GMAC Bowl: Troy vs. Central Michigan Preview and Predictions

Jeff SmithCorrespondent IJanuary 6, 2010

January 6, 2010 | 7:00 PM EST, Mobile, AL on ESPN


Troy Trojans (9-3) vs Central Michigan Chippewas (11-2)

Opening Line: Central Michigan -4 (current CMU -2.5)


Game Preview

Does anybody have a good explanation as to why this game is sandwiched between the Orange Bowl and the Championship game?

Yes, it pits two conference champs, but they must have made some sort of deal with you know who to get this stand alone national TV affair, even if it does start a little early.

This game is the last chance to appreciate the collegiate career of Dan LeFevour, one of the most productive QBs in NCAA history.  CMU has enjoyed another strong season with only two losses, but they have lost their coach so they may be a bit disorganized.

But will it be enough for the other Trojans to win?  No one doubts Troy’s dominance of their conference, but they only had one out of conference win (against UAB) and are not scaring teams the way they used to.


Troy Preview

To win in the Sun Belt you have to be able to score, and the Trojans can, averaging over 33 ppg.

You may not know much about QB Levi Brown, but he threw for over 3800 yards this year and stands big in the pocket at 6′4″.  He is a senior and shouldn’t be rattled by a crowd which is likely to favour Central Michigan.

The Trojans will need a good effort on D to stop the Chippewas.  In their three losses they gave up 56, 56 and 31 points, the latter to Bowling Green in week 1a team CMU beat by two touchdowns later in the year and limited to only 10 points. 


Central Michigan Preview

As good as LeFevour is, this is hardly a one man team.  They have a nice balanced offense (36th in passing/38th in rushing) with two excellent receivers in speedy Antonio Brown and lanky Bryan Anderson.  All three of these players will play at the next level and have made their share of big plays in another fantastic season for CMU.

However, they have once again lost their coach (this time Butch Jones) to the oasis that is Cincinnati.

But as long as this team has been getting in their work leading up to the game, they should be able ride the aforementioned offensive players to victory.  Playing close to home in a stadium they are used to only makes it that much easier.


Game Prediction

There will be a lot of emotion on the CMU side.  They have already lost their coach and their four-year starter at QB will be playing in his final game.  This may yield a sluggish start but unless Troy can really take advantage, I am cure CMU will weather the storm, settle down and win by a TD.  LeFevour will once again show why he has been so magical as a Chippewa.


Score Prediction

Central Michigan – 31
Troy – 24



CMU has proven they are no pushover this year.  As the spread creeps down I like them even more…although I must admit that Troy is a bit unknown.


Troy Trojans Football Betting Trends

  • Troy is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
  • Troy is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Troy’s last 7 games

Central Michigan Chippewas Football Betting Trends
  • Central Michigan is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
  • Central Michigan is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Central Michigan’s last 7 games