Cincinnati Bengals vs. San Diego Chargers: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction

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Cincinnati Bengals vs. San Diego Chargers: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction
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While the Cincinnati Bengals are stuck in a 1-6-1 ATS run on the highway, six of the past seven meetings between these two have played over. Both teams have an eye on the playoffs and are motivated.

Point spread: The Bengals opened as 1.5-point favorites, but Charger money pushed the line closer to even by late Tuesday; the total was 47.5. (Line updates and matchup report)

Odds Shark computer prediction: 27.0-22.0 Bengals

 

Why the Bengals can cover the spread

Cincinnati has played in a comfort zone through the first three quarters of this season, but if it's not careful, it may find itself in jeopardy of losing the top spot in the AFC North to the surging Pittsburgh Steelers or defending Super Bowl champion Baltimore Ravens. Cincy has to be in must-win mode.

 

Why the Chargers can cover the spread

San Diego's marathon win in Kansas City may have saved the Bolts' season, as their playoff hopes remain alive in a wide-open race in the AFC. Remember, this is the same team that held the Colts to nine points in October and came close to upsetting the Broncos earlier this month.

San Diego faces a Bengals team that struggles to cover the number on the road, and the number is very small.

 

Smart Pick

The Chargers are in the right spot here, and it's a bit puzzling to see them catching points at home. The Bengals are 2-4 on the highway, and, by knocking them off here, San Diego would enhance its chances for a Wild-Card berth.

 

Trends

  • Six of past seven meetings played over the total
  • Bengals are 1-6-1 ATS past eight road games
  • San Diego is 1-4 ATS in its last five games when playing Cincinnati

 

Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark. Follow them on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.

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