Phoenix Suns vs. Detroit Pistons Odds & Pick: April 2nd 2010

Phoenix Suns vs. Detroit Pistons
Free NBA Pick: Detroit +9 -110 odds
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Phoenix has won nine straight games while the Pistons have lost nine straight games so one guess who the majority of the pubic will be on here? The Suns continue to win when it counts and they are certainly peaking at the right time but I don’t like this spot one bit. I like going against these streaks to begin with and the fact that Phoenix has won the first three games of this roadtrip against non-playoff teams and now facing another non-playoff team makes it even stronger. The reason is focus. In the NBA it is impossible for teams to get up for the opposition every time out and that is heightened even more when those teams are of much lesser caliber. I hate to use the word bored but Phoenix could very well be feeling that tonight especially with a game at Milwaukee tomorrow night, the first game against a team with a pulse since March 21st against Portland. While the Suns continue to win, Detroit continues to step on its own feet. Nine straight losses are one thing but nine straight losses against the spread is another and that shows the games have not been competitive at all. Six of those nine losses were by double-digits showing just how bad it has been but the skid has to come to a close sometime and I believe this is the ideal situation especially with four of the next five games coming on the road. The Pistons are 16-22 at home which is certainly not good in this league but again, it comes down to the situation and the contrarian thinking involved in it. There are injury situations on both sides which is the reason for the line being off the board to start as both Steve Nash and Richard Hamilton are questionable. It would not surprise me for the Suns to rest Nash tonight because of his back issues and have him fresh for tomorrow against Milwaukee. Either way, his playing or sitting will not affect the play. Detroit also falls into a contrarian situation. Play on underdogs that have failed to cover the spread in 12 or more of their last 15 games going up against an opponent after having covered three of their last four games against the spread. This situation is 49-20 ATS (71 percent) since 1996. Phoenix is just 1-4 ATS in its last five road games against teams with a losing record at home so that just adds to the fact that it will have trouble preparing for this game. We won an ugly one against Phoenix last Sunday with Minnesota and I expect a similar result here. 3* Detroit Pistons