Now once again Diaz gets to gameplan for GSP who is irked and angered by Diaz's post-fight comments.
Diaz is already onto his first key to victory, getting inside the head of GSP. Diaz is going to need to make GSP bring the fight to him and make it a brawl. He needs to anger GSP as much as possible to make this his fight.
If Diaz can successfully do that his next step will be to push an aggressive pace that drains GSP and puts GSP on the defensive. By pushing an aggressive pace he can try and catch GSP moving backwards or catch a mistake in his striking.
But if he does push an aggressive pace he has to make sure of GSP's takedown ability and respect it by wearing down the legs of GSP. It is nearly impossible for Diaz to stop GSP's takedowns, but he has to do what he can to minimize them.
If he can stop GSP's takedowns then he has to land as many clean shots as possible. GSP does not like to get hit—but then again who really does?—and if he can land a few shots he will make GSP worry and take his mind off of the fight.
In his fight against Diaz's teammate, Jake Shields, GSP worried the whole fight about his eye injury. If Diaz can make GSP worry about his pressing pace and start making one of his eyes swell up, he can definitely win this fight.
Diaz just needs to put it together and avoid the takedowns. If he can stuff these takedowns and keep the fight standing by making this into a brawl, Diaz has a legit shot at a belt.