New England Patriots vs. New York Jets: Spread Info, Line and Predictions

Thad Novak@@ThadNovakCorrespondent INovember 11, 2011

FOXBORO, MA - NOVEMBER 6:   Tom Brady #12 of the New England Patriots reacts after a missed opportunity against the New York Giants in the fourth quarter on November 6, 2011 in Foxboro, Massachusetts. The Giants won 24-20. (Photo by Jim Rogash/Getty Images)
Jim Rogash/Getty Images

The battle for AFC East supremacy enters Round 2 as the New England Patriots visit the New York Jets on Sunday night. The first meeting between the teams, in Foxboro, ended with a 30-21 Pats victory that New York will aim to avenge.


MetLife Stadium

8:30 pm ET Sunday




New York -1.5, according to Obviously, with such a microscopic spread it basically becomes picking a winner, and at the Meadowlands that should be the Jets.

EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - OCTOBER 23:  Darrelle Revis #24 of the New York Jets celebrates a fourth quarter interception against the San Diego Chargers at MetLife Stadium on October 23, 2011 in East Rutherford, New Jersey.  (Photo by Nick Laham/Getty Images)
Nick Laham/Getty Images


47, according to The Jets’ vaunted defense hasn’t had an easy time keeping the score low this season, so the over is (barely) a good pick.

Key Injuries

New England LB Brandon Spikes (knee), out

New England CB Kyle Arrington (foot), questionable

New England RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis (toe), questionable

New England LB Jerod Mayo (knee), questionable

New York WR Plaxico Burress (back), probable

New York C Nick Mangold (ankle), probable

New York LB Calvin Pace (groin), probable

Fantasy Big Plays

EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - OCTOBER 17:  Santonio Holmes #10 of the New York Jets runs in for a touchdown during a win over the Miami Dolphins  at MetLife Stadium on October 17, 2011 in East Rutherford, New Jersey.  (Photo by Jeff Zelevansky/Getty Images)
Jeff Zelevansky/Getty Images

New York WR Santonio Holmes, though also banged up with a foot injury, has been practicing all week and should have a field day with a weak New England secondary.

New England WR Wes Welker, rarely a bad start in fantasy play, lit up the Jets in Week 5 and should do well again with Pace’s injury hampering the New York pass rush.

Keys to New England Win

The Patriots have to find a way to stop Shonn Greene without loading up eight and nine men in the box, or else Mark Sanchez will eat them alive with play-action passes. On offense, another big game from Green-Ellis or another runner would help, but the key is preventing turnovers.

Keys to New York Win

With the Patriots’ linebacking corps devastated by injuries, establishing Greene and controlling the clock is a feasible strategy. Defensively, the Jets can afford to allow yardage against Tom Brady as long as they hold the Pats to FGs rather than TDs.


New England hasn’t had an easy time of it in the road half of this matchup in recent years, and that trend should continue on Sunday. The Jets are healthier and hotter (three straight wins) and should be able to grind out a narrow victory.