FSU QB Jameis Winston Leads Early 2014 Heisman Odds

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FSU QB Jameis Winston Leads Early 2014 Heisman Odds
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Statistically, the chances of a player winning his second Heisman Trophy are not very good. For recent examples, look at the close-but-no-cigar campaigns of Johnny Manziel and Tim Tebow.

But that won't stop Jameis Winston from being declared the early favorite to repeat in 2014, according to Bovada, which recently listed the early odds for next year's award.

 

Update: Feb. 6, 2014 – 12:35 p.m.

Bovada has updated their Heisman odds, adding a few names to the field and changing the line on certain players.

Here's a look at the new list:

Bovada Heisman Odds (as of Feb. 6, 2014)
Player School Odds
QB Jameis Winston Florida State 12/5
QB Marcus Mariota Oregon 5/1
QB Braxton Miller Ohio State 11/2
QB Bryce Petty Baylor 9/1
RB Todd Gurley Georgia 12/1
QB Brett Hundley UCLA 14/1
RB T.J. Yeldon Alabama 14/1
RB Melvin Gordon Wisconsin 16/1
QB Connor Cook Michigan State 18/1
RB Mike Davis South Carolina 18/1
QB Everett Golson Notre Dame 22/1
RB Ameer Abdullah Nebraska 25/1
RB Derrick Henry Alabama 25/1
QB Sean Mannion Oregon State 25/1
QB Taylor Kelly Arizona State 25/1
QB Trevor Knight Oklahoma 25/1
QB Dak Prescott Mississippi State 33/1
RB Duke Johnson Miami (FL) 33/1
RB Karlos Williams Florida State 33/1
LB Myles Jack UCLA 33/1
QB Nick Marshall Auburn 33/1
QB Rakeem Cato Marshall 66/1
QB Matt Johnson Bowling Green 66/1

Source: Bovada

--END OF UPDATE--

 

Here are the original, pre-update odds:

Bovada Heisman Odds (as of Jan. 24, 2014)
Player School Odds
QB Jameis Winston Florida State 2/1
QB Marcus Mariota Oregon 3/1
QB Braxton Miller Ohio State 11/2
RB T.J. Yeldon Alabama 5/1
QB Bryce Petty Baylor 6/1
QB Brett Hundley UCLA 12/1
RB Todd Gurley Georgia 12/1
RB Mike Davis South Carolina 15/1
RB Melvin Gordon Wisconsin 16/1
QB Everett Golson Notre Dame 25/1
QB Trevor Knight Oklahoma 25/1
RB Duke Johnson Miami (FL) 33/1
RB Karlos Williams Florida State 33/1
QB Matt Johnson Bowling Green 66/1
QB Rakeem Cato Marshall 66/1

Source: Bovada

Winston was the easy choice among a weak field in 2013, leading his Florida State Seminoles to a 14-0 record and BCS National Championship. He finished the year with a quarterback rating of 184.85, which was best in the country by a wide margin.

Next season, the cast around him will be a little different, as guys like Kelvin Benjamin, Devonta Freeman, Kenny Shaw and James Wilder Jr. are all no longer with the team. However, left tackle Cameron Erving shocked many by forgoing the NFL draft, while John Mackey Award finalist Nick O'Leary and leading receiver Rashad Greene are still around to provide quality receiving targets.

Winston should be just fine.

Marcus Mariota and Braxton Miller are understandable options for Nos. 2 and 3. Each was a Heisman candidate at the start of last season, but petered out during the year. Miller was hurt by an injury that affected his final numbers, while Mariota lost steam after getting dominated by Stanford.

Still, Mariota and Miller quarterback two of the best teams in the country, both of which are expected to compete for a spot in next year's College Football Playoff. If either or both can guide their team to a conference championship, they will be suitable alternatives to Winston.

The most curious inclusion is T.J. Yeldon at 5-1. Yeldon doesn't lack for talent and there's certainly a precedent for winning this award in Nick Saban's offense, but after Derrick Henry's breakout performance in the Sugar Bowl, the breadth of his workload remains to be seen.

A 60-40 timeshare is not out of question and might even be preferred by Tide fans.

Props to Bovada for listing Marshall's Rakeem Cato and Bowling Green's Matt Johnson as long shots, capitalizing on the third-place finish of Northern Illinois' Jordan Lynch in 2013. But even at 66-1—and with all due respect—anyone who takes those bets is a sucker.

If Winston repeats, he would become the second two-time winner in history. The feat has not been achieved since Archie Griffin in 1974-75.

 

Follow Brian Leigh on Twitter @BLeighDAT.

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