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UFC 130 Fight Card: Betting Odds and Predictions for Every Fight

Sal DeRoseCorrespondent IMay 24, 2011

UFC 130 Fight Card: Betting Odds and Predictions for Every Fight

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    UFC 130 is just around the corner and is set to take place without a big-name battle.

    But even without the added hype of Frankie Edgar vs. Gray Maynard for the lightweight title, UFC 130 still has some battles left to be seen.

    Quinton "Rampage" Jackson is getting close to having a shot at the light heavyweight title and could be set back with a loss to underdog, Matt Hamill.

    Also, a battle between Frank Mir and Roy Nelson is set to take place that could help catapult either fighter further into the world heavyweight rankings.

    UFC 130 also features top 10 middleweight, Jorge Santiago, who will be making his second stint in the UFC. Rick Story will be facing one of the top ranked welterweights in the world, Thiago Alves.

    Betting odds courtesy of Betus.com.

Undercard Fights

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    Spike TV Fights

     

    Miguel Torres (39-3) vs. Brad Pickett (20-5)

    Prediction: Miguel Torres

     

    Kendall Grove (12-8, 1 NC) vs. Tim Boetsch (12-4)

    Prediction: Kendall Grove

     

    Facebook Fights

     

    Renan Barao (25-1, 1 NC) vs. Cole Escovedo (17-6)

    Prediction: Renan Barao

     

    Michael McDonald (12-1) vs. Chris Cariaso (11-2)

    Prediction: Michael McDonald

     

    Gleison Tibau (22-7) vs. Rafaello Oliveira (14-3)

    Prediction: Gleison Tibau

Brian Stann vs. Jorge Santiago

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    Middleweight Bout

     

    Brian Stann (-145, 10-3 MMA, 4-2 UFC)

    Seven wins by knockout, two by decision, one by submission

    One loss by decision, one by submission, one by knockout

     

    Jorge Santiago (+115, 23-8 MMA, 1-2 UFC)

    12 wins by submission, nine by knockout, two by decision

    Five losses by knockout, three by decision

     

    Breakdown: Again, we have two good fighters here with both being very adept at what they do. If Santiago takes this fight to the ground, you could see a nice finish in his return to the UFC. But, the longer this fight stays standing, the better chance Stann wins this one.

     

    Prediction: Santiago by third-round submission

Thiago Alves vs. Rick Story

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    CHICAGO- OCTOBER 25:  Thiago Alves (R) fights Josh Koscheck in a Welterweight bout  at UFC's Ultimate Fight Night at Allstate Arena on October 25, 2008 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Tasos Katopodis/Getty Images)
    Tasos Katopodis/Getty Images

    Welterweight Bout

     

    Thiago Alves (-210, 18-7 MMA, 10-4 UFC)

    11 wins by knockout, six by decision, one by submission

    Three losses by submission, three by decision, one by knockout

     

    Rick Story (+165, 12-3 MMA, 5-1 UFC)

    Six wins by decision, three by submission, three by knockout

    Three losses by decision

     

    Breakdown: I really don't feel there is any way that Story could come out with the win here, but crazier things have happened. Alves is a good fighter and is always at the top of the welterweight division. If the weight cut doesn't kill him and he actually makes weight, Alves should be able to land those heavy hands on the button.

     

    Prediction: Alves by second-round TKO

Stefan Struve vs. Travis Browne

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    Heavyweight Bout

     

    Stefan Struve (+110, 21-4 MMA, 5-2 UFC)

    14 wins by submission, five by knockout, one by disqualification, one by decision

    Three losses by knockout, one by submission

     

    Travis Browne (-140, 10-0-1 MMA, 1-0-1 UFC)

    Eight wins by knockout, one by submission, one by decision

    No losses

     

    Breakdown: Not a big fan of this fight being on the main card when Miguel Torres is fighting on the undercard, but here it is. Struve has excellent ground skills and a big enough reach advantage that it will give Browne a tough fight. If Browne can close the gap and avoid this reach advantage, he should have a nice chance to knock out Struve. Unfortunately, I just can't see it happening.

     

    Prediction: Struve by third-round submission

Frank Mir vs. Roy Nelson

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    Heavyweight Bout

     

    Frank Mir (-135, 14-5 MMA, 12-5 UFC)

    Eight wins by submission, three by knockout, two by decision, one by disqualification

    Five losses by knockout

     

    Roy Nelson (+105, 15-5 MMA, 2-1 UFC)

    Eight wins by knockout, four by submission, three by decision

    Four losses by decision, one by knockout

     

    Breakdown: Both fighters are very good on the ground, and both fighters are top 10 heavyweights. Whoever loses this fight has a very long way to get into title contention, but whoever wins, gets a few wins within title contention. Nelson has very good standup and either way should be able to control Mir.

     

    Prediction: Nelson by unanimous decision

Quinton "Rampage" Jackson vs. Matt Hamill

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    Light Heavyweight Bout

     

    Quinton "Rampage" Jackson (-300, 31-8 MMA, 6-2 UFC)

    14 wins by knockout, 10 by decision, seven by submission

    Three losses by knockout, three by decision, one by submission, one by disqualification

     

    Matt Hamill (+220, 10-2 MMA, 9-2 UFC)

    Six wins by knockout, three by decision, one by disqualification

    One loss by knockout, one by decision

     

    Breakdown: As fight day approaches I'm beginning to want—and root for—Hamill to win this fight. Rampage has come out and talked about how much he would rather do Hollywood when the money just isn't good anymore and everything. He just isn't the same. But, if Rampage can tap into his old self and get back his striking, Hamill has an uphill battle. To me, Rampage is only a fight away from a title shot if he beats Hamill. I don't see how he loses this one but watch out for a very game Matt Hamill.

     

    Prediction: Rampage by third-round TKO

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