BCS Standings 2011: Mapping out Path to the BCS Title for Boise State Football

Bob BajekAnalyst IIIOctober 26, 2011

BCS Standings 2011: Mapping out Path to the BCS Title for Boise State Football

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    Boise State is ranked highly in the BCS standings, but the Broncos and Heisman Trophy candidate Kellen Moore have their eyes on the BCS National Championship Game.

    The Broncos (7-0, 2-0 Mountain West) are ranked No. 4 in the BCS and No. 5 in the AP Top 25. They already had an impressive road victory over No. 22 Georgia to begin the season.

    However, Boise State's schedule has not been too difficult and the team needs to make up BCS ground on leaders LSU, Alabama and Oklahoma State.

    Do the Broncos have what it takes to get to the BCS National Championship Game?

    Here is a possible road for Boise State's championship hopes.

Boise State's Remaining Schedule

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    Obviously, if Boise State wants to play in the BCS National Championship Game, the team needs to win out.

    The Broncos do not have that difficult of a schedule remaining, but there are games where they could lose. 

    Easy matchups include a road game against UNLV (1-5, 0-1 Mountain West) and a home game facing New Mexico (0-7, 0-2). Nov. 26's game against Wyoming (4-2, 1-0) should not be too hard as Boise State beat the Cowboys 51-6 last year.

    Facing San Diego State (4-2, 1-1) Nov. 19 on the road will be more challenging.

    The Aztecs have a good quarterback in Ryan Lindley (1,285 yards, 12 touchdowns) and a strong running back in Ronnie Hillman (799 yards, 10 touchdowns).

    Probably the Broncos' biggest road block to the championship game will be Nov. 12's showdown with TCU (5-2, 3-0). The Horned Toads are led offensively by quarterback Casey Pachall (1,566 yards, 15 touchdowns) and wide receiver Josh Boyce (604 yards, five touchdowns).

BCS No. 3 Oklahoma State

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    No. 3 Oklahoma State (7-0, 4-0 Big 12) has quality wins over No. 8 Texas A&M, Texas and Missouri, all on the road.

    The Cowboys have an extremely potent offense that is ranked second in the nation in scoring (48.6 points a game) and passing yards (387.4 a game).

    They are led by quarterback Brandon Weeden (2,436 yards, 19 touchdowns), wide receiver Justin Blackmon (662 yards, eight touchdowns) and running back Joseph Randle (690 yards, 12 touchdowns).

    Oklahoma State has a way harder schedule remaining than Boise State. The Cowboys will face No. 10 Kansas State (7-0, 4-0) and No. 11 Oklahoma (6-1, 3-1) at home.

    The Wildcats have been hot and are eying a national title. The Sooners will look for a good BCS bowl game with a win over their arch rival. Losing to any of these two would severely damage Oklahoma State's chances of playing in the Big 12 title game.

    Without winning the Big 12 title, the Cowboys will not be able to play for a national championship.

    No. 20 Texas Tech (5-2, 2-2) will be a road game. The Red Raiders knocked off Oklahoma 41-38 last week to kill the Sooners' title hopes.

    Perhaps the game that could eliminate the Cowboys' title hopes is losing to Baylor this Saturday. Bears quarterback Robert Griffin III is a Heisman Trophy candidate (1,950 yards, 22 touchdowns, two interceptions) who's the second-most accurate passer in the country.

    The Bears are seventh nationally in passing yards (341.3 a game) and Griffin could tear apart Oklahoma State's average defense (65th at 26.9 points a game) with his favorite target Kendall Wright (757 yards, nine touchdowns).

BCS No. 2 Alabama

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    No. 2 Alabama has been nothing short of impressive in 2011.

    The Crimson Tide (8-0, 5-0 SEC) have a strong offense (14th with 39.4 points a game) and the nation's top defense (6.9 points and 180.5 yards a game). 

    Running back Trent Richardson (989 yards, 17 touchdowns) is a leading Heisman Trophy candidate as he has left opponents in the dust. Richardson's most impressive outing was Oct. 15's road win over Ole Miss where he had 183 yards on 17 carries for four scores.

    Linebacker Courtney Upshaw (27 tackles, 4.5 sacks and a pick) leads the defensive effort. 

    Games against Mississippi State (3-4, 0-4) and Georgia Southern (7-0, 5-0 Southern) should be cakewalks. However, No. 1 LSU (8-0, 5-0) and No. 23 Auburn (5-3, 3-2) will be the biggest hurdles for Alabama to make the national title game. Alabama is hosting LSU Saturday in an epic SEC showdown with national championship chances on the line.

    The Tigers offense is scary, posting 37 touchdowns in eight games. Wide receiver Rueben Randle (638 yards, seven touchdowns) and running backs Spencer Ware and Michael Ward (combined 953 yards and 12 touchdowns) lead the Tigers offense.

    For the defense, cornerback Tyrann Mathieu (43 tackles, two interceptions, 1.5 sacks) is one of the nation's top corners. Defensive ends Barkevious Mingo (20 tackles, six for loss, four sacks) and Sam Montgomery (27 tackles, four for loss, four sacks) make opposing quarterbacks and running backs quiver. 

    If Alabama wins or loses an extremely close game, Auburn could possibly knock them off.

    Playing home, Auburn will have hopes to derail LSU's title hopes. Auburn is led by running back Michael Dyer (812 yards, eight touchdowns) and defensive end Corey Lemonier (31 tackles, nine for loss, six sacks).

BCS No. 1 LSU

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    No. 1 LSU (8-0, 5-0 SEC) has been blowing out opponents all year long.

    The Tigers already beat five ranked teams this year (Oregon, Mississippi State, West Virginia, Florida and Auburn) by an average of 23.4 points per win.

    They are nationally ranked third defensively (11.5 points and 251.38 yards a game).

    LSU also has some of the nation's top players in wide receiver Rueben Randle, defensive ends Barkevious Mingo and Sam Montgomery, and standout cornerback Tyrann Mathieu.

    The Tigers hit the road Saturday to face No. 2 Alabama (8-0, 5-0). This game will set up either LSU or the Crimson Tide in prime position for playing in the BCS National Championship Game.

    If LSU wins or loses a close game, its next challenge comes after cream puffs Western Kentucky (3-4, 3-1 Sun Belt) and Ole Miss (2-5, 0-4), as No. 10 Arkansas (6-1, 2-1) has the best chance of beating the Tigers on Nov. 25. 

    The Razorbacks have a strong offensive attack, ranking ninth in the pass (321.9 yards a game) and 19th in points (37.7 a game). Quarterback Tyler Wilson (2,011 yards, 12 touchdowns) paces the offensive attack.

Prognosis: Boise State Has Strong Chance To Play in BCS Title Game

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    Boise State has a great chance to play in the BCS National Championship Game.

    The Broncos are led by quarterback Kellen Moore (2,010 yards, 24 touchdowns) and should be able to dominate his team's weak opponents as well as beat a tough TCU team.

    Winning out positions the Broncos well for the title game.

    Oklahoma State, Alabama and LSU all have tougher schedules. OSU has to play hungry Kansas State and Oklahoma teams that are vying for a Big 12 title and possible BCS bowl berths.

    Either Alabama or LSU will fall come Saturday, but both should not lose that much in the standings if the game is close. However, LSU could lose to Auburn and Alabama could realistically lose to a strong Arkansas team.

    With that in mind, expect to see the Broncos at the BCS National Championship Game come January.

    Bob Bajek is a writing intern at Bleacher Report. He is also a freelance reporter and can be followed at Patch.com and Twitter.