Breeders' Cup 2011 Favorites: Uncle Mo Should Not Be Frontrunner in Classic

Dan TylickiAnalyst INovember 5, 2011

LOUISVILLE, KY - APRIL 29:  Uncle Mo runs during the morning exercise session in preparation for the 137th Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on April 29, 2011 in Louisville, Kentucky.  (Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images)
Matthew Stockman/Getty Images

In this year's Breeders' Cup Classic, which takes place tonight, one of the consistent favorites has been Uncle Mo. Alongside Havre De Grace, So You Think, and Flat Out, Uncle Mo has had low odds and, according to many, is better than ever.

However, Uncle Mo is known as the horse who was scratched from the Kentucky Derby and later found to have cholangiohepatitis, a rare liver ailment that was life-threatening, let alone career-threatening. He has now recovered from it and looks to bounce back on the racetrack.

There is no question in my mind that Uncle Mo is a great story. It's not every day that a horse bounces back from something so serious to be a contender in any race, let alone one as major as the Breeders' Cup Classic.

Having said that, he is considered one of the favorites in tonight's race despite not participating in much other than the King's Bishop Stakes. Is he ready for such a major race, when participating in a different one may have been better for him?

Uncle Mo has not raced in anything this long before, at 1 1/4 miles, and considering him one of the frontrunners makes no sense from a betting perspective. Would you put money on a horse at 5-1 or so odds who has yet to win since a major illness, and hasn't been in a race this major in a long time?

Make no mistake about it, I would love to see him win. It would be a nice finish to a solid career that could have potentially been great. To place him as one of the favorites given his history, however, just makes no sense.

If he wins in the Breeders' Cup Classic tonight, though, that will be the story, and where he's being placed now will not matter.