I know, I know, nobody likes a writer who retroactively claims that they picked the underdog, but if you want to hunt down archived episodes of my radio show, you'll see that I called Warriors in six.
Then David Lee got hurt and I wavered.
So naturally, the Warriors went on to win Game 2 without him. And now? Golden State is in prime position to stun the No. 3 seeded Nuggets and advance to the Western Conference semifinals.
It all starts with home-court advantage.
The Warriors, who only need to win three more games to win the series, now play three of the next four games at home.
Their record in Oakland? 28-13.
Meanwhile, the Nuggets are a mediocre 19-22 on the road.
Remember the "We Believe" Warriors of 2007? They took a road split to start their series against the Dallas Mavericks. And then they won Game 3. Followed by Game 4. The series ended in Game 6. Just as the current Warriors do, the '07 team only had to win one road game.
And the 2013 Nuggets? They're no '07 Mavs.
Just as David Lee is out, Denver isn't without its own injury issues.
Danillo Gallinari has a torn ACL and obviously isn't playing. Kenneth Faried is banged up as well. Neither team is at full strength, and when that's the case, you'd better hope you have the best player in the series.
Will Golden State beat Denver?
Which brings us to Stephen Curry.
Curry is the only star in the series, and make no mistake, he is a star. He broke the record for most three-pointers in a season. He averages 23 points per game and led a Golden State team that's basically allergic to defense all the way to the playoffs.
And when things get tight? Curry is at his best. Aside from his brilliant 30-point performance in Game 2, Curry is best known for his legendary 2008 NCAA tournament run.
You know, the stretch in which he singlehandedly took down Gonzaga, Georgetown and Wisconsin?
Or maybe you remember him coming within one possession of stunning Kansas.
Pressure won't faze Stephen Curry, but the Nuggets? They don't have a star who can match him. That was the price of building this particular team, or as I like to call it, "the 'Melo tax."
Ignore the seedings, ignore the records, ignore your preconceived notions about these teams. Golden State can absolutely topple the Nuggets in this series.
We believe, and so should you.