NFL Picks: Predictions for Every Week 12 Game S/U, Against the Spread, O/U

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NFL Picks: Predictions for Every Week 12 Game S/U, Against the Spread, O/U
Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images
Onward to the Playoffs

Picks Record Through Week 11

Straight Up: 105-54

Against the Spread: 90-69

Over/Under: 80-79

 

Thanksgiving Games

Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions

Straight Up: Green Bay

Against the Spread: Detroit -6.5

Over/Under: Over 56.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers QB Josh Freeman passed for 342 yards on the Packers’ secondary. This may be the week that weakness bites Green Bay in the you-know-what. As always when playing Green Bay, the more points the better. Actually, “more points” is absolutely mandatory.

The ball is firmly in Matthew Stafford’s court as he tries to out-pass Aaron Rodgers. Good luck with that.

I don’t know what was wrong with Stafford in the first half last weekend. Yes, Carolina DB Chris Gamble is good, but the entire linebacking corps is made of papier mache. Detroit fans had better hope that the second-half guy who threw five TD passes shows up at the kickoff on Turkey Day.

(However, can we ask TE Tony Scheffler to revise the “jazz hands” TD dance? I love show tunes more than your average NFL fan, but that was just weird.)

Then there’s Lions RB Kevin Smith. I love what he said in the after-game questions, “If you’re talented and you’re available, you’ll succeed.”

Good for him for staying in shape and continuing to put in the work so that he was ready when Detroit needed him to come back and re-institute a running game. He re-instituted it to the tune of 140 yards and two touchdowns.

Smith may take heart in the performance of Bucs' RB LeGarrette Blount against the Pack in Week 11: 107 yards and a TD. But Blount is about twice as big as Kevin, so let’s not get too carried away.

Aaron Rodgers had an “off” day last Sunday: 299 yards and three TDs. Poor guy. The team is scoring almost 42 points per game. Not a typo.

Analysts everywhere decry the lack of a running game or a running defense in Wisconsin. Well, in the past three weeks, Packers have rushed for almost 106 yards per game and given up less than 104 yards on the ground to opponents. Not exactly Steeler-esque perhaps, but not as bad as many claim.

Of course, Green Bay RB James Starks is questionable. That’s okay. Ryan Grant is back in the mix.

Here’s the thing: The Detroit Lions have sacked opposing QBs 27 times in 11 weeks. They’ll need to do better than that or they will lose. 

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