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2010 Fantasy Baseball Player Highlights: Elvis Andrus vs. Asdrubal Cabrera

Ray TannockJan 12, 2010

Shortly after the frenzied plucking that will inevitably consume us all in the first and second round, we will need a moment to catch our breath and begin methodicallyโ€”and actuallyโ€”building a team.

One of the themes I have been noticing over and over again is the treatment of the SS position in mock drafts; there has been little focus on these playersย early.

Guys like Troy Tulowitzki, Jimmy Rollins, Hanley Ramirez, and Jose Reyes are averaging out as late first round or early to mid second round picks.

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Then thereโ€™s basically nothing until the 12th to 14th for shortstops, with the exception of one or two players in between.

What I am noticing is the playing fieldโ€”no pun intendedโ€”becomes a bit more even at this point with the remaining names out there, which brings us to an interesting comparison: Elvis Andrus and Asdrubal Cabrera.

In the last 15 mockย drafts I have done, Andrus has been available as late as the 18th round, which is astonishing to me, while Cabrera has been going around the 12th or 13th.

Letโ€™s take a look at both players a bit more closely.

Asdrubal Cabrera

Cabrera had a break out year last year as he enjoyed extended playing time and had a line that was pretty impressive:

523 AB, 161 H, 6 HR, 68 RBI, 81 R, 89/44 strikeout to ball ratio and 17 SB.

He also posted a .308 average with a .361 OBP.

The worry about Cabrera is this: Last October he had surgery to remove โ€œloose bodiesโ€ in his elbow, and the likelihood of Cabrera building uponโ€”or simply repeatingโ€”what he did last year isnโ€™t very favorable.

Sure heโ€™s young, but it took all this time just to gain some notoriety in the bigs, and any surgery with an elbow always comes with baggage in the end.

In addition, add in the mix it will be his fourth year, and all-of-a-sudden keeper leaguers and dynasty managers have a lot of reason to shy away from him, especially when you enter Elvis Andrus into the mix.

Elvis Andrus

He started the year with high expectations, but wasnโ€™t really setting the world on fire in April and May.

In fact, it really wasnโ€™t until June 30 that everyone started to take notice to him due to his four stolen base performance against a stout Angelโ€™s defense.

Elvis Andrusโ€™ Month to Month Totals:

Month AB H DBL TRPL HR RBI BB SO SB
April56141114392
May892733276104
June63150103789
July721730156175
August83 24 4 2 1 8 9 17 4
September103 27 3 1 1 8 7 14 8

Andrus never really cooled off with his best monthsโ€”August and Septemberโ€”coming at the end of his wild ride. As if this isnโ€™t enough, donโ€™t forget that Andrus was in line for winning theย AL Rookie of the Year last season sharing a close race with Detroitโ€™s Ricky Porcello and Oaklandโ€™s Andrew Bailey, who was last yearโ€™s winner.

The moral of the story is this: Andrus has far more upside than Cabrera, a brighter future, and deserves an earlier look than the 18th round thatโ€™s for sure. But if you stay in line and keep the trend in ADP for most shortstops, make sure itโ€™s Andrus you choose over Cabrera if youโ€™re on the fence; you wonโ€™t be disappointed.

Reading the Signs: A quick look at SS.

Colorado-Rockies-Logo.gif"> Troy Tulowitzkiโ€“Rockies: Tulowitzki remains one of the best young prospects out there for a high draft pick at SS. But keep in mind that Colorado has been actively searching for another big name player at a discounted price. He is in his fifth year, with his breakout season coming just last year. He has as much upside as he does long term risk.
Philadelphia-Phillies-Logo.gif"> Jimmy Rollinsโ€“Phillies: Rollins has hit the ripe old age of 31, and itโ€™s clear that his best years are behind him. Still, he was good for 21 dingers and 31 stolen bases a year ago. While he deserves as much attention as anyone else out there, there are better, younger, more long-term options at shortstop in 2010.
MLB-LOGO-Florida-Marlins.jpg"> Hanley Ramirezโ€“Marlins: Ramirez will push Pujols and Utley for the No. 1 overall pick in most drafts this year. An interesting strategy would be to pick Ramirez up early and perhaps Andrus or Jeter as a value pick at DH.
Jose Reyesโ€“Mets: At this point, Reyes is more of a risk than a solid pickup due mainly to his offseason hamstring surgery; the injury that shut him down last year. Wasting a high draft pick on him is too risky in my opinion, and he should be looked at as a very late steal you can bench until he proves heโ€™s completely healthy.
Yankees-Logo.gif"> Derek Jeterโ€“Yankees: Jeter hasnโ€™t been getting a lot of ADP love thus far, and thatโ€™s unreal to say the least. His average position has been a 6th or 7th rounder. Jeter is 35 and in his final year, but the guy STILL produces every yearโ€”go ahead pick a year and go look; itโ€™s sick what he does. If you see Jeter after the fourth round, I would grab him simply for the trade value alone .
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