Projected BCS Rankings 2013: Week 12 Top 25 BCS Standings Predictions

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Projected BCS Rankings 2013: Week 12 Top 25 BCS Standings Predictions

It certainly looks like Alabama-Florida State now.

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After Stanford's stunning upset (more in scope than the act) of Oregon on Thursday night, the BCS picture began to emerge with some clarity. After Alabama's convincing victory over LSU on Saturday, it looks like a Crimson Tide-Seminoles showdown in Pasadena is all but becoming inevitable.

Granted, each team will still have three regular-season games and a conference championship game remaining, but they'll be favored by double digits in each game. In the BCS standings coming out on Sunday, Alabama and FSU will open a wide gap on the No. 3 team and everybody else below that.

Ohio State is expected to move into the No. 3 spot, though, its hold on that position will be tenuous. Stanford is projected to emerge ahead of Baylor at No. 4, despite being ranked lower in the polls.

The rankings from 3-5 are will remain fluid for the remainder of the season, with Ohio State having the best chance at staying unbeaten. But thanks to the weakness of the Big Ten, the Buckeyes will not automatically slide into the top spot should either Alabama or FSU slip up.

Projected BCS Standings
Rank Team Record Conference Pvs
1 Alabama 9-0 SEC 1
2 Florida State 9-0 ACC 2
3 Ohio State 9-0 Big Ten 4
4 Stanford 8-1 Pac-12 5
5 Baylor 8-0 Big 12 6
6 Oregon 8-1 Pac-12 3
7 Clemson 8-1 ACC 7
8 Missouri 9-1 SEC 8
9 Auburn 9-1 SEC 9
10 South Carolina 7-2 SEC 12
11 Oklahoma State 8-1 Big 12 14
12 Texas A&M 8-2 SEC 15
13 Oklahoma 7-2 Big 12 10
14 Michigan State 8-1 Big Ten 17
15 Fresno State 9-0 MWC 16
16 UCLA 7-2 Pac-12 19
17 Louisville 8-1 AAC 20
18 Northern Illinois 9-0 MAC 18
19 Central Florida 7-1 AAC 21
20 Miami (Fla.) 7-2 ACC 11
21 Arizona State 7-2 Pac-12 22
22 LSU 7-3 SEC 13
23 Georgia 6-3 SEC NR
24 Wisconsin 7-2 Big Ten 24
25 Texas 7-2 Big 12 NR

BCS Guru

The most interesting races, however, appear to be for the remaining BCS bowl spots:

* Notre Dame can now be safely eliminated from BCS contention after losing to Pitt. With just two games remaining, the Irish won't satisfy the eligibility requirement of finishing in the top 14 of the final BCS standings, even with a win over Stanford.

* Fresno State did not struggle in a late game this week, scoring a decisive victory over Wyoming. The Bulldogs should maintain their edge over Northern Illinois in the BCS standings. The Huskies will have their biggest game of the season coming up next Wednesday night, as they face Ball State with the MAC West title on the line. 

* Central Florida withstood a late Houston rally, holding on to a 19-14 victory with a goal-line stand. The Knights are now in the driver's seat in the American Athletic Conference, which still has an automatic bid to a BCS bowl. They already defeated Louisville and Houston and do not face Cincinnati.

* The rest of the BCS bowl berths likely will be up for grabs, going to teams from the SEC, Pac-12 and ACC. Oregon is nearly certain to earn a fifth straight trip to a BCS bowl with an 11-1 record, even if it doesn't win the Pac-12 North.

Projected BCS Bowl Matchups
Bowl Matchup
BCS Championship Alabama vs. Florida State
Rose Bowl Stanford vs. Ohio State
Orange Bowl Clemson vs. Central Florida
Sugar Bowl Oregon vs. Texas A&M
Fiesta Bowl Baylor vs. Fresno State

Projected as at end of season

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