NFL Picks Week 12: 4 Games with the Most Value To Wager on

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NFL Picks Week 12: 4 Games with the Most Value To Wager on
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Value Picks

Which NFL games provide a good chance of wagering success when parity is clouding prediction accuracy, and every team from the Chicago Bears to the Denver Broncos seems bunched in a playoff-hunting pack?

Welcome to post-Thanksgiving football!


Did we all see the Detroit Lions self-destruct?

I devoutly hope that every parent in the football-watching country took Ndamukong Suh’s despicable behavior as a teaching moment.

It should be training film for the definition of unsportsmanlike conduct. Funny how the phrase we use isn’t “bad behavior” or “mean behavior.” That kind of complete loss of control is indeed the antithesis of sports: The “un” of sports.

I don’t know what the fallout is going to be, but if Suh played for me, he’d be immediately donating $100,000 to the charity of his choice and then spending the next three weeks working for that charity. Because he would not be on any football field.


How about them Miami Dolphins?

Yes, I know they lost. But the defense is big-time and QB Matt Moore is becoming more and more reliable. As long as you have a strong rushing attack.

I'm sure that most readers will think, as I did, that Moore surely is not in the same class as Tony Romo. Really? 

Moore completed 19-of-32 passes for 288 yards and one TD. Romo's numbers? Twenty-two completions out of 34 attempts for 226 yards, two TDs and two INTs. See what I mean?

The difference in that game was DeMarco Murray having a better day than Reggie Bush/Daniel Thomas.


The Jim and John Harbaugh Bowl was actually a football game between the San Francisco 49ers and the Baltimore Ravens.

I hope you all caught Mike Mayock’s reporting on the difference between the two brothers. He found a man who had been an assistant to both Harbaughs, and this person said (paraphrasing Mike's paraphrase) that if you present both brothers with a brick wall, Jim will bust right through it and John will immediately find three ways around it. Cool.

Just a thought: I hope that Jim stayed in a hotel. Yikes.

Don't you just love Ray Rice? He looked right into the camera at the end of his sideline interview and said, "Happy Thanksgiving, everybody. I hope you enjoyed the game." Well, yes, Ray—we did.

As most of America recovers from too much turkey and pie (and hopefully gave thanks for having too much turkey and pie), we move onward to the NFL weekend proper.

How many of us made that “friendly wager” with the pompous brother-in-law over your Aunt’s sweet potato casserole? Yeah, I thought so.

Unless you live in Vegas, Atlantic City or somewhere else where monetary wagers are legal, I’m sure that your wager involved bragging rights, leaf-raking, car washing or something else that won’t get you into trouble.

Just in case you haven’t yet picked your winners, here are some of the best values available for Thanksgiving Sunday.

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