UFC 130 Fight Card: Early Fight Breakdown and Predictions

Sal DeRoseCorrespondent IMay 6, 2011

UFC 130 Fight Card: Early Fight Breakdown and Predictions

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    UFC 130 is the unfortunate card that gets to follow the great UFC 129 event.

    UFC 130 features a lot of good fighters, including some on the undercard like Thiago Alves.

    UFC 130 will showcase the rematch between Gray Maynard and Frankie Edgar.

    At UFC 125 these two fighters fought valiantly to a draw and now Maynard will get yet another shot at the lightweight title.

    So with all the great matchups and fighters on the UFC 130 card, who wins and who loses?

Preliminary Card

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    LAS VEGAS - JULY 11:  (L-R) Georges St. Pierre battles Thiago Alves during their welterweight title bout during UFC 100 on July 11, 2009 in Las Vegas, Nevada.  (Photo by Jon Kopaloff/Getty Images)
    Jon Kopaloff/Getty Images

    Thiago Alves (18-7) vs. Rick Story (12-3)

    Prediction: Thiago Alves

     

    Miguel Torres (39-3) vs. Brad Pickett (20-5)

    Prediction: Miguel Torres

     

    Kendall Grove (12-8, 1 NC) vs. Tim Boetsch (12-4)

    Prediction: Kendall Grove

     

    Renan Barao (25-1, 1 NC) vs. Cole Escovedo (17-6)

    Prediction: Renan Barao

     

    Michael McDonald (12-1) vs. Chris Cariaso (11-2)

    Prediction: Michael McDonald

Brian Stann vs. Jorge Santiago

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    Middleweight Bout

     

    Brian Stann (10-3 MMA, 4-2 UFC)

    Seven wins by knockout, two by decision, one by submission

    One loss by decision, one by submission, one by knockout

     

    Jorge Santiago (23-8 MMA, 1-2 UFC)

    12 wins by submission, nine by knockout, two by decision

    Five losses by knockout, three by decision

     

    Breakdown- Santiago is the seventh-ranked middleweight on Sherdog and is making his return to the UFC after an unimpressive first stint with the promotion.

    Santiago will be fighting to prove his worth and has been fighting really well as of late.

    Santiago will bring Stann to the ground and work for his 13th victory by way of submission.

     

    Prediction- Santiago by second-round submission

Stefan Struve vs. Travis Browne

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    Heavyweight Bout

     

    Stefan Struve (21-4 MMA, 5-2 UFC)

    14 wins by submission, five by knockout, one by disqualification, one by decision

    Three losses by knockout, one by submission

     

    Travis Browne (10-0-1 MMA, 1-0-1 UFC)

    Eight wins by knockout, one by submission, one by decision

    No losses

     

    Breakdown- Struve's got that edge in size. If Struve can utilize his size he could easily beat Browne.

    Struve is a solid stand-up fighter and has excellent submission skills as seen by his 14 victories by submission.

    Browne is another good stand-up artist as evident by his eight knockout victories and will give Struve trouble standing.

     

    Prediction- Struve by third-round submission

Frank Mir vs. Roy Nelson

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    Heavyweight Bout

     

    Frank Mir (14-5 MMA, 12-5 UFC)

    Eight wins by submission, three by knockout, two by decision, one by disqualification

    Five losses by knockout

     

    Roy Nelson (15-5 MMA, 2-1 UFC)

    Eight wins by knockout, four by submission, three by decision

    Four losses by decision, one by knockout

     

    Breakdown- Mir and Nelson both possess nice Brazilian jiu-jitsu skills.

    Standing though Nelson will have the edge, and after seeing him take a beating from Junior dos Santos who is one of the best strikers in the UFC heavyweight division, I don't doubt him being able to withstand Mir.

    As much as I hate to say Nelson wins, I have to say it.

     

    Prediction- Nelson by unanimous decision

Quinton "Rampage" Jackson vs. Matt Hamill

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    Light Heavyweight Bout

     

    Quinton "Rampage" Jackson (31-8 MMA, 6-2 UFC)

    14 wins by knockout, 10 by decision, seven by submission

    Three losses by knockout, three by decision, one by submission, one by disqualification

     

    Matt Hamill (10-2 MMA, 9-2 UFC)

    Six wins by knockout, three by decision, one by disqualification

    One loss by knockout, one by decision

     

    Breakdown- Hamill, to me, is facing an uphill battle with Rampage. Rampage will be able to neutralize the wrestling of Hamill with good takedown defense. T

    he old Rampage should come out in this fight as he is super close to becoming a title contender in the light heavyweight division.

    Rampage's old knockout was deadly and here it could be displayed against Hamill.

     

    Prediction- Rampage by second round TKO

Frankie Edgar (c) vs. Gray Maynard

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    Lightweight Title Bout

     

    Frankie Edgar (c, 13-1-1)

    Eight wins by decision, three by submission, two by knockout

    One loss by decision

     

    Gray Maynard (10-0-1, 1 NC)

    Eight wins by decision, two by knockout

    No losses

     

    Breakdown- UFC 130 will bring you the third part of the Maynard/Edgar series. In the previous two editions Maynard won the first fight, and then they had a draw in the second fight.

    Edgar had a nice little retaliation in the last fight and both are very good wrestlers.

    If you watch this one you'll be in for a treat, it will be another war in the Maynard/Edgar series and yet another victory for Maynard.

     

    Prediction- Maynard by unanimous decision