SEC Football Predictions: Week 11 Winners and Losers
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I knew last week was going to be a doozy. I had a lot of real world dilemmas and posted my predictions well after the feeling was right and the "homerism" kicked in. After my 11/5 prediction debacle, I'm 64-9 on the season.
At least I was above .500 on my picks. However, I sold myself down the river on Vanderbilt's quality and the gutlessness of the Right Reverend Nutt. Alabama and LSU—well, I couldn't have beaten the spread with Britney Spears and a 1955 300SL Gullwing Coupe Mercedes Benz.
I have to make up for this past weekend, so lets roll up the sleeves and get to work.
Louisiana Tech @ Mississippi: This is an interesting game if you didn't already know it. LaTech just got through beating Fresno State. You remember, one of the two teams that the Rebels beat this year. Another side note—LaTech also beat Utah State in Logan. Can they can do the same at Ole Miss? And, how will the Rebels react to the ousting of Nutt? I think they'll rally.
Mississippi wins 27-23
Western Kentucky at LSU: The Hilltoppers catch the Tigers at the right time. Tired, hurt and not hungry. But that isn't going to stop LSU from obliterating WKU.
LSU wins 41-3
Tennessee at Arkansas: Can you smell upset here? I can't either. UT is down all kinds of players—quarterback Tyler Bray isn't ready to play yet, and even if he were, which receiver would step up to the plate? Arkansas is trying to hold onto a great season and is looking forward to LSU, but that doesn't mean they'll slip up here.
Arkansas wins 35-14
Kentucky at Vanderbilt: The 'Dores have three more shots to get two wins and make it to a bowl game in head coach James Franklin's first year. Emboldened after their beatdown of Mississippi, the Wildkittens also need two wins in order to make postseason play. The problem is that Vanderbilt is a lot tougher than Ole Miss. It's crunch time.
Vanderbilt wins 28-20
Alabama at Mississippi State: After a home loss to the LSU Tigers that came down to the final play in overtime, the Tide have to salvage their BCS national championship hopes and put enough points on the board to remain No. 3 in the standings. I expect somewhat of a letdown by Alabama in this game, but that doesn't mean a loss. The Alabama defense takes pride in their work.
Alabama wins 38-10
Florida at South Carolina: We are now in the stretch where the Gamecocks do their about-face. With quarterback Connor Shaw being medically cleared to play, South Carolina has the chance to stop that habit. The Gators are not as potent as they could be on defense and are very susceptible to the pass attack. SC needs this win and a Georgia loss to get back in the eastern title race.
South Carolina wins 31-21
Auburn at Georgia: Uh oh, Trovon Reed is 100 percent healthy. I don't know if that makes a difference here, but I'm sure the Auburn faithful will take it as a sign of strength.
This is the Deep South's oldest rivalry, or so they say. I will tell you this, not only is it old but close too. If I read the record correctly, Auburn leads the series by two wins (54-52-8) in 114 games played between the two.
Well, the Dawgs have a chance to bring it one game closer to a tie. After suspiciously sitting several key running backs this weekend for failed drug tests (a week after the tests were administered....hmmm), UGA looks to field a full offense against a rested Tigers team.
Defensively, Georgia has been doing what it was supposed to against teams of lesser quality while exhibiting an offense that is less than stellar. The Tigers may just fit the same mold. Their defense is porous against better than average offenses, and their offense is subpar against mediocre defenses.
Nonetheless, Auburn returns Emory Blake and the aforementioned Reed to the offensive lineup.
Georgia met Marcus Lattimore early in the season. He put up 176 yards on them.
Now they meet Michael Dyer. I don't care how many rushers they shut down after Lattimore, they haven't met Dyer yet.
Georgia has to win this game in order to keep its eastern title hopes alive.
Auburn has to win this game to keep a modicum of respect and create momentum for the Iron Bowl.
This could turn out to be a high-scoring game.
Auburn wins 27-24
This season, out of the nine incorrect picks I've made, Auburn accounts for three of them. That includes winning and losing predictions. But, remember that I'm 64-9 on the season. Therefore, I think there is not too much of a need for a UGA loss backtrack.
Could UF pull the upset this weekend? It is possible, but I think with home-field advantage and a fairly stout defense, the Gamecocks can hold their own.
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