Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction

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Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction
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The Dallas Cowboys are a perfect 5-0 against NFC East rivals this season and 4-1 against the spread. If they can complete a season sweep of the division, they'll be division champs.

However, Dallas might be without the injured Tony Romo when they host the Philadelphia Eagles in a battle for the crown Sunday night.

 

Point spread: Eagles opened as two-point favorites, but the number ballooned with the Romo injury news; the total was 55.5. (Line updates and matchup report)

 

Odds Shark computer prediction: 28.3-25.3 Eagles

 

Why the Eagles can cover the spread

After bombing the Chicago Bears Sunday night 54-11, Philly is now 7-3 ATS with Nick Foles starting at quarterback this season. The Eagles racked up 289 yards on the ground against the Bears on their way to their sixth win in their last seven games. And while their offense is putting up pinball-type numbers, the Philadelphia defense, while only ranking 30th overall, has held 10 of its last 11 opponents to 21 points or less.

They face a team that has struggled with the point spread at home in recent years and which rides a 1-9 ATS streak in season finales over the past decade.

 

Why the Cowboys can cover the spread

Dallas showed some resilience, putting that loss to Green Bay behind them, rallying for a late touchdown to beat the Redskins in Washington Sunday, 24-23, staying alive in the playoff hunt in the process. Yes, the Cowboys might be without Romo, but backup Kyle Orton has some experience, having gone 35-34 as an NFL starter.

And if Dallas can get a running game going with DeMarco Murray, who's rushed for 370 yards over the last three weeks, they won't have to depend on Orton for too much.

 

Smart Pick

The Odds Shark computer is predicting a Philly win and cover, and that's hard to argue with. The Eagles are rolling, while Dallas must be reeling after the Romo news.

The Cowboys beat Philly in the first game between these teams this season, 17-3 back in October, but the Eagles had a problem at quarterback at that moment. No longer. Philly runs to daylight, a division title and a cover Sunday in Arlington.

 

Trends:

  • Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last five games on the road
  • Dallas is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games at home
  • OVER is 7-1 past eight Eagles road games
  • Cowboys are 5-0 SU within division in 2013
  • Cowboys 1-9 ATS past 10 season finales

 

Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark - follow us on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.

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