This is the first part in a two-part series. It appears that Manny Pacquiao will face either Juan Manuel Marquez, Shane Mosley or Andre Berto.
Today we will be focusing on why Marquez would beat Pacquiao. This is a fight that I really don’t know what would happen.
Pacquiao’s team said he will not go under the 147-pound limit which is a cheap move on their part, and I know people are going to say why should he Floyd Mayweather Jr. didn’t.
Well Mayweather has fought at 147 since 2005, and Pacquiao has only fought there three times and never actually weighed in at 147.
Fighting at 147 is a clear move to get Marquez out of his best weight and make the fight easier for Pacquiao. It is a cheap move, plain and simple. Can’t change my mind about that.
If they fight at 147, the chances of winning go down big time for Marquez, but they don’t disappear totally. Pacquiao isn’t as big as Mayweather frame-wise and is closer to Marquez body-wise.
Marquez is a half-inch taller, and the reaches are exactly the same, so it’s not like Pacquiao has some huge advantage if the fight is at 147.
Anyway the first reason Marquez could hand Pacquiao his first loss since 2005 is he has the perfect style to beat him. He took him to the brink twice before and could have two wins against him.
Pacquiao has changed as a fighter since then but there is nothing that leads me to believe he would have an easier time with a boxer like Marquez.
Marquez’s style has changed a little since their fights, but he is still a pretty slick counter-puncher who feeds off opponents coming to him and throwing a lot of punches.
That is exactly what Pacquiao will do, and it will play into the hands of Marquez big time. Marquez also has good enough power to hurt Pacquiao.
I don’t think he could knock him out at this point, but he has enough power to hurt him and make him think twice about opening up.
His speed isn’t better than Pacquiao’s, but it isn’t far off from what Pacquiao brings to the table. He would be a little slower at 147, but he still shouldn’t be that far off.
He will also be in the best shape of his life if he decides to stay at an optimal weight and not go up to 147.
Then there are the intangibles a fighter has, and Marquez has them. The way he goes down and gets back up to win the same round is uncanny.
Michael Katsidis had him down, and it looked like he was in a lot of trouble. But Marquez came storming back and won the rest of the round.
How many fighters win the rest of a round that they were down in? Only a select few fighters in the history of the sport have done that, and Marquez has done it on more than one occasion.
The other intangible is how bad Marquez wants the fight. I will venture out on a limb and say he probably has never wanted something so bad in his life.
He has been chasing Pacquiao all over the place just to fight him, and now he can taste it. He isn’t going to back down now, and he will bend to any demands just to make this fight.
If this fight happens at 147, it is going to be a tough one for Marquez, but he wants it so bad that I wouldn’t count him out. He is a once-in-a-generation talent who is fun to watch.
This was originally published on www.kissingthecanvas.com
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