2010 Fantasy Baseball Player Highlights: Elvis Andrus vs. Asdrubal Cabrera
Shortly after the frenzied plucking that will inevitably consume us all in the first and second round, we will need a moment to catch our breath and begin methodicallyโand actuallyโbuilding a team.
One of the themes I have been noticing over and over again is the treatment of the SS position in mock drafts; there has been little focus on these playersย early.
Guys like Troy Tulowitzki, Jimmy Rollins, Hanley Ramirez, and Jose Reyes are averaging out as late first round or early to mid second round picks.
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Then thereโs basically nothing until the 12th to 14th for shortstops, with the exception of one or two players in between.
What I am noticing is the playing fieldโno pun intendedโbecomes a bit more even at this point with the remaining names out there, which brings us to an interesting comparison: Elvis Andrus and Asdrubal Cabrera.
In the last 15 mockย drafts I have done, Andrus has been available as late as the 18th round, which is astonishing to me, while Cabrera has been going around the 12th or 13th.
Letโs take a look at both players a bit more closely.
Cabrera had a break out year last year as he enjoyed extended playing time and had a line that was pretty impressive:
523 AB, 161 H, 6 HR, 68 RBI, 81 R, 89/44 strikeout to ball ratio and 17 SB.
He also posted a .308 average with a .361 OBP.
The worry about Cabrera is this: Last October he had surgery to remove โloose bodiesโ in his elbow, and the likelihood of Cabrera building uponโor simply repeatingโwhat he did last year isnโt very favorable.
Sure heโs young, but it took all this time just to gain some notoriety in the bigs, and any surgery with an elbow always comes with baggage in the end.
In addition, add in the mix it will be his fourth year, and all-of-a-sudden keeper leaguers and dynasty managers have a lot of reason to shy away from him, especially when you enter Elvis Andrus into the mix.
Elvis Andrus
He started the year with high expectations, but wasnโt really setting the world on fire in April and May.
In fact, it really wasnโt until June 30 that everyone started to take notice to him due to his four stolen base performance against a stout Angelโs defense.
Elvis Andrusโ Month to Month Totals:
| Month | AB | H | DBL | TRPL | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB |
| April | 56 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 2 |
| May | 89 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 4 |
| June | 63 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| July | 72 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 5 |
| August | 83 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 4 |
| September | 103 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 8 |
Andrus never really cooled off with his best monthsโAugust and Septemberโcoming at the end of his wild ride. As if this isnโt enough, donโt forget that Andrus was in line for winning theย AL Rookie of the Year last season sharing a close race with Detroitโs Ricky Porcello and Oaklandโs Andrew Bailey, who was last yearโs winner.
The moral of the story is this: Andrus has far more upside than Cabrera, a brighter future, and deserves an earlier look than the 18th round thatโs for sure. But if you stay in line and keep the trend in ADP for most shortstops, make sure itโs Andrus you choose over Cabrera if youโre on the fence; you wonโt be disappointed.
Reading the Signs: A quick look at SS.
Colorado-Rockies-Logo.gif"> Troy TulowitzkiโRockies: Tulowitzki remains one of the best young prospects out there for a high draft pick at SS. But keep in mind that Colorado has been actively searching for another big name player at a discounted price. He is in his fifth year, with his breakout season coming just last year. He has as much upside as he does long term risk. |
Philadelphia-Phillies-Logo.gif"> Jimmy RollinsโPhillies: Rollins has hit the ripe old age of 31, and itโs clear that his best years are behind him. Still, he was good for 21 dingers and 31 stolen bases a year ago. While he deserves as much attention as anyone else out there, there are better, younger, more long-term options at shortstop in 2010. |
MLB-LOGO-Florida-Marlins.jpg"> Hanley RamirezโMarlins: Ramirez will push Pujols and Utley for the No. 1 overall pick in most drafts this year. An interesting strategy would be to pick Ramirez up early and perhaps Andrus or Jeter as a value pick at DH. |
Jose ReyesโMets: At this point, Reyes is more of a risk than a solid pickup due mainly to his offseason hamstring surgery; the injury that shut him down last year. Wasting a high draft pick on him is too risky in my opinion, and he should be looked at as a very late steal you can bench until he proves heโs completely healthy. |
Yankees-Logo.gif"> Derek JeterโYankees: Jeter hasnโt been getting a lot of ADP love thus far, and thatโs unreal to say the least. His average position has been a 6th or 7th rounder. Jeter is 35 and in his final year, but the guy STILL produces every yearโgo ahead pick a year and go look; itโs sick what he does. If you see Jeter after the fourth round, I would grab him simply for the trade value alone . |
Troy TulowitzkiโRockies: Tulowitzki remains one of the best young prospects out there for a high draft pick at SS. But keep in mind that Colorado has been actively searching for another big name player at a discounted price. He is in his fifth year, with his breakout season coming just last year. He has as much upside as he does long term risk.
Jimmy RollinsโPhillies: Rollins has hit the ripe old age of 31, and itโs clear that his best years are behind him. Still, he was good for 21 dingers and 31 stolen bases a year ago. While he deserves as much attention as anyone else out there, there are better, younger, more long-term options at shortstop in 2010.
Hanley RamirezโMarlins: Ramirez will push Pujols and Utley for the No. 1 overall pick in most drafts this year. An interesting strategy would be to pick Ramirez up early and perhaps Andrus or Jeter as a value pick at DH.
Derek JeterโYankees: Jeter hasnโt been getting a lot of ADP love thus far, and thatโs unreal to say the least. His average position has been a 6th or 7th rounder. Jeter is 35 and in his final year, but the guy STILL produces every yearโgo ahead pick a year and go look; itโs sick what he does. If you see Jeter after the fourth round, I would grab him simply for the trade value alone .
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