Cincinnati Reds

2010 MLB Predictions: Why Cincinatti Reds OF Drew Stubbs Will Steal 40 Bases

GOODYEAR, AZ - MARCH 05: Drew Stubbs #6 of the Cincinnati Reds at bat against the Cleveland Indians during a spring training game at Goodyear Ballpark on March 5, 2010 in Goodyear, Arizona.  (Photo by Chris McGrath/Getty Images)
Chris McGrath/Getty Images
Nick KappelAnalyst IIIApril 2, 2010

Opening Day 2010 is less than 72 hours away, which means most fantasy drafts have been completed. Judging by average draft positions on Mock Draft Central , fantasy owners are allowing certain sleeper candidates to go undrafted. One of those guys is Drew Stubbs , who has a current average draft position of 311.40.

Last year, Baseball America claimed Stubbs “has excellent bat speed, above-average raw power, and plus-plus speed.” The former Texas Longhorn displayed both tools in 2009, as he combined to hit 11 HRs and swipe 56 bases in 668 at-bats between Triple-A and Cincinnati. Oddly enough, eight of his long balls came in just 196 at-bats at the big league level.

His power surge has carried over this spring, as the 25-year-old leads his team with five HRs. He’s also batting .315/.373/.759 in 54 at-bats.

While Stubbs’s .269 batting average in 1588 minor league at-bats suggest this won't last, the Reds’ center fielder has a legitimate shot of hitting 10 to 15 HRs and stealing 40 bases in 2010. In fact, baseball statistician Bill James is predicting 11 bombs and 51 steals.

When comparing these numbers to other 40-steals candidates such as Rajai Davis (161 ADP) and Michael Bourn (104 ADP), Stubbs is clearly a steal (no pun intended).

The most likely choice to bat lead off for the Reds, Stubbs should have plenty of run-scoring opportunities with the likes of Joey Votto, Brandon Phillips, and Jay Bruce batting behind him.

Stubbs is one of my favorite sleeper picks in 2010, and he may still be available in some leagues. If this happens to be the case, scoop him up now while you still can.

FBI Forecast: 550 at-bats, 85 runs, 15 HRs, 60 RBI, 40 stolen bases, .270 batting average


Follow Fantasy Baseball Insiders on Facebook

More 2010 Fantasy Baseball Insiders player projections:

Where can I comment?

Stay on your game

Latest news, insights, and forecasts on your teams across leagues.

Choose Teams
Get it on the App StoreGet it on Google Play

Real-time news for your teams right on your mobile device.

Copyright © 2017 Bleacher Report, Inc. Turner Broadcasting System, Inc. All Rights Reserved. is part of Bleacher Report – Turner Sports Network, part of the Turner Sports and Entertainment Network. Certain photos copyright © 2017 Getty Images. Any commercial use or distribution without the express written consent of Getty Images is strictly prohibited. AdChoices