UFC 130

UFC 130 Fight Card: Early Main Card Betting Odds and Predictions

Sal DeRoseCorrespondent IMay 10, 2011

UFC 130 Fight Card: Early Main Card Betting Odds and Predictions

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    Without Frankie Edgar and Gray Maynard, UFC 130 now has a completely different look.

    The Quinton "Rampage" Jackson versus Matt Hamill bout has become the main event and the battle between Frank Mir and Roy Nelson has become the co-main event.

    Will UFC 130 surprise and become a great card without the lightweight championship bout? Or will UFC 130 flounder and become one of the least-viewed cards in recent memory?

    Here are picks for UFC 130 with betting odds courtesy of Betus.com.

Thiago Alves vs. Rick Story

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    CHICAGO- OCTOBER 25:  Thiago Alves (R) fights Josh Koscheck in a Welterweight bout  at UFC's Ultimate Fight Night at Allstate Arena on October 25, 2008 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Tasos Katopodis/Getty Images)
    Tasos Katopodis/Getty Images

    Welterweight Bout


    Thiago Alves (-360, 18-7 MMA, 10-4 UFC)

    11 wins by knockout, six by decision, one by submission

    Three losses by submission, three by decision, one by knockout


    Rick Story (+340, 12-3 MMA, 5-1 UFC)

    Six wins by decision, three by submission, three by knockout

    Three losses by decision


    Breakdown: Story called out Alves, and boy, does he have his hands full in this fight. Alves is a very strong overpowering opponent and Story is playing the underdog in this fight. Alves is a great striker and no matter where this fight goes, Alves should have the advantage. After a two-fight losing streak, Alves is starting to get back on track and Story is just another step on his way back to title contender status.


    Prediction: Alves by second-round TKO

Brian Stann vs. Jorge Santiago

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    Middleweight Bout


    Brian Stann (-100, 10-3 MMA, 4-2 UFC)

    Seven wins by knockout, two by decision, one by submission

    One loss by decision, one by submission, one by knockout


    Jorge Santiago (-130, 23-8 MMA, 1-2 UFC)

    12 wins by submission, nine by knockout, two by decision

    Five losses by knockout, three by decision


    Breakdown: Again, Santiago has a fantastic ground game and should be able to get Stann to the ground. Since his first stint in the UFC, Santiago has fought really well, all be it not against top competition. Stann's a really good first test for the new improved Santiago and should be able to give Santiago a run for his money.


    Prediction: Santiago by second-round submission

Stefan Struve vs. Travis Browne

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    Heavyweight Bout


    Stefan Struve (-250, 21-4 MMA, 5-2 UFC)

    14 wins by submission, five by knockout, one by disqualification, one by decision

    Three losses by knockout, one by submission


    Travis Browne (+225, 10-0-1 MMA, 1-0-1 UFC)

    Eight wins by knockout, one by submission, one by decision

    No losses


    Breakdown: Struve's solid stand-up and good ground game will be the story here. Struve has excellent size and every now and then he knows how to actually utilize it to its full potential. Come the night of UFC 130 we will see that Struve against another solid stand-up fight in Browne. Both fighters will show they belonged on the main card.


    Prediction: Struve by third-round submission 

Roy Nelson vs. Frank Mir

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    Heavyweight Bout


    Frank Mir (-110, 14-5 MMA, 12-5 UFC)

    Eight wins by submission, three by knockout, two by decision, one by disqualification

    Five losses by knockout


    Roy Nelson (-120, 15-5 MMA, 2-1 UFC)

    Eight wins by knockout, four by submission, three by decision

    Four losses by decision, one by knockout


    Breakdown: This is now the co-main event after injuries sidelined both Frankie Edgar and Gray Maynard. Nelson and Mir both have very respectable ground games and will be jockeying back and forth on the ground. This fight should be able to go the distance. The fight, to me, is a battle to see who will be the gatekeeper at the heavyweight division. Both fighters bring solid skills all over.


    Prediction: Nelson by unanimous decision

Quinton "Rampage" Jackson vs. Matt Hamill

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    Light Heavyweight Bout


    Quinton "Rampage" Jackson (-410, 31-8 MMA, 6-2 UFC)

    14 wins by knockout, 10 by decision, seven by submission

    Three losses by knockout, three by decision, one by submission, one by disqualification


    Matt Hamill (+370, 10-2 MMA, 9-2 UFC)

    Six wins by knockout, three by decision, one by disqualification

    One loss by knockout, one by decision


    Breakdown: If Rampage can channel his old self and break out in this battle, then there is no way Hamill stands a chance. Unfortunately, we haven't seen that Rampage in a while. Hamill is a huge underdog and this could be a trap fight for Rampage. Rampage is so close to a title shot, his old striking skills should come out and overcome the wrestling of Hamill.


    Prediction: Rampage by third-round TKO

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