NFL Week 1 Picks: New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills

Jeff Grant@@JeffGrantSportsContributor IMay 21, 2013

NFL Week 1 Picks: New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills

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    The New England Patriots are 8-1 against the spread in their last nine road games against the Buffalo Bills, which is important to consider when making your Week 1 NFL picks, with the teams scheduled to meet on Sunday, Sept. 8 at Ralph Wilson Stadium.

    Sports bettors will find that the Patriots are 6.5-point favorites in the pro football odds (courtesy of SBR Forum), while the total sits at 53 in the market.

    Let's take a closer look at this AFC East matchup from a betting perspective, while offering up a prediction on the total along the way. 

New England Patriots

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    Against the Bills, the Patriots will try to move past their 28-13 defeat to the Baltimore Ravens as eight-point home favorites in the 2013 AFC Championship Game. It's worth noting that New England has covered the number in five of its last seven September contests.

    NFL handicappers will find that the Patriots are 19-8-1 against the spread in their last 28 overall meetings with the Buffalo Bills.

Buffalo Bills

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    The Buffalo Bills are going to have a hard time taking a step forward after going 6-10 during the 2012 season, as Kevin Kolb and E.J. Manuel leave a lot to be desired at the quarterback position.

    NFL handicappers will find that the Bills have covered the number in six of their last eight season openers.  

Prediction

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    I'm going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their early NFL Week 1 picks, as the Buffalo Bills will likely be conservative offensively after turning the ball over nine combined times in two regular-season meetings with the New England Patriots in 2012.

    NFL Pick: Under 53 

     

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