NFL Odds Week 6: Last-Minute Look at Safest Bets This Weekend

Chris RolingFeatured ColumnistOctober 12, 2013

Oct 7, 2013; Atlanta, GA, USA; New York Jets quarterback Geno Smith (7) celebrates in the second half against the Atlanta Falcons at the Georgia Dome. The Jets won 30-28. Mandatory Credit: Daniel Shirey-USA TODAY Sports
Daniel Shirey-USA TODAY Sports

Safe bets are any NFL fan's best friend.

Whether it's a safe bet for a beloved team to win, or safe from a financial standpoint when perusing the odds, the word "safe" is key.

Fans can rest assured a safe comfort zone certainly exists on this weekend's slate of games in the form of three matchups that are perhaps some of the most predictable the NFL has seen this season.

Not counting a ridiculous Jacksonville and Denver showdown (if it can even be classified as such), the following three games represents the three safest bets this weekend.


New York Jets (-1) to Cover Against Pittsburgh

At home, the New York Jets are a lock to cover a favorable spread against the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Considering how both teams have played as of late, the spread should probably be a bit bigger in New York's favor.

Last week on Monday Night Football, rookie quarterback Geno Smith led the Jets over the Atlanta Falcons via three touchdown passes while looking like anything but a rookie.

Even better for New York, the team will have star cornerback Antonio Cromartie for the contest after an injury scare earlier in the week:

Pittsburgh is coming off the bye and seems to hold an advantage over New York coming off a short week at first glance. But there are too many issues for the Steelers to come out victorious.

Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger has already turned the ball over 10 times in four straight losses this season behind a paper-thin offensive line, and things will in no way improve against the NFL's second-best defense.


Seattle Seahawks (-13.5) to Cover Over Tennessee


Ryan Fitzpatrick got the start last week for Tennessee in place of Jake Locker, and the offense was inadequate as the Titans only managed 339 total yards and 17 points in a loss.

Week 6 is not any better for the Titans against a Seattle defense that fields the No. 6 overall defense, even better than the Chiefs from a week ago.

That's why the Seahawks are favored by almost two touchdowns.

Tennessee has a top-10 defense that has an outside chance of keeping the Titans in the game, but at home in the NFL's loudest stadium, expect the Seahawks to have little issue pulling away as the game wears on toward an eventual Tennessee loss.

It's a large margin, but expect Seattle, a team that has not lost at home since December of 2011, to cover emphatically.


San Francisco (-10.5) Covers Over Arizona


Another large spread, the contest between San Francisco and Arizona is going to get ugly early.

Arizona touts an impressive run defense that allows just 79 yards per game, but San Francisco and Frank Gore manage over 140 yards on the ground.

Something has to give, and it won't be the San Francisco rushing attack.

The 49ers have been a disappointment through the air with the No. 31 ranked passing attack, as quarterback Colin Kaepernick has cooled off after throwing for over 400 yards in the opener.

Fortunately for San Francisco, the team will have little issue imposing its will on an Arizona team it dominated in two contests last year by a combined score of 51-16. The 49ers will find it easy to pressure Carson Palmer and force him into mistakes as he is supported by a miserable running game.

Not only is the spread here reasonable, it may be too kind.



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