Fity Cent Pick 4 at Del Mar with Marc Doche: San Diego Handicap

Marc DocheCorrespondent IJuly 31, 2010

DEL MAR, CA - JULY 19:  A general view of the horses breaking at the gate during Opening Day at Del Mar,  6 1/2 Furlongs TransUnion Title on July 19, 2006 at Del Mar Thoroughbred Club in Del Mar, California.  (Photo by Donald Miralle/Getty Images)
Donald Miralle/Getty Images

A chalk-filled Friday evening card provided the smallest Pick 4 payout of the meet, and we didn’t cash for $89.10.


The Grade 2 $200,000 San Diego Handicap run over a mile and a sixteenth on the main track is Saturday’s feature and is a win and you’re in race for the Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile.


The view from the press box at time of publication indicates the clouds are finally starting to burn off and we might see the sun today. We’ll keep tabs on how that will affect the main track.

Make sure to tune-in to TVG between 6-7 p.m. PDT tonight as I'll be a guest on their Fandicapping segment.


We’re off to the races!


Leg 1 – Race 7 (1,3,5,6,8,11) –.Another day, another tough maiden race to kick off the Pick 4. While we don’t like using first timers, there is some good win early pedigree in the bunch. The horses that have run have made fairly good accounts for themselves, making this race especially tough.


As always, make sure to follow me on Twitter @mdoche for any changes regarding which horses I’m using after looking at them in the paddock.


Do note that No. 6, Warren’s Flyer, is out of a sire that has won with 4-of-9 first-time starters, and the slow works in the a.m. are likely to deceive. He could win at a big price and must be used.


Leg 2 – Race 8 (1,5,10) – The S.D. Cap, no it’s not a Padres hat, features some hard knocking older horses looking to win one of the meet’s signature races. With morning line favorite Richard’s Kid a scratch after running third in yesterday’s Grade 3 Cougar II, we’re left with a wide open race.


No. 1 Enriched wheels back in seven days for Doug O’Neil off of his third place finish in last weekend’s Grade 1 Eddie Read run over the turf. He has a shot to win from just off the pace, and if he does, Patrick Valenzuela might celebrate again like he just won the Kentucky Derby, as he did yesterday when he won his first race back in Southern California in an optional claiming event.


No. 5 Sangaree has rolled off three straight solid second place finishes and today could be the day he breaks through. There should be a contested pace to set up his closing kick.


No. 10 Dakota Phone has been knocking on the door for that break out victory for nearly two years. Nine in the money finishes in 15 races against some of the best horses on the circuit make him a logical contender and he did win his only start on Del Mar’s main track.


Leg 3 - Race 9 (4,12) – Non-winners of two lifetime running for a $12,500 claiming tag sprint six and a half furlongs on the main track. This race is a real mess with below average horses coming from lots of different directions.


We’ll use both horses who have won their only race here at Del Mar, in their only start here as well.


The bomb is No. 4 Stathy, won in here in his second career start and this will be his second start off a layoff. He was nowhere close in the six races following his victory, but he did finish a decent second at Stockton last time and got re-acquainted with this track with a six furlong spin on July 20.


No. 12 Intothewild won his debut here last summer and then was off until March of this year. He has finished mid pack against better horses in all three starts of 2010 and is a logical contender to win from near the front under the circuit’s leading rider Joel Rosario


Leg 4 – Race 10 (1,2,11) – Bottom level $25k maiden claiming fillies close the day and there seems to be a lack of pace signed up.


That should set things up well for No. 2 Long Legged Lovely to get to the lead and take them all the way. She’s been contested on the front end in her last two and held on both times to finish third, and although the early splits in those races haven’t been all that quick, she could clear this field.


No. 11 Warren’s Rose broke slowly in her debut and did well to finish third. She was claimed by Tim Yakteen who put a bullet work into her at Santa Anita.


No. 1 Nosegay made up a lot of ground in her debut and adds blinkers for Alexis Barba.


Recap – (1,3,5,6,8,11) w (1,5,10) w (4,12) w (1,2,11) – Total cost of ticket = $54


Make sure to follow me on Twitter @mdoche for last minute changes caused by scratches.


Good luck!


Yesterday’s Result – (-$54)

Total for meet – (-$177.15)