Projected BCS Rankings 2013: Week 12 Top 25 BCS Standings Predictions

Samuel Chi@@ThePlayoffGuruCollege Football Playoff GuruNovember 10, 2013

It certainly looks like Alabama-Florida State now.

After Stanford's stunning upset (more in scope than the act) of Oregon on Thursday night, the BCS picture began to emerge with some clarity. After Alabama's convincing victory over LSU on Saturday, it looks like a Crimson Tide-Seminoles showdown in Pasadena is all but becoming inevitable.

Granted, each team will still have three regular-season games and a conference championship game remaining, but they'll be favored by double digits in each game. In the BCS standings coming out on Sunday, Alabama and FSU will open a wide gap on the No. 3 team and everybody else below that.

Ohio State is expected to move into the No. 3 spot, though, its hold on that position will be tenuous. Stanford is projected to emerge ahead of Baylor at No. 4, despite being ranked lower in the polls.

The rankings from 3-5 are will remain fluid for the remainder of the season, with Ohio State having the best chance at staying unbeaten. But thanks to the weakness of the Big Ten, the Buckeyes will not automatically slide into the top spot should either Alabama or FSU slip up.

Projected BCS Standings
2Florida State9-0ACC2
3Ohio State9-0Big Ten4
5Baylor8-0Big 126
10South Carolina7-2SEC12
11Oklahoma State8-1Big 1214
12Texas A&M8-2SEC15
13Oklahoma7-2Big 1210
14Michigan State8-1Big Ten17
15Fresno State9-0MWC16
18Northern Illinois9-0MAC18
19Central Florida7-1AAC21
20Miami (Fla.)7-2ACC11
21Arizona State7-2Pac-1222
24Wisconsin7-2Big Ten24
25Texas7-2Big 12NR
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The most interesting races, however, appear to be for the remaining BCS bowl spots:

* Notre Dame can now be safely eliminated from BCS contention after losing to Pitt. With just two games remaining, the Irish won't satisfy the eligibility requirement of finishing in the top 14 of the final BCS standings, even with a win over Stanford.

* Fresno State did not struggle in a late game this week, scoring a decisive victory over Wyoming. The Bulldogs should maintain their edge over Northern Illinois in the BCS standings. The Huskies will have their biggest game of the season coming up next Wednesday night, as they face Ball State with the MAC West title on the line. 

* Central Florida withstood a late Houston rally, holding on to a 19-14 victory with a goal-line stand. The Knights are now in the driver's seat in the American Athletic Conference, which still has an automatic bid to a BCS bowl. They already defeated Louisville and Houston and do not face Cincinnati.

* The rest of the BCS bowl berths likely will be up for grabs, going to teams from the SEC, Pac-12 and ACC. Oregon is nearly certain to earn a fifth straight trip to a BCS bowl with an 11-1 record, even if it doesn't win the Pac-12 North.

Projected BCS Bowl Matchups
BCS ChampionshipAlabama vs. Florida State
Rose BowlStanford vs. Ohio State
Orange BowlClemson vs. Central Florida
Sugar BowlOregon vs. Texas A&M
Fiesta BowlBaylor vs. Fresno State
Projected as at end of season

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