NBA Draft Order 2014: Listing Current Lottery Odds and Potential Scenarios

Sean ODonnellContributor IIIMay 19, 2014

NBA basketball team representatives sit onstage at the start of the NBA draft lottery, Tuesday, May 21, 2013 in New York. (AP Photo/Jason DeCrow)
Jason DeCrow/Associated Press

On Tuesday, teams holding the top 14 picks in the 2014 NBA draft will learn their fates once the pingpong balls settle.

There's a lot at stake during the draft lottery for every franchise involved.

Sure, this year's draft class features plenty of talent near the top. However, getting into the perfect position to acquire a coveted prospect is ideal.

Could the prospect in this tweet by Sporting News be the draft's first overall selection?

After all, the importance of a first-round selection is crucial in the NBA—even more so than other major sports due to smaller roster sizes and fewer starting positions.

Simply put, a good selection can quickly propel a team to the realm of the elite. On the other hand, a poor selection can set a franchise back for years.

There are many scenarios which could potentially play out during Tuesday's draft lottery. Let's take a look at the current odds for each team to acquire the No. 1 selection, followed by an overview of possible situations in its aftermath.


Current Lottery Odds

2014 NBA Draft Lottery Chances
TeamPercentage Chance
1Milwaukee Bucks25.0%
2Philadelphia 76ers19.9%
3Orlando Magic15.6%
4Utah Jazz11.9%
5Boston Celtics8.8%
6Los Angeles Lakers6.3%
7Sacramento Kings3.6%
8Detroit Pistons3.5%
9Cleveland Cavaliers1.7%
10New Orleans Pelicans1.1%
11Denver Nuggets0.8%
12New York Knicks0.7%
13Minnesota Timberwolves0.6%
14Phoenix Suns0.5%


Lottery Scenarios

As we know, those whirling pingpong balls determine the first three picks of the draft. After those three picks are locked in, the remaining 11 teams are ordered from the No. 4 pick through the No. 14 pick based on regular-season records.

Want to see how this could all play out on a virtual machine? Take a look at this tweet from Chad Ford of ESPN:

Depending on how those first three selections fall, there are some interesting scenarios we could see.

The Detroit Pistons are currently projected at the No. 8 pick in the draft. If a team should happen to leapfrog them into the top three and the pick falls out of the top eight, it would be conveyed to the Charlotte Bobcats.

Not exactly a likely scenario, but a possible one.

The New Orleans Pelicans are slated to have the No. 10 pick in this year's draft. It's a top-five protected pick, and unless the team strikes gold and moves into the top three, it will be conveyed to the Philadelphia 76ers.

The Denver Nuggets and New York Knicks hold the No. 11 and 12 selections, respectively. The Orlando Magic will receive the less favorable of these picks. The way things look at the moment, it appears as though the Nuggets will keep their No. 11 selection and the Magic will take the Knicks' No. 12 selection.

The Phoenix Suns could potentially grab the Minnesota Timberwolves' No. 13 selection. It's a top-13 protected pick and would have to fall to No. 14 for Phoenix to obtain it. The only possibility of this happening is if Phoenix's No. 14 selection somehow moves into the top three.


All NBA draft lottery odds and scenarios courtesy of