pedestrian 4.2 YPC can easily be improved upon.
Iupati is a dominating left guard who was easily the top line prospect at the SR Bowl. He did struggle with the quickness of Geno Atkins while lined up at right guard, but playing four positions and facing over 15 matchups during the week can be discombobulating.
Every offensive line coach who was in Mobile is now politicking their team to make a move to get Iupati; 21 is considered high for a guard, but nothing is too high if he makes a Pro Bowl.
22. New England Patriots: Sergio Kindle, DE/OLB, Texas
New England should be making several changes to their defense, and adding an edge rusher like Kindle is one for the better.
Kindle chose not to participate in the SR Bowl, which gave Brandon Graham a chance to surpass him in my rankings, and it was a shame we couldn't see Kindle compete in that setting.
A very similar prospect to Brian Orakpo, Kindle will have chances to improve his stock, and he is just one of the many prospects the Pats have their eye on.
23. Green Bay Packers: Earl Thomas, S, Texas
Thomas is a do-it-all secondary player who can play some corner as well as his natural safety position. He lacks some size, but his production in the Big 12 is undeniable.
Ultimately the Packers would like to take a tackle here, but the board looks pretty thin. Ryan Mathews would be a great pick at RB, or another edge rusher would help too.
Thomas' value makes him the pick right now, but the Packers are sure to address their needs at 23.
24. Philadelphia Eagles: Jason Pierre-Paul, DE, South Florida
Sean Weatherspoon played well enough in the SR Bowl that he could move up to this spot. However, a talent like Pierre-Paul is very tough to pass on.
The Eagles won't need Pierre-Paul to be the man as a rookie, which can give him a chance to shine in passing situations opposite of Trent Cole.
25. Baltimore Ravens: Arrelious Benn, WR, Illinois
The Ravens must upgrade their receiving options for Joe Flacco, especially with Derrick Mason towards the end of his career.
Benn is my third WR prospect behind Golden Tate, but he has the size advantage that Ozzie Newsome may lean towards when making the pick.
Jermaine Gresham is a tight end who wants to bust into the first round, but he still has a long evaluation process in front of him after missing the entire season due to injury.
26. Arizona Cardinals: Sam Bradford, QB, Oklahoma
It seems nobody has confidence in Matt Leinart down in Arizona, making it hard to believe he will make it more than a season in the desert.
Bradford would benefit from sitting for a year so he can let his injuries fully recover and learn the NFL style of play better.
Considering I had Bradford at 30 in my last mock, you could say he is moving up my board.
27. Dallas Cowboys: Jared Odrick, DT, Penn State
The Cowboys had their eyes on Iupati and Odrick at the SR Bowl, and with Iupati off the board, it leaves the Big Ten Defensive Player of the Year for the Cowboys.
Odrick can play several down positions in the 3-4 scheme. He has a massive 6'5" frame, good strength, and plays the run beautifully.
The standout tackle was arrested for disorderly conduct last March, but that's never worried Jerry Jones before—actually, it might be a bonus.
28. San Diego Chargers: Ryan Mathews, RB, Fresno State
The Chargers are looking for a back to replace LaDainian Tomlinson, and their man may be just north in Fresno.
Matthews is a complete back, something that seems to be rare these days. He can run between the tackles and catch the ball equally well, and he is great at finishing runs.
His ability to be an all-around player out of the backfield is very similar to Tomlinson, easing the transition.
If not a RB here, SD needs to fix their offensive line, and they need a new nose guard.
29. New York Jets: Everson Griffen, DE, Southern California
While Rex Ryan was at the SR Bowl, it's hard to tell how much he was watching because he seemed more interested in fraternizing with the other coaches.
There is a chance the Jets will take Kyle Wilson because their corners not named Darrelle Revis got worked against the Colts, but ultimately the secondary was very good during the season.
Griffen can be a versatile player for New York in Ryan's 3-4. He can line up inside at the five tech or even rush from the nine as an OLB.
30. Minnesota Vikings: Kyle Wilson, CB, Boise State
Cedric Griffin is going under the knife, putting the Vikings down one corner for next season. Rookie Allen Asher will improve, but healthy competition is always a good thing, as is depth.
Wilson was the best corner all week at the SR Bowl. In press coverage he is physical and does a very good job of mirroring his man. He isn't the biggest prospect or the fastest, but he manages to not get burned, and he gets his hand on a ton of balls.
After earning a first round grade, the sky's the limit for Wilson.
31. New Orleans Saints: Sean Weatherspoon, LB, Missouri
Some teams may feel Weatherspoon is too outspoken for their club. He did not stop talking all week at Mobile and was a complete sideshow during the game. Luckily for Weatherspoon, he walks his talk.
While some teams may not like his attitude, he is a perfect fit for the Who Dat mentality of New Orleans.
One of the concerns for the Saints when they re-signed Jonathan Vilma was whether they could pay for backers to play beside him, but drafting Weatherspoon will answer that question.
32. Indianapolis Colts: Charles Brown, OT, Southern California
At times this season it seemed like the Colts had many draft needs, yet they're sitting in the Super Bowl.
The only thing the Colts need to do is protect Peyton Manning.
Brown won't start as a rookie, but if someone goes down, he will be ready to start. He has good athleticism and may be able to play some guard in addition to both tackle positions.
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