Fantasy Football: Comparing Draft Theories

Last week, I decided to test some of the Old School Fantasy Football Drafting Theories.

I ran 24 mock drafts to look for differences in the Two Running Backs in the first two rounds theory, as opposed to the “Triplets” where you take a QB/RB/WR in the first three rounds (order determined by best available at the three positions per round).

There was a draft performed from each draft position in a 12-team league. You can view the results HERE. You should really go read that first and then come back and join us.

While doing the drafts, I had an unsettling feeling that I was missing out on some fantasy points, because I had to reach for certain players/positions to meet the theory being tested.

I decided to do an update this week, doing 12 more drafts (one per draft position). In these mock drafts, the goal was to put together the best group of starters possible without sticking to one of the above mentioned draft theories.

It was time to throw the “I have to have another RB NOW” thought process out the window.

The Mocks were performed using Football Guys Draft Dominator software. The same settings were used as the prior mocks, as follows…

Starters:
1 QB
2 RB
3 WR
1 TE
1 K
1 DT

Scoring:
Passing: 6 pts per TD, 1 pt per 20 yards, -2 per INT
Rushing/Receiving: 6 pts per TD, 1 point per 10 yards, -2 per fumble

The computer teams used varying ADP rankings from five different sources to ensure they were not going by the same list—you know, more like a real draft.

The value at each position is ranked by the projected points over the course of the season. There is full roster, starters, and the starting RB’s in the resulting draft. In parentheses after the players is the Average Draft Position at Fantasy Football Calculator.

DISCLAIMER: This is by no means a science. Yes, there are holes all over it, but numbers are fun! The projected points are taken from the draft software. Players picked were taken according to best available for the theory according to the projected points.

I will post the results of the projected points from the previous test as well as the updated projected points in tables at the end of the article for comparison.

Draft position No. 1

Summary: In the first round, we went with LT (ADP-1.01). The first four rounds actually came out the same as the Triplets in the previous article. Fitz (ADP-2.08) and Drew Brees (3.09) followed LT. LenDale White was the second RB, and Jason Witten joined the team at TE.

Projected Points:
Value Overall 2326
Starters 1806
RB Value: 471

Draft position No. 2

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