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As Art Land once said, when Mars at long last attacked Vegas, "Even in a time of intergalactic crisis, people still want to roll them bones." So forget politics, ignore Imus, put away the Pacman, and bet a wager a player can enjoy all season long...

Gambling on the Games: NFL Total Wins

by Dan Boone (Columnist)

4

1176 reads

Preview/Prediction

June 26, 2008


As Art Land once said,  when Mars at long last attacked Vegas, "Even in a time of intergalactic crisis, people still want to roll them bones."

So forget politics, ignore Imus, put away the Pacman, and bet a wager a player can enjoy all season long.

It makes great bar banter to beg and babble about how you carefully analyzed your team's weekly opponents, and then back it up with your hard-earned dough.

So let's roll Cincinnati Kids, Vegas Vics, and Lefty Rosenthals....

The over/under wager on an NFL team's total wins. It's a bet one can root for weekly, all season long.

Well, that is if one doesn't bet the over on Detroit (6.5) on the promise of Matt Millen's Lions finally roaring, and Jon Kitna being the second coming of, albeit a soda-pop soaked version, whiskey-fueled Bobby Layne, then see them suddenly collapse again.

If the Lions roll out to 0-10, Kitna throws three interceptions for every TD, the defense gives up 38-points a game, and Ford Motors is sold to the Saudis at a deep discount, then your bet ends on Week 10, as the Motown Meows can't make it to seven wins. And rumors of the Los Angles Lions begin to fly.

Yeah, Bobby Layne was a bit better then Johnny Kitna.

The totals are calculated by professionals, so generally, except in the cause of catastrophic injuries or a string of key players arrested for felonies, the numbers are accurate. That is, a player will be watching his wager into the waning weeks of the season.

So let's roll dem bones to feed that jones...

Some see the Washington Redskins as a solid playoff team, as they are returning all of their starters.

My crystal ball sees an aging defense, a fragile running back, a young quarterback learning a new system, and freshmen that are still adjusting to the NFL coaching staff.

All that and they play in a tough division with no weak sisters. Eight is the magic number of wins for the 'Skins, and I say lay the $140 to win $100 that the 'Skins don't skate above eight.

If the wager lands on eight exactly, it's a push. A no play. Money returned. Most folks favor the under on this Redskin bet, so that's why one has to lay the extra vig, the $14 to return $10, on this particular one.

The 'Skins have tough games against the New Orleans Saints, Cleveland Browns, Pittsburgh Steelers, Baltimore Ravens, Cincinnati Bengals, and Seattle Seahawks. No sure wins there.

The Chicago Bears have been blasted in the offseason about the sorry wreck that is their pitiful offense. Likely a rookie left tackle, a rookie running back not adept at blitz pickup, the worst set of wide outs in the league, and the sad state of their quarterbacks will all make the Bears' future look bleak.

The Bears' defense and special teams should be good. The rest of NFC North has untested or weak players at quarterback, so their defense might be enough to steal some games. Their over/under is eight wins.

Can the Bears steal enough wins with some Hester luck and turnovers?

The Colts will crush them Week One. Lay the 10 points with the Colts early and often.

The Jacksonville Jaguars should also easily cage the punchless Bears.

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4 comments Last one added 9 months ago — Leave a Comment

  1. ...

    FINALLY SOME GAMBLING ARTICLES! i myself am in the process of writing a few; not enough on this site, and by god i love gambling on football and was damn good at it last year haha. Keep it up..........

    So far i'm liking most your picks, raiders & vikings especially. On another note i'm having a hard time not taking the steelers (really no choice i think they win the division again which puts them over 9) and the cowboys (while 10.5 seems high this team has the roster to go 14-2, and i'm not sold on washington or the always injury prone eagles just yet.)

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    Um Dan.....you need to study the Raiders a bit more.
    For a sorry offensive line, how'd they manage a 1000 yard rusher, and three different guys getting over 100 yards in a single game?
    And no, not by bribing officials.
    I'd take the bet on the Raiders winning more than 6, and probably reach 8. If I had the money, i'd play 100 for a 10 win season.

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      I would play the money on 6 wins....I highly doubt they will reach 10 wins ... but they are better than last year. With all the Kiffen drama, I dont know how they will manage to win more than 8. I would look for the raiders to hit 10 wins in 2010.

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  3. ...

    Great stuff.

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