2010 NFL Mock Draft: Post Commitment Day Edition
Commitment day has come and gone for the 2010 NFL Draft prospects, which means the list of available players is complete.
If your looking for my 2011 NFL Mock Draft click the link!
In my second 2010 NFL Mock Draft of the postseason (click for first mock draft) I tried to take a look at needs based on lack of depth and free agency and pair them with the best players on the board.
Let's take a look at how the draft would look today.
1. St. Louis Rams - Ndamukong Suh, DT, Nebraska
Do the Rams need a QB? Sure they do, they need a lot of things.
With Kurt Warner on the way out in Arizona, the NFC West is opening up; bring in Mike Vick to play QB for a few years while building up one of the best defenses in the NFL.
Suh will help the Rams stop the run, and we have all seen the highlights of him against the pass. He will keep blockers off James Laurinaitis at the second level and will allow Chris Long to go one-on-one off the edge.
By adding Vick, Suh, and the BPA in rounds two and three, the Rams can turn things around quicker than you may think.
2. Detroit Lions - Gerald McCoy, DT, Oklahoma
Although I am a big proponent of the Lions drafting a franchise left tackle, they have given their bookends a vote of confidence for this upcoming year, which means they will be focusing on their terrible defense in the draft.
McCoy doesn't carry the hype of Suh or Eric Berry, but he is a Pro Bowl-caliber talent who stuffs the run with strength and technique instead of massive girth.
McCoy's impressive conditioning also makes him a threat in the passing game, he is a three-down tackle and a player the Lions can build their defensive attack around.
Stop the run and win the game.
3. Tampa Bay Bucs - Eric Berry, S, Tennessee
Safety is widely considered the easiest position to play in the NFL, which is why it doesn't typically get drafted in the top five—but Eric Berry is not your typical safety.
After playing everywhere on the field as a junior at Tennessee, Berry has displayed the versatility defensive coordinators dream of; and with a vote of confidence from former Bucs DC Monte Kiffin, Berry has to be near the top of Tampa's draft board.
What makes this pick easier is Bucs safety Jermaine Phillips was recently arrested, opening the door for a personnel change.
4. Washington Redskins - Russell Okung, OT, Oklahoma State
Would you believe me if I told you Jason Campbell has a higher career completion percentage than Matt Hasselbeck, Donovan McNabb, and Eli Manning?
The NFL is a win-now business and the 57-year-old Mike Shanahan wants to get back to the playoffs ASAP. Drafting Jimmy Clausen or Sam Bradford and putting them behind a suspect offensive line is not going to get them out of the cellar.
Only twice since 2000 has a tackle not been selected in the top four. Also, 2000 marks the year the 'Skins took Chris Samuels—who coincidentally needs to be replaced.
Shanahan can lead Washington to the playoffs with Campbell as long as he has a tackle like Okung protecting him. Whether it's Clinton Portis or a stable of backs, the running game will benefit from it, too.
5. Kansas City Chiefs - Rolando McClain, LB, Alabama
While many think the Chiefs are eyeballing a tackle, my intuition says they are leaning towards defense, especially if Okung is off the board.
Berry would be a great pick, but he's gone too, so it comes down to Joe Haden, Derrick Morgan, and McClain in my eyes.
With Scott Pioli and Romeo Crennel both being front seven guys, I am taking away Haden and McClain will impact the Chiefs' defense more than Morgan.
The combine should be where McClain solidifies himself as a top five pick. Unlike Brandon Spikes, he should run an above-average to good 40 time and his size and instincts are a rare find at the linebacker position.
6. Seattle Seahawks - Joe Haden, CB, Florida
I don't see Haden falling below the seventh pick in the draft, which is why I suspect the Seahawks will grab him at six, especially if they bring in Floyd Reese as their GM.
The defensive player of the year voting should tell you that elite corners are in high demand, and on the Seahawks roster, anyone who can stop the pass is welcomed.
Haden does show the potential to be a shut-down NFL corner, but he's not just a cover guy. The Gator will fly up against the run and short passes, dropping the ball carrier dead in his tracks.
There are other needs on the offensive line and a long-term fix at QB, but if Pete Carroll wants to win now he is going to have to stop Larry Fitzgerald and Michael Crabtree four times a year.
7. Cleveland Browns - Derrick Morgan, DE, Georgia Tech
Mike Holmgren likes to draft DBs, OTs, and DEs in the first round. If Joe Haden is off the board and there isn't a real need for an OT this high, the pick seems to be Derrick Morgan, who can be everything for Eric Mangini that Vernon Gholston wasn't.
Morgan isn't just a pass rush specialist, he is as disruptive in the running game as he is the pass. Using a combination of hand moves, speed, and a powerful bullrush, Morgan can become one of the best nine-techs in the NFL rather quickly.
Whether or not the 3-4 is in Holmgren's long-term plan for the Browns, Morgan will be a staple in their defense because he fits any scheme.
8. Oakland Raiders - Bruce Campbell, OT, Maryland
The Raiders are always the toughest team to mock because they have needs at every position but RB and their dictator owner is liable to do anything.
No matter who is the coach and who is the QB, the Raiders need massive help on the offensive line.
Campbell is big and athletic, perfect for Al Davis, and while he isn't totally NFL ready, he can step in and start today—much like current Raider and former Terp, Darrius Heyward-Bey.
How big is Campbell?
At 6'7" and over 310 pounds, he has the length to keep mass rushers off his pads and the size to engulf them in the running game.
How athletic is Campbell?
His father played in the NBA, and Campbell was a standout at both basketball and defensive end in high school. Maryland's strength and conditioning program is also developing quite the reputation.
9. Buffalo Bills - Jimmy Clausen, QB, Notre Dame
The Bills now have Chan Gailey to coach and he can hand-pick his QB, taking Jimmy Clausen to lead them into the new decade.
Clausen is a very strong pick at this point in the draft, he has all of the tools of an NFL quarterback, and his inability to lead has been severely overstated. Clausen has been a focused football player and a winner for some time now and it will be easy for an offense to rally around him.
There is a chance the Bills will draft a left tackle with this pick and try to make Brian Brohm their QB, but starting Brohm this year and letting Clausen learn could be the better option.
10. Denver Broncos (From Chicago) - Dez Bryant, WR, Oklahoma State
After a second major falling-out with Coach Josh McDaniels, it looks like Brandon Marshall will be on the trading block this spring, and the Broncos will need a new go-to receiver.
Last year, we saw McDaniels take a skill player early and it should not surprise anybody if he does it again, especially with a talent like Bryant.
Many missed the opportunity to see Bryant in action this season due to a suspension but he has the size, speed, and body control to be an elite NFL receiver. He is also dangerous in the return game and after the catch.
If Rolando McClain slips, there may be a tough decision here, but Bryant seems to be the front runner.
11. Jacksonville Jaguars - Tim Tebow, QB, Florida
At one point, Tim Tebow in the first round seemed like a major improbability, but as the season progressed, teams and scouts started to look past the flaws in his game (wind-up release, system QB) and look at his pros (rare success, superb leader).
The Jags need something to jumpstart their franchise, especially from the fans' perspective. In North Florida, Tim Tebow is special; he isn't just a football player, he's a role model and an icon.
While Tebow may be more of a second- or third-round talent, it's not to say that he can't be a successful QB in the NFL.
After getting Tebow, the Jags will need to turn their focus to defense, including some free agent spending, but this could be a move that brings the franchise up from mediocrity.
If Tebow has a successful Senior Bowl week, this pick may be a lock.
12. Miami Dolphins - C.J. Spiller, RB, Clemson
Just like the Raiders are the toughest team to mock, Spiller is the toughest player to mock. Sure, a team like the Packers or Seahawks would love him. Who wouldn't want a dual-threat RB who can be Devin Hester or Reggie Bush in the return game?
The Dolphins had plenty of successful backs this year, but both Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams have contracts ending in the next two years, and the combination of age and injuries puts the longevity of Miami's wildcat attack in jeopardy.
Spiller can be wildcat 2.0 and take the direct snap or be the fly motion guy with success. The Dolphins don't really need a return man, but letting Spiller handle punts and Ted Ginn kicks is a lethal 1-2 punch.
I like a WR here, but Miami is in the running for Anquan Boldin and only Bryant is a worthwhile pick at 12. A new nose like Terrance Cody would be a very good pick too, but right now scouts have devalued him to the second round because he is a two-down player.
13. San Francisco 49ers - Taylor Mays, S, Southern California
This pick may have Niner fans outraged, but Taylor Mays will be a hot commodity come April. He has a size/speed combo that hasn't been seen since Sean Taylor, and he is a destructive hitter.
The NFL will suit Mays' style of play better than center field for USC did, and with an NFL pedigree and four years of Pac-10 starts on his side, Mays is more than ready to start right away.
Some may feel the Niners could get Mays with their second pick, but I have a strong feeling the Seahawks will grab him if SF passes, as he played for Pete Carroll, and so did his father.
14. Seattle Seahawks (From Denver) - Anthony Davis, OT, Rutgers
With Mays off the board, it will be easier for the 'Hawks to address their need at tackle. Walter Jones is done and the Seahawks desperately need a player they can trust at left tackle.
Some teams may have Davis as their top tackle in the draft, there are some concerns of inconsistency, but he had some of his strongest performances against the NFL pass rushes of Pittsburgh and South Florida.
It will be interesting to see if the 'Hawks start to lean towards certain tackle prospect during the draft process. Davis is a kid who has been on scouts' radars since his prep days.
15. New York Giants - Navorro Bowman, LB, Penn State
The Giants brought in Perry Farrell as their defensive coordinator and it's believed he will institute his Cover-2 scheme with the Giants.
On the front four, the G-Men have the players to run any scheme, but they need that Derrick Brooks type-linebacker who can cover the pass like a safety and still play fiercely in the run.
Bowman is considered the top true outside linebacker prospect. He doesn't seem to have much value in a 3-4 but he would be perfect in the Cover-2.
He is the best sideline-to-sideline backer in the draft, and teams know what they get with a player from Linebacker U.
16. Tennessee Titans - Jason Pierre-Paul, DE, South Florida
It may be hard for the Titans to pass on the talented Carlos Dunlap, but the franchise is trying to get away from Pacman Jones-type players, and Dunlap's recent arrest may rule him out for the Titans.
Tennessee struggles to mount a pass rush this season. We know they are still looking for Albert Haynesworth's replacement, but the Titans have three ends with expiring contracts this offseason, including Kyle Vanden Bosch and Jevon Kearse.
Pierre-Paul is freakishly athletic; his back flip video could be the Jarron Gilbert pool jump of 2010.
Although he is raw, Pierre-Paul seems hungry and ready to learn how to improve his game. It might be best to keep a guy like Kearse around to teach him for a year but on third and long, Pierre-Paul will be able to let loose.
17. San Francisco 49ers (From Carolina) - Trent Williams, OT, Oklahoma
Coach Mike Singletary wants to run the ball and stuff the run in order to win. At times, the Niners' rushing attack was amazing, but SF needs to be able to run outside of the NFC West as well.
With a need for a right tackle, Williams is the perfect fit. He was stellar on the right side for Oklahoma as a junior and has the versatility to play on the left side if Joe Staley goes down.
With this pick, SF could also look at a guard or a front seven defender, but Williams has the size the team loves and he is a strong value pick in the middle of the first round.
18. Pittsburgh Steelers - Earl Thomas, S, Texas
It's hard not to pick an offensive lineman here, but the Steelers don't typically spend first-round picks on their line. There is a chance Big Ben can talk them into bulking his protection, but that need can also be addressed on the free agent market.
While there is no replacement for Troy Polamalu if he goes down again, Thomas would be an excellent backup. The more likely situation is that Thomas will play beside Polamalu, which reduces the need to resign Ryan Clark or Tyrone Carter this spring.
Being a redshirt sophomore, it's doubtful Thomas would have come out unless he received a very favorable assessment from the NFL Committee; he is a true playmaker and the third elite safety prospect in the draft class.
19. Atlanta Falcons - Brian Price, DT, UCLA
The Falcons are a good team, but they still have many needs. Every position group on defense could use an upgrade, and winning games starts in the trenches.
Price routinely made plays behind the line of scrimmage. He isn't as massive as some tackle prospects are; he has an extremely strong base and plays with great leverage.
Alongside Peria Jerry, this could be a tackle tandem that becomes feared in a few seasons.
20. Houston Texans - Dan Williams, DT, Tennessee
The Texans had a middle-of-the-pack defense this season in terms of rank, but they continued to find themselves in shootout situations while playing an offensively unimpressive schedule.
If Thomas is here he should be the pick at safety and a corner could emerge as a first round value but a run clogging defensive tackle will help the Texans do several things better on defense.
What separates Williams and Terrance Cody is that Williams isn't just massive, he can remain in the game on third down and rush the quarterback. Williams' presence on the D line will make it tougher to stop Mario Williams and Amobi Okoye in those passing situations.
Keep an eye on Senior Bowl practices; if Cody outshines Williams, he may be the pick here and a corner could even sneak into the top 20.
21. Cincinnati Bengals - Mike Iupati, OG, Idaho
Heading into the 2009 season, many suspected the Bengals would have another top 10 pick in the draft. Not only did they surprise everyone, but some of their question mark players stepped up as well.
The Bengals ran the ball well last year and did a nice job of protecting the quarterback, but with two free agent guards and Evan Mathis as more of a fill-in, Iupati may be considered a steal when it's all said and done.
The mammoth guard from Idaho is the most NFL-ready prospect on offense in the draft, he will be an All-Rookie starter in 2010 and a potential All-Pro next to Andre Smith for the next decade.
The Bengals could add depth to their defensive line or go after another receiver here, but it's great to get a sure starter in the first round.
22. New England Patriots - Carlos Dunlap, DE, Florida
Before December, Dunlap was considered a top 10 pick and while his play still supports that notion an embarrassing DUI has teams worried about his commitment to the game.
Defensive ends are always big risk/reward picks, but Dunlap has displayed more versatility than your typical edge rusher.
In the Patriots' 3-4, I see Dunlap filling Richard Seymour's role, not the wide nine rusher. At 290 pounds, Dunlap's 6'6" frame could even absorb more weight playing an inline position and he can get to the QB and bat down passes better than anybody not named Suh when motivated.
We've seen the Patriots scoop up players others thought were damaged goods before, and it's time they do it with a rookie in this mini-rebuilding mode.
23. Green Bay Packers - Bryan Bulaga, OT, Iowa
In the defense of the Packers O-line, some of 51 sacks were due to Aaron Rodgers trying to make plays, but not all of them.
Chad Clifton and Mark Tauscher seem a step slow these days and, with expiring contracts, it's time for the Packers to reload with a pass pro machine like Bulaga.
It's not guaranteed that the Packers will draft a tackle. They found great talent on defense in last year's "weak" draft and with talented tackles and pass rushers on the board could do it again.
Don't expect Green Bay to take just any tackle, but if Bulaga is on the board, he seems like a perfect fit for the Packers.
24. Philadelphia Eagles - Everson Griffen, DE, Southern California
I had Philly pegged to draft Bruce Carter, the UNC backer, but he decided another year of school was best for him.
Until another outside backer makes himself worthy of this pick I suspect the Eagles will look at the D-line.
Griffen isn't as flashy as some of the end prospects but he is better against the run than most and is a true 4-3 end.
With Trent Cole on the other side, Griffen should have some easy opportunities to get to the QB.
25. Baltimore Ravens - Arrelious Benn, WR, Illinois
This is going to be a difficult offseason for the Ravens. They have several key players contemplating retirement and an entire corps of receivers with expiring contracts.
Not only can Arrelious Benn help fill the gap at receiver, but he can give Joe Flacco a legit target who isn't in his mid-30s.
The Ravens have busted on first round WRs like Travis Taylor and Mark Clayton, but the third time could be the charm.
Ozzie Newsome will have a tough decision between Golden Tate and Benn; personally, I like the production of Tate, but until he runs the 40, Benn's size is giving him the edge in the draft.
26. Arizona Cardinals - Brandon Graham, DE/OLB, Michigan
It will be a shame if Brandon Graham's straight-line speed hurts his draft stock because he was undoubtedly one of the top 15 defenders in football this season.
Fortunately for Graham, the Cards do not put a major emphasis on speed from their OLBs. Chike Okeafor and Bertrand Berry are in the mid-30s and their deals are up this season.
Arizona drafted Cody Brown last year, but Graham is ready to make an impact next year.
Arizona could draft a more explosive end like Sergio Kindle or an inside backer like Brandon Spikes to play next to Carlos Dansby, who apparently wants to stay in town, but Graham is a perfect fit for their personnel.
27. Dallas Cowboys - Brandon Spikes, LB, Florida
The Cowboys need some help on the offensive line, but with limited first-round talent remaining and the fact that Jerry Jones does not like to draft OL in the first round, don't expect him to make that move.
What Jones does like to do is add depth to his roster by taking the best player available.
Spikes can learn the Cowboys 3-4 scheme from Bradie James and Keith Brooking while dominating special teams and tailor-made situations.
There is also depth available at rush linebacker or the Cowboys could reach for a down defensive lineman, but Spikes' production speaks for itself.
28. San Diego Chargers - Terrence Cody, DT, Alabama
An injury to Jamal Williams hurt the Chargers' ability to stuff the run this season. Considering he turns 34 this spring with one year left on his contract, the Chargers should feel extremely fortunate if they can draft a man mountain like Cody.
To set the record straight, I feel like Cody is one of the top 15 prospects in the draft, especially with so many teams adopting the 3-4.
When it comes down to it, scouts feel Cody missed far too many snaps, but unlike most teams, I feel that the talent-loaded National Champions had the luxury of resting Cody, so he would be fresher than offensive linemen in key situations.
That being said, don't expect Cody to chase down any quarterbacks. Instead, he can bat down passes at the line of scrimmage and demand the attention of two blockers to free up other rushers.
With a second-round floor and ceiling at the Broncos or Dolphins, it will be an interesting draft process for Cody.
29. New York Jets - Sergio Kindle, DE/OLB, Texas
You can never have too many weapons, and even in the midst of an astonishing playoff run, it's still apparent the Jets don't have an elite edge rusher.
Kindle could make Jets fans forget about Vernon Gholston with his speed and explosive pass rush moves.
Against elite competition, Kindle only seemed to improve, and he seems ready to follow in the footsteps of former Longhorn Brian Orakpo who had 11.0 sacks this year as a rookie.
The Jets need to figure out their receiver situation entering 2010, and line depth would be nice, but BPA is a winning strategy.
30. Minnesota Vikings - Sam Bradford, QB, Oklahoma
This would be a dream come true for the Vikings, especially if Brett Favre returns for a second season.
It may seem like a stretch for Bradford to fall this far, some would call it impossible, but he still has to show he has healed properly from his injury, and it will be impossible for him to show he's durable.
It's easy to be in awe of Bradford's size and accuracy, but Oklahoma has been known for developing system quarterbacks, and Bradford struggled in his last three games when he was under pressure.
While he is still a candidate for the top pick, falling to the bottom of the first round is an equally realistic situation.
31. New Orleans Saints - Sean Weatherspoon, LB, Missouri
Towards the bottom of the first round, the Saints can go a lot of different ways with this pick. Defensive backs, skill positions, and front seven all need depth, and there are a few starting spots available.
One of the difficult things about retaining Jonathan Vilma for good money was that it restricted the Saints ability to grab another difference maker at linebacker.
I question Weatherspoon’s physicality at the point of attack, but his size and speed make him very effective in the passing game and he makes tackles even when teams are running away from him.
32. Indianapolis Colts - Charles Brown, OT, Southern California
The Colts' defense always seems to get torn to pieces throughout the season but the coaches and the backups play, and Bill Polian rarely drafts on need.
Protecting Peyton Manning is the most important thing for the Colts organization. Adding depth at the offensive line could be what keeps the Colts in the playoffs in the event of an injury on the offensive side of the ball.
As the Colts go through the draft process, keep a close eye on the defensive players they stalk. If one seems like a fringe first rounder, he might be their man.
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