Mission Impazible, Louisiana Derby Champ: Derby Victory Possible

Dan AdamsCorrespondent IMarch 29, 2010

Todd Pletcher continues to churn out Derby contenders season after season.

The problem is that by the time they reach the finish line in the Kentucky Derby, they are never in front.

Mission Impazible went off at odds of 7-1 and pulled a minor upset beating the favored Discreetly Mine fairly easily.

The speed didn't quite give way as much as it should've with the three horse duel that occurred. A Little Warm was game inside after being part of that duel and ended up a very good second to Mission Impazible, losing by only three to four lengths.

Based on the race, I wouldn't anticipate any of these three-year-olds being a factor in the Kentucky Derby. None of the closers made any real outstanding moves.

Ron the Greek and Stay Put both moved from the back to pick up fifth and sixth, but neither really added anything special to their Derby resumes.

It's tough to rate the victory of Mission Impazible with the way the race really slowed down in the third quarter (25.45). My gut instincts tell me to throw every horse in this race out of my Derby contenders for the simple fact that nothing was impressive.

The victory of Mission Impazible was okay at best.

A Little Warm's second place finish could be considered the most impressive in the race, but you still have to gauge that with how good you consider Mission Impazible.

Truth be told, Todd Pletcher has never been close in the Kentucky Derby and I make my picks based on past performance.

Every handicapper in the country can look at Pletcher's Derby success and come up with the same result that I have.

He is winless.

Granted every trainer is winless until they win their first, but Pletcher has had better crops in the past and been unsuccessful.

The smart money and smart minds will lean elsewhere on the first of May.