Last week's record: 11-5
Overall record: 33-15
Lock of the Week: 2-for-3
Detroit (1-2) @ Chicago (2-1): Detroit is still coming off of the high of their first win since 2007, but I don't think they'll get a winning streak going this week. The Bears have looked much better in the past two weeks than they did in Green Bay three weeks ago. The Bears' defense will force Matthew Stafford into a few picks, and they will finally play a game that doesn't come down to the last few plays.
Chicago wins, 22-12
Cincinnati (2-1) @ Cleveland (0-3): The Browns are a pathetic mess right now. It amazes me how this team was so close to making the playoffs two years ago, and now they are back to not being able to get out of their own way. The only problem Cincy will have is not having a letdown after a huge win. The Bengals will win easily.
Cincy wins, 30-9 (Lock of the Week)
Seattle (1-2) @ Indianapolis (3-0): Going into this game, it's looking like Matt Hasselbeck will have to sit this one out. Seneca Wallace actually played pretty well last week, and he won't have nearly as much pressure as he normally would with Dwight Freeney probably being out of the game. However, the Colts are making so many big plays right now, and Seattle simply won't be able to keep up.
Indy wins, 34-20
New York Giants (3-0) @ Kansas City (0-3): The Chiefs are not moving the ball anywhere near good enough to stay with the Giants. KC looked horrible against Philly last week and they got lit up by a backup quarterback. Eli Manning is going to cut them up. The really good Giants' running game is going to run wild. This game will play out similarly to how KC-Philly game played out last week.
New York Giants win, 31-10
Baltimore (3-0) @ New England (2-1): This is a big game on a lot of levels. Baltimore has had a pretty easy schedule thus far and now they get the Big Bad Pats. The Patriots are pretty banged up right now, and of course, we have no idea if Wes Welker will play or not. The Ravens' offense is moving the ball up and down the field really well right now and they are about to go up against an average defense. Tom Brady will keep it close, but the Ravens will pull it out.
Baltimore wins, 26-20
Tampa Bay (0-3) @ Washington (1-2): There are plenty of reasons to pick Washington in this game, but I'm picking them solely because if they lose this game, there may be a lot of people in the organization that will have an extremely stressful week. They just lost to a team that went winless last year and are about to face a team that has a bad defense and just benched their starter for a second-year, unproven guy. The 'Skins have to win this game.
Washington wins, 20-7
Tennessee (0-3) @ Jacksonville (1-2): Last week I said that the Titans were the only 0-2 team that could afford to go to 0-3. Now they have to win. They can't afford to go to 0-4. Jacksonville, on the other hand, got a much needed win last week, so they won't have the sense of urgency that the Titans will. Tennessee will blow this game open in the second half.
Tennessee wins, 36-21
Oakland (1-2) @ Houston (1-2): Honestly, Houston should win this game easily. But, I never know which Houston team is going to play. They looked horrible in Week One, pretty good in Week Two, and pretty average in Week Three. On the other side, Oakland has a huge problem in JaMarcus Russell. He is playing so bad right now I'm pretty sure Tom Cable is upset that they released Jeff Garcia (who they can re-sign now). JaMarcus Russell plays atrociously again and the Texans get the victory.
Houston wins, 24-16
Buffalo (1-2) @ Miami (0-3): The Dolphins are reeling right now. They've lost Chad Pennington for the rest of the year, and now the future has become the present much quicker than they anticipated with Chad Henne taking the reigns. Buffalo's defense played pretty well last week, but their offense really needs to step up. The Bills are also pretty banged up, but they still have enough to pull out the win.
Buffalo wins, 19-13
New York Jets (3-0) @ New Orleans (3-0): This will make it four weeks now that I've picked against the Jets. Hey, they have to lose sometime. This is the classic "Unstoppable Force vs. Immovable Object" when the Saints' offense and Jets' defense are on the field. I almost always go with defense in these situations, but I'm going with the offense to get the better end of the ordeal this time.
New Orleans wins, 27-17
Dallas (2-1) @ Denver (3-0): Most fans think that the Broncos will eventually come down to Earth with the schedule they have coming up. I agree, but it will not happen this week. I'm going out on a long, fragile branch, but I think Denver pulls this out. They are playing great defense right now and the Cowboys didn't look great in their win over Carolina this past Monday. I think this is a statement game for Denver and they'll win a close one.
Denver wins, 24-21
St. Louis (0-3) @ San Francisco (2-1): It is looking like Marc Bulger will have to sit this one out, which means that means Kyle Boller will play. I don't trust any team that has Kyle Boller under center. Frank Gore probably won't play, but Glen Coffee played pretty well last week, and the Niners will probably be working on a short field a lot. Once again, Steven Jackson will have to play out of his mind for the Rams to get their first victory this year.
San Francisco wins, 28-6
San Diego (2-1) @ Pittsburgh (1-2): LaDanian Tomlinson and Shawne Merriman will both likely play, while Willie Parker and Troy Polamalu will both likely be out. All of those are big because LT adds another weapon to a potentially potent offense, and the Chargers have a different defense without Merriman. Parker just had his best game of the season and Pittsburgh has struggled without Polamalu. In the end, this will all come down to who wants it more. San Diego has never won a regular season game at Pittsburgh and a late Pittsburgh score will keep that streak alive.
Pittsburgh wins, 21-16
Green Bay (2-1) @ Minnesota (3-0): This one isn't as big as it will be when the Vikes visit Lambeau, but it is still a huge game. The Pack have to come out and put up scores early to quiet what will undoubtedly be a loud, emotionally-charged atmosphere. Obviously, that will be tough for Green Bay with all the sacks they have allowed. Now they run into a pretty good defense, and I think that is where the game will be won for Minnesota.
Minnesota wins, 30-24