The Chiefs hold a lightning rod of sorts at No. 3 overall in the first round. Not so much for whom they might select, but for teams who might be willing to swap with them to move up and get their guy.
Seattle is a wild card right behind the Chiefs at No. 4. The Seahawks quite possibly have more holes to fill on their roster than even the Chiefs, and just might take the "best player available" approach. If they do, look for them to take whichever OT remains on the board between Eugene Monroe or Jason Smith, assuming of course Stafford goes No. 1 and the Chiefs select Curry. I think it's a given St. Louis must take a tackle.
However, the mere threat of Seattle pulling the trigger on Mark Sanchez to groom behind Matt Hasselbeck may be enough to entice teams such as Jacksonville (8), San Francisco (10), Denver (12), Washington (13), and the N.Y. Jets (17) to envy the Chiefs draft slot and make the call. Denver also possesses the No. 18 overall pick and only the Redskins do not possess a second round pick.
Denver's approach to the off-season has been baffling, bringing in more re-treads than a second rate used car shop. Trading away Cutler, firing Mike Shanahan, and bringing in seemingly every available back up running back in the league has left me speechless. To be honest, I have no idea what they are thinking. My guess, however, is that they are eying an impact player that No. 12 and No. 18 may not provide.
If you tally the points associated with draft position, the Chiefs No. 3 selection is worth 2200 points. Denver's No. 12 (1200 points) and No. 18 (900 points) total 2100 points. Throw in their 6th round pick - No. 185, and let's make a deal.
If this deal were made, and I were Mr. Pioli, I would be targeting OL (possibly Oher), DL (Raji if he falls), and LB (Orakpo, one of the USC studs or Everett Brown). Two solid guys for the trading of one, with much less of a signing bonus to boot!
Another interesting facet of the Chiefs draft day strategy is the pawns that continue to be hanging around, either hinting about or demanding a trade or outright release.
In my opinion, the Chiefs would be crazy to enter the 2009 campaign with Larry Johnson on their roster. The man has never proven he can grow up and get over the Priest Holmes shadow that continues to exist, but only in his mind. I'm not sure what the Chiefs could land for him, but you can bet they're willing to listen. I'm not buying the "new LJ" showing up to voluntary workouts and suddenly having his mouth shut - sounds bogus. Maybe he realizes no one really wants him?
Brian Waters has also been disgruntled this off-season, and it appears his stance has brought a "beyond repair" situation. It's unfortunate, as Waters has been a solid performer for the Chiefs, even when in the shadows of the great Will Shields and Willie Roaf. As with Johnson, Waters trade value is limited given his age, however, I also believe the Chiefs will not have him on the opening day roster. Take a 4th or 5th rounder for him and move on.
Tony Gonzales is not going anywhere...at least you would think. His productivity on the field will likely not be matched by any draft pick the Chiefs might secure to trade him, at least this year. Donovan McNabb, I'm hearing you, but...how much is it worth to the Eagles?
My potential trade given the situation of TG and LJ...give the Eagles their goal line back in LJ to complement Westbrook, TG to finally give McNabb a reliable target, and in return, we take one of your first rounders - No. 21 or 28, and a one of your four, 5th rounds picks for grins.
Don't get me wrong, I love Tony G, always have. But for years it has been my philosophy that if your two best offensive players are a TE and a power running back, that doesn't leave much creativity for your offense. The middle of the field has been cluttered with LB's and safeties forever. I don't see us moving forward in to the future with the focus of our offense running through Tony. Peace be with you #88.
I don't believe the success of the Chiefs draft of 2009 will hinge on their selection of Aaron Curry, Eugene Monroe, or Jason Smith. I believe instead it will be dictated by how much movement we can create, and how many picks we can accumulate. This team, while already vastly improved from last year, remains full of holes. Mr. Pioli, let's see what you can do. NFL war rooms, the Chiefs phone lines are open!