Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears: Last Minute Spread Info and Predictions

Matt FaulconerFeatured ColumnistSeptember 25, 2011

CHARLOTTE, NC - SEPTEMBER 18:  Aaron Rodgers #12 of the Green Bay Packers against the Carolina Panthers during their game at Bank of America Stadium on September 18, 2011 in Charlotte, North Carolina.  (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)
Streeter Lecka/Getty Images

One of the best rivalries in all of sports renews today as the Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears collide in an early season divisional rivalry.

Jay Cutler and the Chicago Bears got off to a fast start against the Atlanta Falcons, but they faltered against the New Orleans Saints in Week 2.

The defending Super Bowl Champion Green Bay Packers have had a better start as they held on for a victory against the New Orleans Saints, before knocking off rookie sensation Cam Newton and the Carolina Panthers.


Where: Soldier Field (Chicago)

When: September 25, 4:15 p.m. EST

Watch: DirecTV 715, Fox


Over/Under: 45.5

This one should be a no-brainer with the way these teams are playing. The Bears gave up 30 points last week to the New Orleans Saints, and the same thing could happen this week against the Green Pay Packers.

On the other hand, the Packers secondary have been lit up defensive the first two weeks, and Jay Cutler could do the same thing this week.

These teams are going to score big in this one, bet the over without a doubt in your mind.


Spread: -4

It is always difficult to pick a road team in such a huge rivalry, but they are the defending Super Bowl Champions for a reason.

Aaron Rodgers gets up for games like these, and the Packers will look to exploit the Cover-2 defense of Chicago.

Jimmy Graham and Tony Gonzalez both had effective games in the first two weeks against Chicago, and the same will happen this week with Jermichael Finley.

Finley should help open up space for Greg Jennings and Jordy Nelson, and the Packers offense will once again prove to be unstoppable.


Key Injuries

Nick Collins is out for the year for the Packers, which is a huge blow to the team's secondary. Everyone else on the injury report is probable, including Charles Woodson and Jermichael Finley, and should be good to go on Sunday.

The Bears are without Earl Bennett and first-round pick Gabe Carimi, while Roy Williams and Marion Barber are both questionable for the game.


Fantasy Big Plays


Matt Forte

Forte is a must-start in every fantasy league nearly every week, and this week is no different. The Packers have struggled defensively this season, and while they have done a decent job of stopping the run, Forte will pick up huge chunks of yards through the air.

He is one of the best receiving backs in the league, if not the best, and will torch the Packers defense in this one.


Jermichael Finley

 As mentioned previously, Finley is primed to have a big day against the Bears cover-2 scheme.

The cover-2 generally struggles against elite tight ends and this week will be no different.

Both Tony Gonzalez and Jimmy Graham have had good fantasy weeks against the Bears, so expect Rodgers to look for Finley early and often in this one.


Keys to Victory for Packers

Dominate time of possession.

The Packers will need to run the ball effectively this week, in order to keep the Bears offense off the field. Not because they are concerned about being beaten by the Bears offense, but because they will want to wear down the Bears defense.

James Starks will be called upon to pick up first downs and keep the Bears defense out on the field, so the Packers can take advantage in the fourth quarter.


Keys to Victory for Bears

Protect Jay Cutler.

The Bears have struggled to protect Jay Cutler this year, as he is seemingly hit every time he drops back to pass.

If the offensive line struggles this week, Clay Matthews and the rest of the Packers defense will have a field day knocking Cutler down, and containing the Bears offense.


Final Score

Green Bay Packers 27
Chicago Bears 21


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