He isn't the only key, just the biggest.
It was another positive previous week for my predictions. I went five for five on my picks last weekend but seriously, who couldn't have picked those? Okay, A lot of Florida fans.
So far this season I'm 60-6 on picks in the SEC. I would have to go back and look at the spreads I gave in order to see how that turned out. However, last weekend I think I was four out of five against the spread.
This weekend is giving me a little bit more of a headache when it comes to the picks. I just want to be above .500. So lets get started.
UT Martin at Mississippi State
The Bulldogs did what I thought they would do this past weekend and beat Kentucky. It wasn't with great flash, but it was effective. This game gives them the possibility to get some plays down, solidify some defensive issues and get ready for the Tide the following weekend.
Mississippi State wins 41-13.
Ole Miss at Kentucky
MSU collected their first SEC win of the season against the Wildkittens. I would like to say that another Mississippi school could do the same. This game I dub "The Bottom-feeders' Bowl".
Two deplorable defenses accompanied by offenses that are just as atrocious spell maniacal doom. However, I have to think that Ole Miss has the edge here, with UK's quarterback on the fritz. That is, if they play the whole game, and we know that is almost impossible.
Ole Miss wins 27-21
New Mexico State at Georgia
Luckily for UGA, which lost three running backs to suspension, they will face a pretty dismal rushing defense in New Mexico State. This is going to be a passing game on both sides of the ball.
After the Dawgs' performance (specifically Aaron Murray's) in their game against Florida (the World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party), they need to work on their passing game before they play Auburn and Georgia Tech.
Georgia wins 31-13
Middle Tennessee State at Tennessee
You know what is scary about this game? Nothing.
MTSU has a decent offense when they play weak defenses. The only problem is they have a weak defense, as well. Expect the Vols to put some points on the board.
Tennessee wins 41-17
Vanderbilt at Florida
Oh my! Florida has gone down hill fast thanks to the outstanding systems of ex-coach Urban Meyer. On the other hand, Vanderbilt has lost games as expected but has also played better than expected. This is a tough game to call.
The Gators have not established any sort of run game in their last four outings. And quarterback John Brantley is still tender while a good bit of the starters are nursing some injuries, as well.
Vanderbilt doesn't have much of a passing game but still has a good running game, relatively speaking. I think the intangibles of penalties, turnover margin, interceptions and such offer a variety of possibilities.
Vanderbilt wins 24-23
South Carolina at Arkansas
No. 9 in the BCS is coming into No. 7's home. The expected is expected.
Yes, the Hogs have been playing poor ball. However, I may just admit that opponents have been playing better ball against them. The same could go for the Gamecocks, but I don't see it that way.
With Lattimore out and Conner Shaw fizzling after the Kentucky game, it seems that the USC offense will continue to sputter. Arkansas plays a lot better at home, and that should show this weekend.
Arkansas wins 31-21
LSU at Alabama
What could be said about this game that has not already been said? Everyone has keyed-in on strength of schedule and statistics in passing, rushing, defensive scoring, turnovers and everything under the sun.
The Tigers are capitalists. You give them a turnover and they make you pay quickly.
The Crimson Tide are entrepreneurs. They change speed and ideology to create their gains.
Of course, I pull for Alabama. It is hard for me to pick against the Tide. It is even harder to pick against Alabama when they have a team of this nature with a stout defense, offensive balance and a home-field advantage.
Alabama wins 27-17
Four of these games could go the other way. I'm looking at you, Florida...and you, Kentucky...and you, South Carolina.
Alabama is not like this LSU team (especially Les Miles) and will not throw in a trick play here for the win. LSU has also played in hostile environments before.
In the end, does it really matter about the backtrack? You know who you want to win, and I know who is going to win. Well, maybe not in this tough week of picks.