A big weekend and I’m giving game #1 of Monday Night Football away for free! I went 6-1 ATS in college football with wins on Houston on Friday and Michigan, Kent State, NC State, Wyoming, and Air Force. The lone loss was on Tennessee who fell apart after holding a 13-3 lead early as +12 dogs on Oregon. Football started on Thursday and I picked up a win with the Vikings and on Sunday I went 3-0 getting wins on the Bucs, Texans, and Redskins late. Don’t miss my free pick and break down below.
The Jets open up as 3-point favorites in their debut of their new stadium. Money has poured in on the Ravens ironically and the line has moved accordingly as the Jets can be found at -1.5 to -2 point favorites. Nearly 70% of the public is buying into the Ravens and their improved offense.
Both teams are favored to wint he AFC conference this season by many as the Jets are 6 to 1 and the Ravens slightly more likely at 5 to 1.
The weather is rain early on Monday in New Jersey, but the weather conditions will clear by afternoon. Only a 30% chance of showers by kickoff for Monday night with temperatures around 70 degrees and winds at only six mph.
Jets finally signed Darelle Revis and he’ll likely match up man to man with Anquan Boldin. With that addition the Jets lose probably their top receiver for 4 games in Santonio Holmes who is suspended for the first 4 games. The Jets will have their two headed monster in the running game with Ladanian Tomlinson and Shonn Greene who should be plenty busy going up against the #5 rushing defense a year ago.
Ravens not only have a top defense, but they too can run the ball ranked #5 in the league last year running the ball with Ray Rice leading the way. Ravens were 18th in the passing game and have improved by roster moves with Boldin and TJ Houshmandzadeh to go along with Derek Mason. The defense is still this team’s strength. Ed Reed is out tonight and that could have an impact if the Jets decide to take some shots deep with Braylon Edwards or over the middle with Dustin Keller.
This game will be played in the trenches. These are two identical teams and this will be a close game no matter what. The Jets improved on their defense big time so I don’t think the additions in receivers for the Ravens are going to matter here. Kyle Wilson out of Boise State is a stud and can come up and stop the rush and make tackles and Cromarte has got speed and should be able to handle Mason opposite of Revis. The Jets run defense that ranked 8th in the league is far better with Kris Jenkins coming back from injury. The Ravens can forget about running up the middle in this game and will need to take it to the outside and move the ball with short passes and screens. This will make it difficult to score a lot of points.
On the other side of things the Jets offense is anchored by the offensive line and the running game. Ladanian Tomlinson looked good and he will be a nice change of pace for Shonn Greene who will get the tough yards while LT breaks outside with his speed. The problem is they are facing Ray Lewis and the Ravens rush defense here. While I think the Jets will have some success after all they were the #1 run offense a year ago I think this team is going to try to change things up and pass the ball to keep the Ravens off guard. That won’t be a good thing as I do not have much confidence in Sanchez yet. I think he struggles in his first game here, but expect him to get out on play actions and roll outs early where he has been successful. Get more NFL betting picks from Freddy at Touthouse
FREE PICK IS: Under 37 points (1.1 Dime Play)