Projected BCS Rankings 2013: Week 11 Top 25 BCS Standings Predictions

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Projected BCS Rankings 2013: Week 11 Top 25 BCS Standings Predictions

Half of the top 10 teams in last week's BCS standings were idle this week, and other than Texas Tech losing in a mild upset, it was a weekend of mostly ho-hum affairs.

Thank you, Northwestern, for making complete hash out of your last defensive stand so we could have our YouTube and GIF fix for the day, though.

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Florida State won Saturday's most high-profile showdown, a 41-14 victory over No. 7 Miami. But the Seminoles were favored by three touchdowns, so even an impressive win over their in-state rival might not be enough for them to get into the all-important top two spots in the next BCS standings.

The 'Noles will close the gap on Oregon and make it very close for the No. 2 spot, thanks to the boost they'll get from the computers. Florida State probably will check in at No. 1 in five of the six BCS computers, with Richard Billingsley as the exception. The 'Noles will need to sway about a dozen voters or so in the two polls to pull ahead of the Ducks for the week.

But even if they move into No. 2 in the next standings, they'll stay there for exactly one week if both Oregon and Alabama win their upcoming showdowns in Week 11. Should the Tide and Ducks go on to beat LSU and Stanford, respectively, and run the table after that, FSU will have reached its high-water mark, as it won't have another game that will provide much boost the rest of the season—including the ACC Championship Game.

So with the exception of Miami, the projected BCS standings will look very similar to last week's:

Projected BCS Standings
Rank Team Record Conference Pvs
1 Alabama 8-0 SEC 1
2 Oregon 8-0 Pac-12 2
3 Florida State 8-0 ACC 3
4 Ohio State 9-0 Big Ten 4
5 Stanford 7-1 Pac-12 5
6 Baylor 7-0 Big 12 6
7 Clemson 8-1 ACC 8
8 Missouri 8-1 SEC 9
9 Oklahoma 7-1 Big 12 10
10 Auburn 8-1 SEC 11
11 Miami (Fla.) 7-1 ACC 7
12 LSU 7-2 SEC 13
13 South Carolina 7-2 SEC 14
14 Texas A&M 7-2 SEC 12
15 Oklahoma State 7-1 Big 12 18
16 Fresno State 8-0 MWC 16
17 Northern Illinois 9-0 MAC 17
18 UCLA 6-2 Pac-12 20
19 Louisville 7-1 AAC 19
20 Michigan State 8-1 Big Ten 22
21 Central Florida 7-1 AAC 23
22 Texas Tech 7-2 Big 12 15
23 Notre Dame 7-2 Independent 25
24 Arizona State 6-2 Pac-12 NR
25 Wisconsin 6-2 Big Ten 24

BCS Guru

A few quick observations on the various BCS title game and bowl game contenders:

* Ohio State blanked Purdue, 56-0, and has outscored its last two opponents, 119-14. And that will...do absolutely nothing for the Buckeyes' BCS title game hopes. In fact, OSU's title aspirations suffered another blow this week as Michigan was manhandled by Michigan State, robbing the Bucks of a potential ranked opponent at the end of the season. OSU is squarely locked into the fourth spot, with no hopes of moving up unless any of the top three teams lose.

* Stanford will remain the top one-loss team and for now the best positioned among teams with losses to sneak into the BCS title game. But even if the Cardinal upset Oregon on Thursday, they will not leapfrog any of the other three unbeaten teams currently ahead of them, not even Ohio State.

* Fresno State won more comfortably this week and should maintain its slim edge over Northern Illinois for a BCS bowl berth awarded to a non-AQ team. If both teams remain undefeated, this race will be extremely close and come down to the final weekend of the season as they play in their respective conference championship games.

* Notre Dame just barely held off a gritty Navy team at home and kept its BCS bowl quest alive. The Irish cannot afford another loss the rest of the season and still have tough matchups with Stanford and BYU remaining.

Projected BCS Bowl Matchups
Bowl Matchup
BCS Championship Alabama vs. Oregon
Rose Bowl Stanford vs. Ohio State
Orange Bowl Florida State vs. Central Florida
Sugar Bowl Texas A&M vs. Clemson
Fiesta Bowl Baylor vs. Fresno State

Projected as at end of season

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