The fight between Renato Sobral and Robbie Lawler may have more than just a win at stake. The winner gets a title shot in their division, and it is also a chance for "Ruthless" Robbie Lawler to show that he can fight proven submission grapplers and win.
Currently, four of his five losses are by submission. One was due to an injury, and the other loss was due to KO by Nick Diaz way back in the UFC.
For this Strikeforce edition of Creature vs. Creature, I am going to go over reasons why I think "Ruthless" Robbie Lawler will win. My colleague, Bill Jackson, will attempt to explain how Sobral's weak chin will stand up to Lawler's power punches.
Without further ado, I give you the main event.
Robbie Lawler is best suited to fight anyone standing up. You know it. I know it. Babalu knows it. Everyone does.
In this fight, first and foremost, Robbie Lawler needs to avoid the takedown. For all of his short-comings standing up, Renato Sobral has grappling and submissions on par with anyone. World-class? Yes. Given time, he can submit anybody.
But, while standing, he is as mortal as anyone. If Lawler can keep the fight standing, he can swarm Babalu and easily get the KO.
However, if the fight goes to the ground, then Lawler is in deep. If that happens, he will need to secure an underhook so he can stand up. The longer he is down on the canvas, the more time Sobral has to advance position, or find a way to sink in one of his deadly anaconda chokes.
Although Babalu has a lot going for him on the ground, Lawler has all he needs standing up.
"Ruthless" is the perfect nickname for Robbie Lawler. During his fight with Melvin Manhoef back in January, Lawler was getting outclassed and badly beaten while standing. Although the leg kicks he was eating must have been painful, he kept his composure.
Finally, towards the end of the first round, he was rewarded. Although it was a last ditch, hail-mary haymaker punch, Lawler landed, that was all it took. Manhoef was down.
If Lawler can take Melvin Manhoef down with one punch, Sobral shouldn't be that much tougher. That's why I'm predicting a first round KO via Lawler's right hand.
If you have doubts about Lawler's ability, or winning chances, shoot on over to Bill's take on the fight to see why Babalu will win.