It's time again for another issue of Creature vs. Creature with my fellow writer/nemesis Colton Whittmore .
This Wednesday, June 16, Strikeforce: LA will be broadcast on Showtime at 8pm ET. In the main event, Renato "Babalu" Sobral will meet Robbie Lawler at a catch-weight of 195 pounds.
I'm here to tell you that Babalu will win.
Obvious to anyone that has seen either fighter in action, this is a classic match of styles: striker vs. grappler.
Again, it comes down to the resume of each.
Every time Lawler has faced a submission artist, he has been submitted.
The same can not be said for every time Babalu has faced a striker.
Among the list of Babalu's victims are Mauricio "Shogun" Rua, Cyrille Diabate and Rameau Sokoudjou, all of which are talented strikers that Babalu submitted.
Three of Lawler's five losses have been by submission (his record is listed at four submission losses, but one was due to leg kicks). Evan Tanner, Jason Miller and Jake Shields have all choked Lawler out.
Babalu needs to posture with striking for half a minute or so, then shoot. He can't win this fight without taking it to the ground, where he will have a huge advantage.
Babalu can not risk standing with Lawler; he will get knocked out.
I do think Babalu knows that and he will not make the mistake of trading punches with Lawler. Babalu has been in this situation many, many times.
When a fight is nearly even in terms of experience and two fighters have completely separate styles, it always comes down to who has the best record against that opposing style.
Sure, Babalu has been knocked out by Chuck Liddell, but if we write off everyone who has been stopped by Liddell, then we're ignoring a list of great fighters.
It's as simple as who has done better against fighters similar to the opposing fighter.
Babalu is more well-rounded and he will wint his fight.
Not convinced? Check out Colton's take on the fight .