Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets Odds & Pick: April 11th 2010

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets
Free MLB Pick: Washington +241 odds
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3* graded play on Washington as they take on the mets set to start at 1:10 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a significant probability that the Nationals will win this game. Ryan Zimmerman will more than likely be out of the lineup Sunday after further aggravating a hamstring. Still, the Nationals offense is a bright spot for this team. There are several National players, who have had strong success against Santana in their careers. Guzman is batting 500 spanning 16 AB; Dunn is 4 for 7 with 2 home runs. We strongly believe you will see the Nationals work the count to get into fastball counts or they will opt to look FB early in the count. Point is that Santana’s FB is not what it once was and it that is the best pitch to attack. Hernandez is making his first start of the season and the Nationals will be announcing a roster move - probably a bullpen pitcher since they are carrying 8 of them - to make room for Hernandez. The 35-year vet has an assortment of pitches that can keep hitters off balance. He has had success against the current members of the Mets in their respective careers. Castillo is batting just 193; 11 for 57 with NO extra base hits. He may be held out for that reason since he is also nursing a strained calf. The Mets are just not a strong enough team - even with Santana on the hill - to warrant a better than 2-1 favorite in any game. Mets are 221-219 (-60.5 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997. This edition of the Metropolitans will once again be money burners as home favorites against divisional rivals so be sure to look for those opportunities. Take the Nationals Sunday.