It is hard to say that anyone so early in his career is already on his way to have a hall of fame career. However once I started doing some research for this article it became much easier.
Derrick Rose is only 22. He has only been in the league three seasons and has yet win a title. If he had stayed in school for four years like Tim Duncan he would be entering his first NBA season instead of his fourth.
However I am here to tell you that Derrick Rose, barring injury, is well on his way to have a Hall of Fame career by accomplishing just some of the things he has already accomplished. Some of the stats and things I will bring up may shock you but trust me they are backed up by some very good research.
Being the first overall pick doesn’t mean that someone is going to be a hall of famer but it sure doesn’t hurt.
For every player like Kwame Brown or Michael Olowokandi there is a David Robinson or Earvin “Magic” Johnson.
The NBA started the draft in 1947 and for purposes of this article I am going to look at the first 40 years since more recent players might not even be eligible for the hall yet.
Out of the 40 first overall picks from 1947-1987, thirteen of them have been elected into the hall of fame. That is good enough for 32.5 percent of all player drafted first overall make it to the hall of fame.
Much like being the first pick in the draft doesn’t ensure that you will be a hall of fame player, winning rookie of the year doesn’t either but it does improve your odds.
The NBA started giving out the rookie of the year awards during the 1952-1953 season and for purposes of this piece I will stick with the 40 year range I used for the first overall pick. So from the beginning of the 1952 and the end of the 1993 season 21 out of 40 got the call from the hall and if you want we can actually say 22 because we know Shaq will be getting the call soon enough as well as a few others like Larry Johnson. Remember this is not the NBA hall of fame. It is all basketball hall of fame so college careers and post playing career are included.
I am going to stick with 23 rookie of the year winners have made it to the hall which is good enough for 57.5 percent. Want a better stat?
Nine (including Shaq) first overall picks have won the rookie of the year award and of that nine do you wanna guess how many are hall of famers?
SEVEN which is good enough for 77 percent. Notice how these numbers just keep going up?
Like a fine wine Derrick Rose only gets better with age.
Every season Derrick Rose has improved some aspect of his game.
Scoring has risen every year from 16.8 to 20.8 to 25 points per game and each season in the playoffs his numbers are better.
His assists have gone up from 6.3 his rookie year to 7.7 this past season which he was actually able to maintain during the Bulls 16 game playoff run.
He has also improved both his free throw and three point percentage. His rookie season he shot 78.8 percent from the charity line and increased that to over 85 this past season. From beyond the arc he has improved 11 percent from 22.2 to 33.2 percent.
All this and he is no where near a finished project. He can still improve his defense as well as his ball handling and turnover rate but is there any doubt that he will come in as a better player then what we saw last season?
Derrick Rose is a winner.
He won in high school.
In his one and only year at Memphis he made it to the title game.
So far in his NBA career he has made the playoffs all three seasons.
He helped lead Team USA to the gold medal in the World Championships.
He hates losing so much that he will continue to work harder and get better to ensure he won’t lose. Perfect example was last year whenever they lost to a team early in the season and he played poorly, watch out. Rose was almost guaranteed to have a big game the next time he faced that team.
That is the type of thing that helps you get a call from the hall.
Like I said before, Derrick Rose will be 23 once the NBA season kicks off and look at all he has accomplished already.
-the first overall pick
-won rookie of the year
-the 2009 skills competition
-gold in the world championships
-all rookie team
-2011 All NBA Team
Plus making two all-star appearances and that was all within his first three seasons. Just imagine what he will accomplish by the time he is 30. Time is on his side to only improve his resume.
You still don’t believe?
You still don’t think Derrick Rose is on his way to the hall of fame once his career is done. Well here is the final point that needs to be made.
Incase you couldn’t guess I like math so here is the final use of math to prove my point
EVERY MVP has made it to the hall of fame from 1955-1999 and the guys who were named MVP after 1999 will probably get the call someday. Those who have not made it in the hall yet are still active or recently retired like Shaq. The rest are Lebron, Duncan, Nash, Kobe, Dirk, Garnett and Iverson.
The only one off that list who is questionable is AI but I think he’ll get the call eventually and keep the list streak in tact.