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Starting Beanie Wells over Andre Johnson: Smart Play or Crazy Talk?

Jacob SloanOct 31, 2009

In a fantasy football group I participate in each week, Fantasy Football Fanatics on LinkedIn , I recommended going with Beanie Wells in a flex spot over Andre Johnson this week.

Am I crazy or is this smart strategy? Iโ€™m going with the numbers here.

My argument for going with Beanie:

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There is definitely a huge risk factor in starting Beanie. Still, heโ€™s a hot hand and Iโ€™d go with my gut on him.

I really donโ€™t think A.J. is going to go this week. He has a bruised lung. That hurts (I can only imagine). Besides, the Texans know they probably donโ€™t need him to beat the Bills.

If he plays, heโ€™ll likely be limited and share time with Jacoby Jones and Andre Davis. Then, you have to consider how tough the Bills have been against opposing wide receivers. Actually, theyโ€™ve been the best. Just check out the stats at FF Today . Meanwhile, Buffalo ranks first on this chart for fantasy points allowed to running backs. Steve Slaton, I like. Andre, I donโ€™t.

This could be Andre Johnsonโ€™s worst week of this season, so thatโ€™s where Iโ€™m coming from in going with Beanie vs. Carolina (tenth most fantasy points allowed to running backs) in a game that could be controlled by defense and the running games.

I am fine with starting either, but Beanieโ€™s matchup wins my vote.

Itโ€™s definitely one of those decisions that Iโ€™m going out on a limb to make. The safe play is always to start your studs . At least when they fail, you can say they didnโ€™t show up for you, rather than admitting that you made a stupid guess.

So what say the foolish masses? Is this a smart play? Would you start Beanie? Or would you rather play it safe with Andre Johnson, banged-up and facing a receiver-squashing Bills defense?

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