NBA Betting Preview: Golden State Warriors vs. Miami Heat Odds, Analysis

OddsShark.comFeatured ColumnistFebruary 24, 2016

Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry (30) scores against the Atlanta Hawks in the second half of an NBA basketball game Monday, Feb. 22, 2016, in Atlanta. Golden State won 102-92. (AP Photo/John Bazemore)
John Bazemore/Associated Press

The Golden State Warriors (50-5) have enjoyed their recent trips to South Beach, winning and covering the number in three straight heading into Wednesday’s road matchup with the Miami Heat (32-24) as 8.5-point betting favorites.

The Warriors have also won the past three games against the Heat overall, going 1-1-1 against the spread.

Golden State is 3-1 straight up so far on a seven-game road trip that was interrupted briefly by the NBA All-Star break, winning two in a row since getting crushed 137-105 by the Portland Trail Blazers as eight-point favorites at sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark on February 19.

The last two wins for the Warriors have come against the Los Angeles Clippers and Atlanta Hawks, respectively, putting them back on pace to top the single-season record of 72-10 set by the 1995-96 Chicago Bulls.

Meanwhile, Miami has gone 3-0 SU and ATS since the All-Star break while playing without power forward Chris Bosh. Many thought the Heat would struggle without their leading scorer and second-leading rebounder, but the opposite has occurred.

Luol Deng has filled in nicely for Bosh during this stretch, averaging 23.3 points and 12.3 rebounds. Center Hassan Whiteside has also stepped up in the last two games off the bench, averaging 22 points, 20.5 rebounds and four blocks, as Miami has beaten the Washington Wizards and Indiana Pacers by a combined 28 points.

The Heat’s depth took another hit Tuesday when it was announced that backup point guard Beno Udrih will reportedly miss the rest of the season following foot surgery. Udrih averaged 4.4 points and 2.5 assists in 16.3 minutes per game after coming over from Memphis in a trade for Mario Chalmers earlier in the year.

While that loss is not significant, it leaves Miami with just 10 available players and only one true point guard on the roster in starter Goran Dragic.

With Dragic likely responsible for chasing reigning NBA MVP Stephen Curry around for most of the game, Golden State will probably push the pace even more than usual. The over is 4-1 in the past five meetings, according to the Odds Shark NBA Database, including 2-0 in the last two at American Airlines Arena.

The over is also 3-1 in the Heat’s previous four games overall.